Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Is China BACK?! + USDA Preview


Listen Later

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com

Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-

Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Google
TikTok
YouTube

Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

0:00 Is China Back?
2:25 USDA Preview
5:41 US Weather Update
7:32 Russian Crop Losses (Wheat)
9:02 CPI Preview

Welcome back to our channel, where we delve into the latest developments in agricultural markets, including flash sales, upcoming USDA reports, and evolving weather conditions affecting crop production.

๐ŸŒฑ Flash Sale of Soybeans to China:
The USDA reported a significant sale of soybeans this week, with 104,000 metric tons (4 million bushels) sold to China for delivery in the 2023/2024 marketing year. This sale is part of a broader trend, totaling 208,000 metric tons in recent purchases. Analysts suggest that changes in Brazilian tax policy, which have made Brazilian soybeans more expensive on the export market, might have influenced China's decision to purchase more U.S. soybeans.

๐Ÿ“‘ Upcoming USDA Reports:
The USDA is set to release its monthly Crop Production and WASDE reports today. While U.S. production estimates typically remain unchanged in June, there could be adjustments in demand on the balance sheets. Additionally, production numbers from South America and Russian wheat forecasts will be particularly scrutinized, given previous discrepancies with USDA's estimates. These reports are critical for traders and will likely influence market movements.

๐ŸŒง๏ธ Weather Conditions in the US Corn Belt:
The next 72 hours are expected to be mostly dry across the Corn Belt, with rain returning over the weekend. The forecast indicates 1-2 inches of rain in areas including northern Iowa and southern Minnesota, beneficial for crop moisture levels. However, regions like Illinois and Ohio might remain drier, which could impact crop conditions amid fluctuating temperatures forecasted over the next two weeks.

๐ŸŒพ Russian Crop Losses and Global Impact:
Recent reports from Russia indicate that crop losses from May frosts are more severe than initially estimated, with 15-30% of winter grains affected. Despite these losses and a federal emergency declaration, exports are not expected to be impacted significantly. This situation will be critical to monitor as it may affect global grain supply and pricing.

๐Ÿ“‰ Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Decisions:
Today's CPI report is projected to show a slight increase in consumer prices, suggesting a stabilization in inflation rates. This data is crucial as it could influence the Federal Reserve's decisions on interest rates, expected to be announced later today. These economic indicators are essential for understanding broader market sentiments and potential impacts on agricultural investments.

๐Ÿ”” Stay Updated:
For ongoing insights into these issues affecting agriculture and economic trends, make sure to subscribe to our channel. We provide detailed analysis to help you navigate these complex developments.

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9

4.9

328 ratings


More shows like Grain Markets and Other Stuff

View all
AgriTalk by AgriTalk

AgriTalk

153 Listeners

AgriTalk PM by Farm Journal Media

AgriTalk PM

133 Listeners

Ag PhD Radio on SiriusXM 147 by Ag PhD

Ag PhD Radio on SiriusXM 147

231 Listeners

Future of Agriculture by Tim Hammerich

Future of Agriculture

258 Listeners

SharkFarmer Podcast by Rob Sharkey

SharkFarmer Podcast

363 Listeners

Boots In The Field Report by Ken Ferrie

Boots In The Field Report

38 Listeners

The Business of Agriculture Podcast by Damian Mason

The Business of Agriculture Podcast

121 Listeners

Cattle Chat by BCI Cattle Chat

Cattle Chat

133 Listeners

Farm4Profit Podcast by David Whitaker, Corey Hillebo, Tanner Winterhof

Farm4Profit Podcast

383 Listeners

The Ag View Pitch by The Ag View Pitch

The Ag View Pitch

51 Listeners

Straight Forward Farming by Growincorn2020

Straight Forward Farming

964 Listeners

Ranching Returns Podcast by Jared Luhman

Ranching Returns Podcast

224 Listeners

Barn Talk by Tork and Sawyer Whisler

Barn Talk

1,651 Listeners

XtremeAg: Cutting The Curve Podcast by XtremeAg

XtremeAg: Cutting The Curve Podcast

23 Listeners

The Bushels and Barrels Program by Ryan Peter

The Bushels and Barrels Program

246 Listeners