In this episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard Atwood speaks with Crisis Group’s Latin America director, Renata Segura and senior policy director, Ivan Briscoe, about what the Trump administration is trying to achieve in Cuba and recent developments in Venezuela. They discuss Washington’s pressure campaign on Cuba, the effects of the U.S. oil blockade, popular frustration on the island and the inner workings of the Cuban regime and the reported talks between Washington and figures within the Cuban regime. They also look at Venezuela, what has changed since Nicolás Maduro’s capture, what is happening with oil revenues and whether the country is moving toward political reform. They assess how the rest of Latin America is reacting to Trump. They ask whether military action against Cuba is a real possibility, and whether a compromise short of full regime change would satisfy Washington and hardline Cuban-Americans.

For more, check out our Q&A “Hunger in Havana: Can the U.S. Cutoff Bring Change to Cuba?” and our Latin America & Caribbean page.

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