Oil markets eased sharply after the US and Iran agreed the outline of an interim deal, although the agreement has not yet been formally signed and key details remain unpublished. President Trump announced the removal of the US naval blockade and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, while Pakistan confirmed a ceasefire between the parties.

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Brent crude briefly approached $98/bbl after renewed military exchanges between Iran and Israel heightened concerns over Middle East supply risks. Iran launched rockets following Israeli strikes in Beirut, while Israel subsequently targeted Iranian military sites despite reported US efforts to restrain escalation.

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Brent crude has recovered to around $93.50/bbl after falling below $90 last week on optimism that a US-Iran ceasefire agreement could ease tensions in the Gulf. However, reports of further negotiations, renewed military action around the Strait of Hormuz, and concerns over mine clearance have tempered expectations of a swift resolution.

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Brent crude fell sharply this week after reports suggested the US and Iran are close to agreeing a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and potentially ease sanctions on Iranian oil exports. Prices dropped from around $105/bbl to $96/bbl before recovering towards $98/bbl following limited US and Israeli strikes near the Strait.

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Brent crude climbed above $111 per barrel as renewed Middle East tensions rattled energy markets. Saudi Arabia and the UAE reported fresh drone strikes, with analysts suspecting Iranian-backed militias operating from Iraq or Yemen. At the same time, US-Iran negotiations remain stalled, while Tehran’s proposed control over Strait of Hormuz shipping routes is unlikely to satisfy Washington or Gulf allies.

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Oil prices have risen after Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest nuclear proposal, increasing geopolitical uncertainty in energy markets. Details of the offer remain unclear, though reports suggest Iran may have proposed limiting uranium enrichment without dismantling nuclear infrastructure. Trump called the deal “totally unacceptable,” raising fears of prolonged negotiations or renewed conflict.

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Tensions between the US and Iran have escalated again, with flashpoints centred on the Strait of Hormuz. Despite ongoing indirect negotiations, disagreements over the US naval blockade and Iran’s nuclear stance triggered renewed friction.

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Oil prices continue climbing amid stalled US–Iran negotiations, sustaining geopolitical risk premiums critical for UK commodities markets. Uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz remains unresolved, with no clear timeline for reopening.

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Oil markets are volatile as mixed signals from US–Iran diplomacy unsettle sentiment. Prices fell sharply on Friday, with Brent dropping from near $100/bbl to ~$85, after apparent progress on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, but conflicting statements and a tanker attack suggest it remains closed.

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US–Iran talks stalled over the weekend, with Washington demanding firm guarantees that Tehran won’t pursue nuclear weapons. While Iran signalled more negotiations may follow, tensions rose after Trump threatened a targeted blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Oil prices opened higher, though the move reflects fading optimism from last week.

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