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With the Fed meeting out of the way, a quieter week is on the horizon, barring of course any flare up of tensions between Russia and Ukraine. Either way, the spotlight will probably fall on the euro as far-right parties are expected to gain ground in Italy’s parliamentary election on Sunday, while preliminary inflation readings will come to the fore at the end of the week. In the US, the highlight will be on the PCE inflation figures, though it’s doubtful whether it will change much regarding the Fed policy outlook.

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Dot plot signals Fed not done with 75 bps hikes, Powell warns of pain ahead. S&P 500 goes back into bear market, dollar destroys everything in its path. Yen slips past 145 as BoJ doesn’t flinch, but jumps after intervention. SNB hikes by 75 bps, BoE expected to follow suit.

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Russia-Ukraine tensions flare up, knocking the euro and boosting safe havens. Stocks subdued but losses contained as investors await Fed decision. Yields fall back slightly and gold climbs on Russia worries.

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Dollar’s rally pauses ahead of FOMC decision. Equities rebound somewhat on short covering. Canada’s inflation expected to slow more. Gold rebounds, but gains stay limited.

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Dollar starts Fed week on the front foot amid elevated rate hike expectations. Bank of England and Swiss National Bank also poised to deliver large hikes. Yen stays subdued as Bank of Japan not expected to join in. Overtightening fears weigh on stocks, oil and gold slip too.

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USD stays strong as bets of 100bps Fed hike remain on table. US retail sales rebound, initial jobless claims fall. Equities resume drop on hike bets and rising recession fears. Oil slides on agreement to avert a rail strike.

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A crucial week is coming up for the markets as no less than four central banks are scheduled to announce their latest monetary policy decisions. There is a strong possibility of a 75-basis-point rate hike from the Federal Reserve, Bank of England, as well as the Swiss National Bank. The Bank of Japan, though, is expected to buck the trend, leaving the yen at the mercy of its rivals. However, the flash PMI estimates for September will be important too amid ongoing worries about a recession, while in Canada and Japan, the latest inflation numbers will be watched.

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Threats of FX intervention don’t do much to boost the yen. Currency pairs trapped in narrow ranges, stocks lick wounds. Gold under heavy pressure, US retail sales coming up next.

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US inflation comes in hot, fueling bets of a more forceful Fed. Stock markets tank, dollar fires up as terminal rate increases. Yen finds some support after Japan threatens FX intervention.

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Investors bet that August CPI data will confirm inflation has peaked in the US. Wall Street rallies for a fourth day, dollar selloff accelerates. Euro and pound maintain positive momentum despite doubts over energy plans.

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