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The imminent US-Iran deal has boosted risk assets, with oil prices declining aggressively. Despite the initial reaction, investors remain somewhat cautious as chances of disagreement remain high. Dollar weakens, but dollar/yen fails to benefit; is another BoJ intervention imminent? US markets are closed today; low liquidity could amplify reactions to Middle East newsflow.

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Markets await update on US-Iran talks amid progress and intransigence. Oil stays choppy in headline-driven trading but headed for weekly losses. As global inflation fears intensify, dollar stands tall, Warsh swearing in eyed. Stocks shrug off geopolitical risks as AI optimism prevails.

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All eyes are on the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE report, which could shift rate expectations and spark volatility across FX, stocks, and crypto. With US GDP, jobless claims, and the RBNZ decisions also on deck, markets face a wave of key catalysts. Moreover, geopolitical developments and the unfolding political drama in the United Kingdom, could further add to volatility and excitement across all asset classes.

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Trump says Iran talks in ‘final stages’ but investors remain nervous. Oil prices pare losses amid worries about supply and depleting inventories. Dollar regains front foot after weak May PMIs in Asia and Europe. Yen breaches 159 per dollar again despite hawkish BoJ comments.

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No light at the end of the Middle East talks tunnel; oil prices remain dangerously high. US equity markets are shielded by Nvidia earnings expectations, ignoring elevated yields. Disappointment from Nvidia results and FOMC minutes could trigger a broader correction. Dollar/yen rally pauses, pound retains yesterday’s gains.

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Middle East negotiations continue to dominate market sentiment. Elevated oil prices and Treasury yields cast a shadow over equities. A strong market decline could force Trump’s hand; could Nvidia earnings trigger it? Dollar/yen reached ¥159, fresh intervention is imminent; has the BoJ learnt its lesson?

Dollar hits 2-month high on Middle East tensions. Higher oil prices add to inflation fears and increase Fed hike bets. Yen enters intervention zone, pound weakens ahead of key data. Wall Street pulls back, gold falls below key support zone.

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Dollar hits 2-month high on Middle East tensions. Higher oil prices add to inflation fears and increase Fed hike bets. Yen enters intervention zone, pound weakens ahead of key data. Wall Street pulls back, gold falls below key support zone.

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A pivotal week for global markets is ahead as investors focus on Fed meeting
minutes, inflation data, and Nvidia earnings. Key economic releases from the UK,
Canada, Japan, the Eurozone, and the US could drive volatility across currencies,
equities, and commodities. Markets will be closely watching for signs of persistent
inflation, shifting interest rate expectations, and continued strength in AI-driven
growth. Gain insight into potential market direction, trading strategy considerations, and key levels to watch in this week’s market outlook.

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Hormuz limbo lifts oil prices, fuelling inflation worries. Bond yields jump across the board on firmer rate hike expectations. Gold and stocks tumble but dollar jumps to 2½-week high. Pound leads FX losers amid twists and turns of UK politics.

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AI-fuelled stock rally shows no sign of easing as Cisco latest to smash earnings. US PPI data adds to heightened inflation risks as Treasury yields jump. Trump and Xi hold talks but lack of details keeps markets in suspense. Pound finds some love from upbeat GDP data as Starmer’s woes worsen.

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