Matt Warder is the founder of Sea Wolf Research and a leading expert in coal, metals, and global supply chains.

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Recording Date 4-22-2026. In this episode, he breaks down the critical differences between thermal and metallurgical coal while revealing why both are essential to global growth. He explains how energy demand continues to rise despite the narrative around coal's decline and why supply constraints are the real story. The conversation highlights how coal remains deeply embedded in electricity generation and steel production worldwide. Warder sets the stage for a major shift in how investors should think about energy markets.

Matt moves into the powerful macro forces shaping coal markets, including geopolitical tensions, supply destruction, and rising input costs like diesel. Matt outlines how disruptions in global gas supply and conflict-driven shocks are pushing demand back toward coal, creating a structural floor for prices. He emphasizes the importance of seasonal cycles and explains how current price action could define the baseline for the next decade. The episode also explores how inflationary pressures will ripple across energy and materials, driving long-term upside volatility. Investors are urged to focus on key benchmarks and timing cycles correctly to capitalize on the opportunity.

Key Insights in this episode

✅ Coal demand is stable to rising while supply remains extremely constrained ✅ Thermal coal powers electricity while metallurgical coal is essential for steel production ✅ Diesel costs are a major driver of mining expenses and set price floors ✅ Global gas supply disruptions are forcing increased reliance on coal ✅ Shoulder season creates predictable short-term price weakness and buying opportunities ✅ Long-term trend points to energy driven inflation and rising commodity prices

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Chapters

00:00 Matt Warder On Coal And Commodity Markets 01:14 Thermal Coal Vs Met Coal Basics 03:23 Supply Demand Outlook For Coal 05:50 Iran Conflict And The New Coal Bull Case 11:49 API2 And Global Thermal Coal Pricing 15:21 Common Mistakes In Coal Stock Investing 17:17 Best Indicators For Tracking Coal 21:16 How To Follow Matt Warder 22:21 Premium Discussion On Top Coal Stocks

DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.

WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.

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