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US inflation surprises to the upside, boosting Fed rate bets. Dollar jumps
and stocks drop, before a stunning turnaround. Yen sinks even deeper,
sterling capitalizes on political reversal.

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Inflation will dominate the market theme again in the coming week as, after the United States, it will be the turn of others to face their inflation demons. With the risk of recession growing by the day but not a lot changing with the inflation dynamics, UK CPI figures will attract the most attention, while a modest pickup in Japan is unlikely to spur any policy shifts at the Bank of Japan. China will also come under the spotlight as it releases GDP estimates for the third quarter and its leaders convene for the National Congress of the Communist Party.

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Dollar up on PPI data, down on Fed minutes. Investors lock gaze on US CPI numbers. Pound rebounds, but BoE cuts gains short. Dollar/yen keeps rising as yen stays helpless.

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BoE Gov. Bailey rules out extending bond-buying support. Intervention warnings resume as yen tumbles to fresh lows. Dollar eases ahead of US inflation data. IMF downgrades world growth forecasts, warns of recession.

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Cracks appear in UK bond markets again, sterling immune so far. Nasdaq hits two-year lows as rising yields hammer riskier assets. Dollar reigns supreme, Aussie keeps sinking on China worries.

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US employment report comes in hot, dashing hopes of a Fed pause. Dollar races higher, equities slip, but yen is surprisingly resilient. Aussie hits new lows after soft Chinese data, crucial week lies ahead.

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Fed destroys all hopes of an early pivot even before latest jobs report is out. Dollar climbs to one-week high as stocks turn negative again. Pound under renewed pressure, yen won’t budge from the 145 level.

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An electrifying week is coming up, featuring another crucial US inflation report and minutes of the latest Fed meeting. Both will be key pieces of the puzzle for the dollar and risk assets, as traders grapple with whether the Fed will pause its tightening cycle. Even in case of a softer inflation print though, this type of speculation seems premature.

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Oil rally fizzles out despite steep output cut by OPEC+ as impact seen limited. Yields climb as Fed pivot hopes fade further after upbeat US data. But Wall Street holds judgement, pares losses as investors look to payrolls report.

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Drop in US job openings points to cooling labour market, boosts risk appetite. Stocks stage massive rally but may have hit a snag as Fed stands firm. Dollar retraces some losses but kiwi bucks the trend after RBNZ hike. Oil prices steady ahead of OPEC+ output decision.

Risk Warning: 77.74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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Risk warning is correct at the time of publication and may change. Please check our Risk Disclosure for an up to date risk warning

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