Foreign Policy Live

 It is well known that at least part of Washington’s reluctance to regulate artificial intelligence comes from wanting to make sure the United States stays ahead of China. But what exactly are the two countries racing for? Matt Sheehan, a co-director of the China AI Initiative at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, joins FP’s Ravi Agrawal to explain the countries’ very different definitions of winning and why U.S. models are only months ahead of their Chinese competitors.

Plus, after Brazil’s first round of elections, Ravi shares his read on Latin America’s rightward swing.

Adam Goldsmith: Brazil’s Election Won’t Fix Its Biggest Problems

Van Jackson: Trump’s ‘Greater North America’ Is Fascist Geopolitics

New York Times: Jack Nicas: A Bolsonaro Win Would Nearly Complete Trump’s Latin America Map

Agathe Demarais: China’s AI Rollout Has No Off Switch

Robert A. Manning and Giulia Neaher: China’s Success Is Forcing a U.S. AI Rethink

Fareed Zakaria: America Can Regulate AI—and Still Win the AI Race

Suzanne Nossel: Don’t Let China Stack the Deck

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How can you tackle poverty and create infrastructure amid an active conflict? Alexander De Croo is the head of the U.N. Development Program, and he joins FP’s Ravi Agrawal to make the case for spending development dollars on building long-term resilience. He’s exploring solutions to opium poppies in Afghanistan, electric grids in Ukraine, and sanitation in Gaza, even as major donors such as the United States pull back.

Plus, Ravi shares his read on the war rapidly escalating in Ethiopia.

Nosmot Gbadamosi: Ethiopia’s Return to War Threatens to Engulf the Horn of Africa

World’s Toughest Job: The Triage Game: Own, Delegate, or Drop

Adam Tooze: The End of Development

David Miliband: It’s Time to Update the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals

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U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz has become one of the Trump administration’s most visible spokespeople, publicly explaining and defending its policies on everything from Iran to Venezuela and Sudan. But how has Washington’s global role changed as the White House pulls back from multilateral institutions? How does the administration make the case for an unpopular war in Iran? Waltz sits down with FP Live to talk through the White House’s foreign-policy strategy. 

Michael Waltz and Massad Boulous: Peace in Sudan Can Only Flower After a Weapons Embargo

Abdalfatah Alburhan: How to Bring Peace to Sudan

New York Times: David E. Sanger, Tyler Pager, Katie Rogers, and Zolan Kanno-Youngs: Trump Lays Out a Vision of Power Restrained Only by ‘My Own Morality’

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Maria Ressa is one of the most inspiring journalists of our age, a media leader whose bravery against authoritarianism earned her the Nobel Peace Prize in 2021. Now, she’s focusing her energy on artificial intelligence and Big Tech and how ordinary citizens can reclaim their attention, their time, and their democracies. She’s also a co-chair of the United Nations Independent International Scientific Panel on AI. Ressa joined Ravi Agrawal on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly this week at FP’s Tech and AI Forum.

Plus, Ravi shares his read on what gave him chills, and what gave him hope, this UNGA week.

Rockefeller Foundation: New Global Poll: Amid Growing Pessimism, Security Tops Priorities for International Cooperation

Preliminary Report of the U.N. Independent International Scientific Panel on AI

U.N. Independent International Scientific Panel on AI: Thematic Brief on AI Agents, Misalignment, and the Risk of Losing Human Control

Adam Elkus: Are AI and Democracy Compatible?

Cameron Abadi and Adam Tooze: Can AI Be Regulated?

Sarosh Nagar and David Eaves: The World Needs to Know When AI Goes Wrong

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Ajay Banga has a simple north star as he runs the World Bank: jobs, jobs, jobs. And for good reason. The World Bank estimates that developing countries are on track to create only a third of the approximately 1.2 billion jobs they will need to keep up with demand. How can countries and companies bridge this gap? Banga sat down with FP’s Ravi Agrawal to detail how the bank is mobilizing private capital and working with governments to create sustainable jobs.

Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance

David Miliband: It’s Time for the World Bank to Break With Tradition

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It’s time for another ask-me-anything edition of FP Live. After a trip to Kyiv, FP editor in chief Ravi Agrawal explained why new developments in drone technology have him worried about conflicts around the world. Plus, he takes on the energy market, why both the United States and Iran have overreached in their ongoing conflict, and how Chinese President Xi Jinping sees the world. 

Ravi Agrawal: Why My Kyiv Visit Worried Me So Much

Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked

Ravi Agrawal: Iran Could Be Trump’s Greatest Failure

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In this bonus episode, host Ravi Agrawal presents his recent essay arguing that U.S. President Donald Trump has peaked. While Trump still has two years left in office and immense potential for global disruption, Ravi makes the case that his coercive powers are in clear decline, as seen through a depleted military and an array of global moves to de-risk from the White House. As companies and countries realize this shift, they will change how they act toward the United States and how they think about a future world order. 

Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked

Hal Brands: How to Survive in a World Without Rules

Charles A. Kupchan: The World’s Only Real Hope of Maintaining Order

Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance

Michael Beckley: A New Engine of Development

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Behind every major decision, whether by a family buying a home or a shipping company deciding to transit the Strait of Hormuz, lies the judgment of the insurance markets. How do insurers evaluate risk, and what can we learn from how they attach a premium to conflict or natural disasters? John Doyle, the president and CEO of Marsh, a conglomerate that includes the world’s largest insurance broker, joins the show to discuss how he evaluates geopolitical risk—and how companies and countries should protect themselves from disruption.

Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked

Hal Brands: How to Survive in a World Without Rules

Charles A. Kupchan: The World’s Only Real Hope of Maintaining Order

Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance

Michael Beckley: A New Engine of Development

Elisabeth Braw: Can Ships in the Gulf Take Trump at His Word?

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 The global order may be broken, but international relations scholar Charles A. Kupchan has a plan to remake it. In a forthcoming Foreign Policy essay, he argues that because power is becoming more diffuse, regional groupings such as the European Union and Association of Southeast Asian Nations will become more essential. But to really manage global governance, he proposes the creation of a high-level brain trust that would sit above a currently paralyzed United Nations and resolve disputes between world powers. Kupchan joins FP Live to discuss how to put his provocative plan into action.

Plus, Ravi shares his read on how China and the United States are presenting two different visions of leadership at this week’s G-20 and Shanghai Cooperation Organization conferences.

Alexandra Sharp: Moscow’s Moment of Global Summitry

Comfort Ero and Richard Gowan: Peacemaking Is Power Politics Again

Bruno Maçães: What Comes After Global Order

Nick Danforth: Who Killed the Liberal International Order?

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The United States is burning through some of its most advanced munitions in its war with Iran this year. By some accounts, inventories of high-end Patriot and THAAD interceptors may be depleted by as much as 80 percent. Replacing them could take years, even as military planners worry about needs in Europe and the Indo-Pacific. Tom Karako, director of the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Missile Defense Project, has tracked just how deep the shortfall runs and what it would take to fix it. He joins FP Live to assess the state of U.S. stockpiles and what it means about the future of American preparedness.

John Haltiwanger and Rishi Iyengar: The Iran War Has Left the U.S. Dangerously Exposed

Sam Skove: U.S. War in Iran Leaves Ukraine’s Air Defense in Limbo

Robert Almelor Delfeld: The U.S. Munitions Deficit Is a Political Problem

Franz-Stefan Gady: Europe’s Dangerous Hesitation on Its Own Air Defense

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