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Dollar at week's lows ahead of blockbuster US jobs report. Stocks stage a late rally, but it's a three-speed market. Pound undecided after BoE adjusts QE, gold breaks out.
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Euro/dollar trapped by $1.20 region, stocks drift after ISM survey. Huge day ahead for British pound, with BoE meeting and local elections. Markets quiet overall as investors mark time until nonfarm payrolls.
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US Treasury Secretary Yellen talks about rate hikes, tech stocks sink. But turmoil doesn't spill over into FX, dollar gets only a minor boost. ISM non-manufacturing survey and ADP jobs report coming up.
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The central bank theme will continue over the next seven days with policy meetings by the Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of England. The RBA will probably maintain some caution after weak inflation figures but there is some speculation the BoE could start to taper its asset purchases as early as the May meeting. On the data front, the nonfarm payrolls report is due out of the United States. However, after the Fed once again dismissed talk of an early withdrawal of stimulus at its policy meeting, employment numbers out of Canada and New Zealand might stir more reaction in FX markets.
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US dollar and yields tumble after Powell says not the time to talk about taper. But yields bounce back ahead of expected surge in Q1 GDP data, weigh on equities. Blowout tech earnings finally inject some life into Wall Street, futures up.
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Treasury yields creep up again on rising inflation expectations but Fed to stay the course. Biden to seek Congressional support for big spending in joint address. Dollar recoups further lost ground but dovish Powell could torpedo it. Equities modestly higher as soaring earnings fail to set Wall Street alight.
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Firmer Treasury yields help dollar steady as traders look to Fed for the next cue. US consumer confidence data, Treasury auction eyed as inflation worries persist. Another record on Wall Street as earnings season heats up but overall mood subdued.
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Dollar rout continues as Fed expected to repeat dovish message. Euro capitalizes, climbs to 2-month top on renewed European optimism. Stocks lack direction, await key earnings and barrage of US data releases.
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Never have central bankers so seemingly sung from the same hymn sheet as Fed policymakers have in the past few weeks. Having successfully aligned market expectations, the Federal Reserve is almost certain to repeat the message that QE tapering is not on the near-term horizon when it meets next week. The Bank of Japan is also not expected to diverge from recent language when it announces its latest policy decision. Traders are therefore likely to turn their focus to the economic data as they could confirm that the boom time in America is here just as the Eurozone slips into a double-dip recession.
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Wave of selling hits equities after recycled capital gains tax story. Euro pulls back after ECB downplays tapering, rebounds after PMIs. Pound snoozes after British PMIs, American ones also on the agenda today.
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