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US employment data in focus today, most signs point to a solid report. ECB raises rates and strikes hawkish tone, but euro trades lower. Cable hits one-year high, gold near new record, Apple beats earnings.
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Following the FOMC and ECB decisions last week, the central bank torch will now be passed to the BoE, which will deliver its decision on Thursday. A 25bps hike is mostly priced in, so the spotlight will fall on clues and hints on how officials are planning to move forward. The US CPIs will also attract special attention as investors are trying to figure out whether the Fed will pause or hike once more in June.
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Fed hikes by 25bps, but turns data dependent. Dollar extends slide as investors price in a June pause. ECB to hike by 25bps as well, focus could fall on Lagarde. Wall Street and oil prices slide, gold nearly hits its record.
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US debt default and banking sector concerns hurt the dollar. Fed to hike, focus to fall on forward guidance. Wall Street in defensive mode ahead of Fed.
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Yen sinks to 15-year low against euro, decimated by central bank divergence. Reserve Bank of Australia surprises with rate increase, lifting local dollar. All eyes on Eurozone inflation today, size of ECB rate hike hangs in balance.
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BoJ tweaks guidance but long review dampens bets of near-term policy overhaul. Yen tumbles, adding to dollar’s upside after core PCE deflator accelerates in Q1. Strong earnings lift Wall Street despite ongoing recession risks.
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An explosive week lies ahead for global markets, featuring central bank decisions in the United States, Eurozone, and Australia, alongside the latest edition of nonfarm payrolls. The Fed is expected to raise interest rates one final time, so the dollar will react mostly to any signals around future action. But the euro might enjoy even greater volatility, as traders are split on the size of the upcoming ECB rate increase.
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Ongoing uncertainties in the US hurt the dollar. Atlanta Fed GDP estimate
revised lower ahead of official data. BoJ expected to stand pat, focus to fall
on guidance. Recession fears weigh on Dow and S&P 500, but Nasdaq
gains.
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Dollar, yen gain as investors seek shelter. Fed rate cut bets are back firmly on the table. Euro uptrend may stay the course as ECB seen hiking more. Wall Street slides amid renewed economic concerns.
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Tech earnings and US data awaited for direction as outlook remains
clouded. Lingering uncertainties drag US yields and the dollar lower; debt
ceiling in focus. Yen firms slightly after Ueda opens the door to future policy
tightening.
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