Microsoft signs a five-year, $9.7 billion contract with IREN as the miner pivots to building and operating AI data centers at 200 MW scale. We unpack EBITDA claims, GPU CapEx realities, Childress buildout progress, and why miners are becoming HPC providers.

• Contract headline terms and 20% prepayment
• Why this is not a co-location model
• GPU CapEx, depreciation, and EBITDA limits
• Childress site progress and horizon phases
• Expansion capacity at Sweetwater and timeline
• Partner lineup and NVIDIA preferred status
• Miners’ narrative shift from BTC to HPC
• ARR potential from scaled megawatts
• Risks, utilization, and renewal dynamics

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