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US-Iran agreement preparations progress, but Israeli officials remain deeply dissatisfied. Lower oil prices reflect confidence in the deal, but risk assets fail to rally. Focus on Fed Chair Warsh’s first meeting; could he upset expectations? Dollar/yen trades above 160; BoJ officials on edge about another intervention.
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US and Iran sign MoU but risk of last-minute drama remains elevated as Israel remains unhappy. Oil prices pause drop, while the dollar recovers most of Monday’s losses. BoJ hikes as widely expected, but dollar/yen still trades above 160; RBA pauses, aussie suffers. Attention shifts to Wednesday’s crucial Fed meeting.
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US and Iran announce deal to reopen Hormuz and extend ceasefire. Oil tumbles as Hormuz blockade to end and Iran to resume exports. Dollar also retreats, but gold and cryptos surge on easing inflation fears. Stocks extend rally ahead of Fed and other major central bank meetings.
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Trump says deal with Iran is close, but Tehran denies anything is
approved. Stocks rebound sharply after tough week, but drop in oil signals
caution. Dollar retreats slightly as Fed rate hike bets pushed back. Limited
upside for gold as ECB hikes rates amid inflation risks.
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Geopolitical chaos meets a massive week of central bank decisions, and market volatility has returned. We take a look at what the Fed, BoJ, BoE, and RBA may signal next amid rising energy costs and a fragile ceasefire. Don’t miss our analysis on how these macro shifts could affect FX pairs, commodities, and the tech sector in this week’s market outlook.
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US-Iran strikes continue for second night but markets steadier after selloff. AI rally hit by Oracle earnings and rate expectations as ECB set to hike. US CPI data briefly calms inflation nerves, attention turns to PPI report. Oil choppy within recent range, gold recovers after dive towards $4,000.
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Fresh US-Iran hostilities fail to push oil prices sustainably higher; peace deal expectations remain intact. US equity markets are under pressure despite strong SpaceX IPO demand. Today’s US CPI report could prove pivotal for Fed expectations and broader risk appetite. Dollar/yen climbs higher; can Japanese authorities keep their powder dry until the BoJ meeting?
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Markets remain mostly optimistic about a US-Iran deal despite setbacks
and the recent hostilities. US equity markets in the spotlight amidst AI
enthusiasm and the imminent SpaceX IPO. Risk appetite could be tested
by stronger US CPI data and Thursday’s ECB meeting. The yen fails to
benefit from dollar weakness and BoJ hike expectations.
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Strong US jobs data boost dollar and Fed hike expectations. Rising Middle East tensions push oil prices higher. Gold falls as rising yields and strong dollar reduce its appeal. Wall Street tumbles, led by tech and AI stocks.
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Fresh setback for US-Iran talks after Hezbollah rejects Lebanon ceasefire. Oil nevertheless pares some weekly gains. But AI stocks succumb to profit taking, crypto rout deepens. Dollar slips ahead of jobs report as Fed rate hike bets ease slightly.
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