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Equities on firmer footing as panic over new virus strain subsides further. But another danger looms as President Trump unhappy with $900 billion stimulus bill. Pound’s yo-yo ride continues as hopes rise for pre-Christmas Brexit deal.
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Sharp selloff turns into sharp rebound as UK waters down fishery demands. US stocks and sterling stage epic turnaround, close only a blip lower. Similar story for the dollar, surrenders most virus-mutation gains. Vaccines and liquidity are still the name of the game.
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Stocks retreat, sterling tanks as new virus strain spreading in UK wreaks havoc. US Congress reaches stimulus deal, but news unable to counter the gloom. Dollar and gold capitalize on the nerves, crude oil and commodity FX hit hard. Bleeding may continue as traders lock profits, but bigger picture unchanged.
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Dollar selling eases as caution creeps in, but still set for big weekly losses. The long wait for deals in Washington and Brussels takes edge off risk rally. Stocks mixed, some volatility may lie ahead.
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It is a very quiet week in terms of events, as trading winds down for the holiday season. This implies that liquidity may be in short supply, setting the stage for some explosive moves if there is any breakthrough in the Brexit crusade or the US stimulus saga. Overall, markets are set to end a crazy year on an incredibly optimistic note, with a little help from central banks showering investors in liquidity. The ‘party’ could continue into next year as the reflation trade is likely to dominate.
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Fed commits to current pace of QE until it sees “substantial further progress”. Dollar jumps on modest tweak, rosy outlook before being pummelled by dovish Powell. Pound continues to soar on Brexit deal optimism, euro climbs new highs too. Aussie and kiwi on a roll as strong data, US stimulus hopes maintain bullish momentum.
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US congressional leaders close in on a stimulus deal as talks continue. Brexit chatter lifts pound amid rumours a trade deal is within grasp. Dollar on the backfoot ahead of least predictable Fed meeting of the year.
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Tighter virus restrictions dampen vaccine optimism; dollar halts slide, stocks struggle. US stimulus talks gain momentum but still no agreement. London lockdown knocks pound off its Brexit perch as ‘narrow path’ to deal eyed.
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Pound soars after Britain and the EU agree to continue talking. Progress in US stimulus talks also lifts markets’ spirits, dollar sags. But cause for caution ahead of Fed meeting, stocks up modestly.
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Markets will go into high gear in the coming week as a jam-packed schedule looks sure to inject plenty of excitement before traders disappear for the festive period. The Federal Reserve will be headlining the week as speculation is rife about whether or not more stimulus is on the way. But no major policy shift is anticipated from the SNB, Bank of England and Bank of Japan meetings. Should central bankers fail to produce any fireworks, the preliminary PMI readings for December could set the tone for the remainder of the month. However, investors should also be on standby for any updates from the drawn-out US stimulus and Brexit negotiations.
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