Hotspotting

On this podcast episode,  Terry examines the claims made in another example of a poorly researched and misleading media report about the Australian property market, this time from the national publication The Australian.

In this episode Terry covers:

• The media outlet Terry believes to be most dangerous when it comes to real estate property investment reporting
• Detailed breakdown and analysis of a misleading article from The Australian on Feb 25 which was full of incorrect claims made by lazy journalists
• The debunking of the myth that buyers want to be buy close to the city for job access
• Why the suburbs of Ransom and Stanmore are very poor case studies to demonstrate trends in median housing price analysis
• Why you need to disregard any median price reporting that does not involve 10 or more housing sales in a year
• The wide sweeping incorrect claims of a Brisbane intercity boom using Yeerongpilly as a case study which has only had an actual rise of only 2.9%

Terry Ryder of Hotspotting and Tim Guest of Infinite Wealth discuss the recovering Perth property market and their upcoming property investment seminar in Perth during March. 

On this episode Terry breakdowns the research put together by Property Investment Professionals of Australia on long term housing price growth from the last 15 yearas.   

The research looked at growth in house prices in the eight capital cities over the 15 years from 2002 and 2017.

In this episode Terry covers:

• How Perth is the national leader on long-term capital growth with prices up 220% over 15 years, 
• The surprisely result of where Sydney sits on the long term price growth list and why he considers it "the great under-achiever of Australian real estate”
• A detailed analysis of the historical growth figures across Melbourne, Darwin, Sydney and Hobart
• Where is the cheapest capital city with a median house price below $400,000.

For more analysis - How the capital cities rank on long-term capital growth

Hotspotting Website – www.hotspotting.com.au

Hotspotting Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/hotspotting/

When investors are looking for good places to buy, consistency is a quality worth seeking. And the factor where consistency matters the most is in sales activity.

• Why Hotspotting have a strong focus on consistency when advising investors and home owners
• How we define a consistent property market and what factors are considered important
• What NSW region was the most consistent market in the summer edition of the Price Predictor Index 2018
• Historical performance of past consistent market winners from Hotspotting reports
• Other notable consistent markets identifed across Australia
• Why steady performers should be considered in your investment portfolio due to both safety and good long-term capital growth

Hotspotting Website – www.hotspotting.com.au

Hotspotting Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/hotspotting/

What's the most underrated market in Australia and also the most consistent market amongst the capital cities of Australia? 

Terry thinks the answer to that question is Adelaide, and today he shares his views on why investors around Australia should be giving it more consideration as a venue for investment. 

• Adelaide's strong performance in the latest Summer Edition of the Price Predictor Index 
• Local issues that are affecting the strength and rise of Adelaide property market and why it is offering good affordable options in all price points
• Why it ranks as the number one captial city in terms of number of suburbs with market growth
• How the improvements in the South Australian Economy will contribute to rising house prices
• Infrastructure spending projects that are helping to boast the local SA economy
• Resources sector movements that are also contributing to the growth of the state economy

Find out what suburbs to buy in this rising and underrated property market in the new Top 5 Hotspots Adelaide report. 

Today Terry reacts to the recent media frenzy over the release of two documents on negative gearing and its impact on housing affordability. 

Both apparently claim that scrapping negative gearing tax benefits would have only a minor impact on home values but at the same time would bring about a major improvement in housing affordability.

Read more: Labor Should Scrap Its Gearing Policy

• The problem with media reporting on housing affordability in Australia 

• Why the Melbourne University negative gearing study needs to be challenged over its methodology and assumptions

• Any analysis of some of the questionable claims from a half-finished research paper by Melbourne University economists

• Why a claim of a 30% reduction in supply would cause a rental rise of only 2.4 percent is unfounded

• A challenge to the claim that property values would fall only 1.2 percent but generate a massive rise in home ownership
  
• Other unsubstantial and false claims highlighted in the report such as only the “rich” benefit from negative gearing and the claim that 76 percent of households would be better off under the suggested policy changes

For more information:

Melbourne University negative gearing study needs to be challenged over its methodology and assumptions: Terry Ryder

Media Misleads on Monthly Data

This week’s episode Terry highlights the recent misleading media headlines and stories around monthly housing price indexes released by Core Logic. 

In this episode he covers:

• The problem with stand-alone monthly housing price index figures
• Analysis of recent Core Logic data released and media reaction in Melbourne and Adelaide
• Why month-to-month changes are misleading and irrelevant
• Examples of the reported monthly data compared to longer term trends
• Why you need to take a long-term view, looking at quarterly and annual changes to determine the underlying noise in a market
• The media and commentator’s over-reaction to the latest dwelling approvals in Victoria from the Australian Bureau of Statistics
• Why consumers need to be ignoring the grandstanding of media outlets who are desperately trying to attract attention

Hotspotting Website – www.hotspotting.com.au

Hotspotting Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/hotspotting/

Headlines claiming that “Price growth will slow in 2018” or “House prices may drop” are misleading because they treat Australia as a single market moving in one direction.  In this episode, we take a national view of what is in store for the housing market in Austalia this year and highlight some of the misleading information being feed to Aussie property investors. 

• Examples of the misleading national real estate information published recently
• Why you can't rely on monthly sale figures for real estate reporting
• The media obsession with the 'downturn in housing pricing'
• Why Sydney and Melbourne housing prices will decline
• Why regional centers outside of Melbourne will experience strong price growth
• The outlook for Hobart, Adelaide, Canberra, Perth and Brisbane in 2018
• The one thing successful property investors need to understand this year

More information - Consumers misled by general analysis

Hotspotting Website – www.hotspotting.com.au

Hotspotting Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/hotspotting/