Know More. Risk Better.

Grounded & Rerouted: Middle East Impact on European Aviation


Listen Later

In this episode of the Know More. Risk Better. podcast, host Logan Miller speaks with Mihir Trivedi, Senior Analyst for European Transportation, about the fast-moving Middle East conflict and its implications for global aviation and European credit. They explain why Middle Eastern airspace is a critical corridor linking Europe and North America to Asia, and how widespread airspace closures and airport disruptions have triggered mass cancellations, longer reroutings, and higher operating costs that are ultimately passed through to consumers. The discussion covers near-term demand effects, including weaker passenger numbers, deferred business travel, and reduced load factors, alongside medium-term implications such as higher airfares, capacity being redirected to other routes like the transatlantic market, and a potential shift toward more direct ultra long-haul flights. They also assess financial pressure points for airlines, focusing on jet fuel as the largest cost line, the importance of hedging into 2026, and how fleet efficiency can create winners and losers as disruptions extend. The episode concludes with relative value views across airports and airlines, highlighting Heathrow’s constraints and exposure versus more defensive alternatives, and reiterating a preference for higher-quality balance sheets in the airline space.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Know More. Risk Better.By CreditSights

  • 5
  • 5
  • 5
  • 5
  • 5

5

24 ratings


More shows like Know More. Risk Better.

View all
Exchanges by Goldman Sachs

Exchanges

969 Listeners

Masters in Business by Bloomberg

Masters in Business

2,175 Listeners

Odd Lots by Bloomberg

Odd Lots

1,981 Listeners

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy by Colossus | Investing & Business Podcasts

Invest Like the Best with Patrick O'Shaughnessy

2,350 Listeners

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry by Ted Seides – Allocator and Asset Management Expert

Capital Allocators – Inside the Institutional Investment Industry

796 Listeners

Eye On The Market by Michael Cembalest

Eye On The Market

288 Listeners

Making Sense by J.P. Morgan

Making Sense

70 Listeners

Thoughts on the Market by Morgan Stanley

Thoughts on the Market

1,308 Listeners

At Any Rate by J.P. Morgan Global Research

At Any Rate

77 Listeners

The Memo by Howard Marks by Oaktree Capital Management

The Memo by Howard Marks

441 Listeners

FICC Focus by Bloomberg Intelligence

FICC Focus

31 Listeners

The Markets by Goldman Sachs

The Markets

83 Listeners

Money Stuff: The Podcast by Bloomberg

Money Stuff: The Podcast

395 Listeners

The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence by Bloomberg

The Credit Edge by Bloomberg Intelligence

35 Listeners

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley by Jack Farley

Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

154 Listeners