Power Analysis

Hash Wars: Why Everyone's Abandoning Their 100 Exahash Dreams!


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The Bitcoin mining industry is experiencing a major strategic shift as public miners pivot from pure cryptocurrency mining toward high-performance computing and AI infrastructure due to economic pressures and emerging opportunities. Global hash rate has increased 15x since China's 2021 mining ban, reaching over 900 Exahash today, forcing miners to grow substantially or lose market share while facing reduced rewards from the April 2024 halving.

• Most public miners now pursuing HPC/AI strategies with predictable long-term contracts offering 75-80% profit margins
• Only Marathon and CleanSpark remaining committed as pure-play Bitcoin miners
• Core Scientific leading the transition with $10.2 billion, 12-year CoreWeave contract
• HPC/AI contracts provide lower cost of capital and more predictable revenue than Bitcoin mining
• IREN pausing Bitcoin expansion at 50 Exahash to focus on Horizon One facility
• Bitdeer leveraging in-house Seal Miner development to improve efficiency and margins
• Hive expanding to 25 Exahash with Paraguay acquisition while growing HPC revenue
• Current US AI computing capacity at 4GW with projected need for 40-80GW creating massive growth opportunity
• Management flexibility and data center expertise becoming critical differentiators for success

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Power AnalysisBy Anthony Power & Bryce McNallie

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