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Dollar continues to recover ground, bolstered by Fed bets. Gold falls to 6-week lows as debt ceiling deal spreads relief. Stocks set to open higher, despite looming liquidity drain.

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Biden and McCarthy find common ground, deal ready for Congress vote. Dollar takes a breather, but summer hike bets increase. Turkish lira slips to new record low as Erdogan secures victory. Wall Street gains, mainly driven by chip stocks.

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Fed rate cut bets continue to be priced out, all eyes on core PCE inflation. US dollar softer today but still headed for third weekly gain. Debt deal progress and AI buzz lift Wall Street, global equities.

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With investors flirting with the idea of one final Fed rate increase this summer and the dollar making a comeback, there will be increased emphasis on the next round of US employment data on Friday. Debt ceiling negotiations will also be front and center as the clock ticks down to a US government shutdown, while in Europe, there’s a batch of inflation numbers to shape the euro’s path.

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Dollar continues its grind higher, empowered by Fed bets and risk aversion. Gold gets burned by rising yields, central bank divergence hits Japanese yen. Stocks close lower, but Nvidia earnings turn markets around after-hours.

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Dollar extends recovery, stock markets slide in risk-off session. Sterling takes a hit despite hot UK inflation, RBNZ sinks the kiwi. Debt ceiling nerves grow - are investors focusing on the wrong risk?

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Biden-McCarthy talks end with no deal but both sides remain hopeful. Stocks subdued but dollar edges up as Fed rhetoric stays on the hawkish side. Euro slips as mixed PMIs unable to lend much support.

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Powell signals Fed may be done raising rates, pushing June hike odds into reverse. Dollar takes a tumble but quickly finds its footing. Stocks also struggle amid ongoing debt ceiling drama as clock keeps ticking.

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Debt-ceiling headlines stay encouraging. Initial jobless claims surprise to
the downside. Fed officials continue to appear in hawkish suits. Dollar
gains as June hike probability increases. Wall Street celebrates the data
and debt-ceiling optimism.

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The RBNZ looks set to raise rates for a 12th time in the coming week, while inflation figures out of the United Kingdom and United States will be crucial in shaping rate hike expectations. After some shockingly bad data recently, Germany’s PMI readings will likely capture the most attention from S&P Global’s flash surveys for May. With sentiment still fragile, the PMIs could set the tone for equity markets, but will they aid the US dollar’s advance or will the Fed’s May meeting minutes rein in the bulls?

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