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Slow progress in US-Iran talks keeps oil price elevated, unaffected by UAE’s OPEC exit. Fed meeting in focus, but all eyes are on key earnings announcements. Expectations for stellar results could trigger a sharp sell-off upon disappointment. BoC to remain in waiting mode; muted loonie reaction expected ahead of US events.

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Investors grow impatient with the slow progress in US-Iran talks. Oil prices edge higher again as the Hormuz Strait remains closed, putting gold under pressure. BoJ did not surprise with a rate hike, but hawkish dissenters keep dollar/yen below 160. Focus shifts to US data calendar and 7-year US auction.

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Muted market movements as investors prepare for an action-packed week; oil prices hover above $95. Iran proposes a peace plan, as US-Iran talks continue, but the face-to-face meeting is still missing. Quiet calendar today ahead of several central bank meetings, data prints and earnings announcements. Warsh moves closer to taking Fed office as the judicial probe against Powell is dropped.

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Dollar extends gains on renewed Middle East attacks. Oil prices surge, reinforcing inflation concerns. Yen weakens further, moving closer to intervention levels. Wall Street stays driven by geopolitics and earnings.

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Attacks near Hormuz raise geopolitical risk and ceasefire concerns. Oil spikes toward $100 on supply fears, lifting inflation expectations. Fed rate cut bets pull back, boosting the US dollar. Stocks gain, Nasdaq hits a record, gold steady but vulnerable.

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Trump extends ceasefire indefinitely despite Iran cancelling talks. But with Hormuz Strait remaining shut, oil prices dip only modestly. Dollar steady after Warsh hearing, gold edges higher. Pound marginally firmer on slightly hot inflation data.

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US-Iran direct talks in focus, as the two-week ceasefire is seen being extended. Markets are in anticipation mode as the probability of another failed meeting is rather high. Focus shifts to US retail sales and Warsh’s Senate testimony. The Q&A session could offer some clues on Warsh’s current monetary policy stance.

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Geopolitical risks remain elevated, with US-Iran talks and the ceasefire in focus. Markets reassess Friday’s exuberance as the Strait of Hormuz closes again. Dollar strengthens, oil rises, but moves are relatively measured; gold struggles again. Attention shifts to Warsh’s hearing, data releases, and Tesla earnings this week.

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Dollar and oil rebound on uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks. Yen falls as BoJ Gov. Ueda avoids hints of April rate hike. Wall Street rises at slower pace, Netflix tumbles as co-founder resigns. Gold trades quietly as traders await new Iran-related headlines.

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Major US stock indices post new all-time highs, but is this rally masking
deeper concerns? Progress is made in US-Iran negotiations as oil
stabilizes above $90. Dollar weakness pauses, gold fails to decisively rally,
and the Dow Jones 30 index lags. Numerous central bank speakers today,
as Fed-ECB policy divergence persists.

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