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Massive week begins, featuring rate decisions in US, Europe, and Japan. US inflation report also on tap tomorrow, could influence Fed decision. Yen hits seven-year low against pound, Turkish lira goes into freefall.

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US weekly jobless claims hit highest in 1½-years, boosting Fed pause bets. Tech stocks find reason to celebrate as yields decline but China weakness weighs. Dollar skids but steadier today, aussie leads FX weekly gains.

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A bombshell week is coming up, featuring rate decisions in the United States, Eurozone, and Japan. The Fed is likely to ‘pause’ according to market pricing, but the decision might ultimately depend on the inflation stats that will be released the previous day, setting the stage for volatility in the dollar. By contrast, there isn’t much scope for surprises in Europe or Japan, leaving those currencies mostly in the hands of other forces.

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BoC delivers second surprise hike of the week, aussie and loonie shine. Markets forced to reassess their understanding of a ‘pause’. Dollar slips amid confusion over Fed policy, tech rally hit by un-pause fears.

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The probability of a Fed pause next week rises to 80%. Dollar gains the most against euro, loses versus the aussie. Investors are split on whether the BoC should hike today. Wall Street enjoys another day of gains.

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Aussie jumps after RBA’s shock hike, loonie buoyed ahead of BoC decision. US dollar on the backfoot after disappointing ISM services PMI. Oil and stocks struggle amid economic and rate path uncertainty.

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Dollar extends slide on slowing unit labor costs. Investors scale back their Fed hike bets. NFPs enter the limelight; mind the earnings. Wall Street cheers June pause prospect.

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Policy decisions from the RBA and the Bank of Canada will be taking centre stage next week amid an otherwise light agenda. In the United States, the ISM services PMI will be the only top-tier release and now that Congress has averted a default by suspending the debt ceiling, the dollar might spend the week drifting lower. Before all that however, OPEC and non-OPEC countries will meet on Sunday to discuss whether to make further cuts to oil output.

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Dollar loses steam after Fed members indicate ‘pause’ in rate hikes. US debt ceiling deal passes House, but stocks and gold uninterested. Eurozone inflation data and key US releases coming up next.

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China PMIs disappoint, dragging down risk-sensitive currencies. Yen recovers, helped by safe-haven flows and Tokyo FX warning. Euro turns to German inflation data, tech stocks close stellar month.

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