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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
0:00 Brian's Charts
3:15 Big Corn Sales
7:50 US Ag Trade Deficit
9:42 Drought Monitor / Weather / Crop
13:49 China Pig Plan
15:57 Nutrien
18:22 BOE Rate Cut, US Next
π― Big Corn Sales, Global Trade Shifts & Drought Watch! π½ππ
π₯ MASSIVE Corn Sales!
US new crop corn export sales came in at 3.163 MMT (125 mil bu) β the 3rd best weekly number ever and the best without China in the mix!
π Soybean sales (old + new crop) both beat expectations
π Wheat sales strong too β up 25% from last week
π¨ Record Ag Trade Deficit
For the first 6 months of 2025, the US posted a $28.6B ag trade deficit, the worst on record... June alone: $4.1B shortfall
π Long-running surpluses have turned into consistent deficits since 2019
π Brazil & Argentina crops still undercutting US grain globally
Drought Monitor Update
USDA's weekly drought map is out:
Spotty rains helped parts of IN & the High Plains
New drought popped up in MO, IA, WI, and KY
π Current drought by crop:
Corn: 3%
Soybeans: 3%
Winter Wheat: 30%
Spring Wheat: 35%
Cattle: 13%
π¨π³ China to Cut Hog Herd
China plans to reduce its sow herd by 1 million head
Cash hog prices are down 30% YoY
π¦ This could mean lower soymeal demand moving forward β big implications for soybean exporters
π§ Trade tensions also play a role here
π± Fertilizer Demand Still Strong
Nutrien says fall demand is booming, even with grain prices under pressure
π½ Higher US corn acres = more potash demand
π Nutrien raised its 2025 potash forecast after record H1 sales
π Expect a busy fall fertilizer season
π¬π§ Bank of England Cuts Rates
The BOE cut interest rates to 4.00%, lowest in over 2 years
π Down from 5.25% in 2024
βοΈ Vote was close: 5-4 split
π Inflation still high (4%)
π Labor market softening
π§ Forward guidance? Cautious & slow
Drop your thoughts in the comments! Are US ag exports turning a corner⦠or just getting squeezed out globally?
π Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit that bell π for weekly market insights that cut through the noise.
#GrainMarkets #CornExports #USDA #DroughtMonitor #TradeDeficit #Soybeans #Fertilizer #BOE #China #AgNews #FarmEcono
By Joe Vaclavik4.9
328328 ratings
Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com
Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube
Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.
0:00 Brian's Charts
3:15 Big Corn Sales
7:50 US Ag Trade Deficit
9:42 Drought Monitor / Weather / Crop
13:49 China Pig Plan
15:57 Nutrien
18:22 BOE Rate Cut, US Next
π― Big Corn Sales, Global Trade Shifts & Drought Watch! π½ππ
π₯ MASSIVE Corn Sales!
US new crop corn export sales came in at 3.163 MMT (125 mil bu) β the 3rd best weekly number ever and the best without China in the mix!
π Soybean sales (old + new crop) both beat expectations
π Wheat sales strong too β up 25% from last week
π¨ Record Ag Trade Deficit
For the first 6 months of 2025, the US posted a $28.6B ag trade deficit, the worst on record... June alone: $4.1B shortfall
π Long-running surpluses have turned into consistent deficits since 2019
π Brazil & Argentina crops still undercutting US grain globally
Drought Monitor Update
USDA's weekly drought map is out:
Spotty rains helped parts of IN & the High Plains
New drought popped up in MO, IA, WI, and KY
π Current drought by crop:
Corn: 3%
Soybeans: 3%
Winter Wheat: 30%
Spring Wheat: 35%
Cattle: 13%
π¨π³ China to Cut Hog Herd
China plans to reduce its sow herd by 1 million head
Cash hog prices are down 30% YoY
π¦ This could mean lower soymeal demand moving forward β big implications for soybean exporters
π§ Trade tensions also play a role here
π± Fertilizer Demand Still Strong
Nutrien says fall demand is booming, even with grain prices under pressure
π½ Higher US corn acres = more potash demand
π Nutrien raised its 2025 potash forecast after record H1 sales
π Expect a busy fall fertilizer season
π¬π§ Bank of England Cuts Rates
The BOE cut interest rates to 4.00%, lowest in over 2 years
π Down from 5.25% in 2024
βοΈ Vote was close: 5-4 split
π Inflation still high (4%)
π Labor market softening
π§ Forward guidance? Cautious & slow
Drop your thoughts in the comments! Are US ag exports turning a corner⦠or just getting squeezed out globally?
π Don't forget to like, subscribe, and hit that bell π for weekly market insights that cut through the noise.
#GrainMarkets #CornExports #USDA #DroughtMonitor #TradeDeficit #Soybeans #Fertilizer #BOE #China #AgNews #FarmEcono

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