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Stock market winning streak continues as yields stabilize. European nations suspend AstraZeneca vaccine, but euro undaunted. US retail sales coming up as traders lay low ahead of FOMC meeting.
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The Federal Reserve will be meeting for the first time since yields exploded higher and the Biden stimulus bill became law. The Bank of England and Bank of Japan will announce their decisions too. Will Fed and other policymakers take their cues from the European Central Bank and respond to the bond market selloff by stepping up their purchases? The debate about whether higher yields warrant fresh policy action will likely dominate the market conversation, especially as there’s nothing terribly exciting on the data front.
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Threat of rising yields keeps animal spirits in check, revives dollar. ECB promises to speed-up QE, but euro/dollar driven by other factors. Yen suffers as rate differentials widen, Canadian jobs data in focus.
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ECB unlikely to fight the spike in yields today, may boost euro a little. Tame US
inflation and solid bond auction calm yields, hurt dollar. Dow Jones hits new
record but tech lags as infrastructure comes into view.
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Bond yields cool down, setting off massive rebound in tech stocks. Dollar retreats a touch ahead of US inflation data and key bond auction. Bank of Canada meets as well – dovish signals could bruise the loonie.
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Dollar and sterling reign supreme in rising yield environment. Stock markets calm overall, but tech sector gets purged. However, yields fall back on Tuesday, cooling dollar while lifting stocks and gold.
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Solid US jobs report and relief package approval propel dollar higher. But stock
markets still shaky as tech sector grapples with rising yields. Overall, this looks like
a healthy and mostly isolated correction.
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Powell gives no hints about possible action to stem selloff in Treasuries. Dollar soars to 3-month high, shares on Wall Street tank for third straight day. OPEC+ extends output cuts in surprise move, oil scales early 2020 highs.
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With bond markets going berserk lately, investors will turn to the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday. Some senior policymakers have been vocal about 'fighting' this rise in yields, which represents a risk for the euro. Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada will have to play down a solid economy when it meets on Wednesday. In the US, inflation data could be crucial for the Fed narrative, though all eyes will be on Capitol Hill, where Biden's relief package is about to pass.
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Fragile risk sentiment as yields rise again, sending shares on Wall Street skidding. Powell speech in focus as bond volatility sparks speculation of ‘Operation Twist’. Commodity currencies fend off stronger dollar but euro and pound struggle.
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