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US-Iran fresh hostilities end; meeting scheduled for tomorrow as oil is little-
changed. Month-end and quarter-end rebalancing flows could amplify
volatility ahead of Thursday's US jobs report. The US dollar is supported,
while US equity indices seek direction; Fed Warsh speaks on Wednesday.
Incoming UK PM Burnham delivers key speech today, all eyes are on his
tax plans.
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Apple price hike triggers renewed AI jitters; chip stocks lead slump. Oil falls back following gains from Iranian strike on Hormuz vessel. Fed rate hike bets scaled back after PCE inflation data and Fedspeak. US dollar retreats further, gold stabilizes around $4,000.
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The US Non-Farm Payrolls report arrives a day early this week, taking centre stage as traders look for fresh clues on the Fed's next move. Markets will also be watching key inflation and manufacturing data, alongside central bank commentary from the ECB's Sintra Forum. Stay ahead of the key events that could drive volatility across global markets in this week's market outlook.
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Micron earnings smash expectations, dispelling AI bubble fears. US futures rebound as lower oil prices further boost sentiment. Oil tests $70 a barrel amid progress in US-Iran talks. US dollar rally stalls but gold stays under pressure after breaching $4,000.
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Dollar extends gains amid hike bets and safe haven flows. After solid US PMIs, focus shifts to US PCE inflation. BoJ officials argued about faster hikes, pound resumes slide. Stocks tumble amid AI and semiconductor selloff.
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Dollar rises on hawkish Fed rate bets, awaits key data. Pound rebounds as UK political uncertainty is already absorbed. Yen to a nearly 40-year low; authorities warn but do not intervene. Oil falls on US–Iran talks; equities slip on higher Fed rate outlook.
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US, Iran agree on a 60-day roadmap; will the Strait of Hormuz reopening last? US dollar is well supported despite light Fedspeak; could euro/dollar’s bearish breakout persist? Dollar/yen climbs as investors question Japanese Finance Ministry’s intervention strategy. Light data calendar; all eyes on whether UK PM Starmer steps down today.
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Dollar extends rally after hawkish Fed decision. Yen stays weak despite intervention and hawkish BoJ rhetoric. BoE remains on hold, remains in no rush to hike. Stocks rebound, futures slide, gold falls on Fed hike bets.
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After a packed week of central bank decisions, markets now turn to key economic data. From Eurozone and UK PMIs to US core PCE, inflation and growth signals will guide movements across FX, stocks, gold, and crypto. Watch the yen amid BoJ expectations, tech stocks with Micron earnings. With oil and geopolitics in play, volatility is back—stay alert for trading opportunities this week.
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Dollar rises after Fed signals rate hike in 2026. New Chair Warsh does not submit a rate projection. BoE to stand pat; focus to fall on guidance. Stocks slide on Fed outcome, but futures rebound.
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