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Relations between Kyiv and Washington have become particularly rocky this month. U.S. President Donald Trump is making political and diplomatic moves that seem to benefit Moscow. But why, and to what end? How should Kyiv adjust its strategy? Andrea Kendall-Taylor, a former CIA analyst and deputy national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia, weighs in on the strained relationship between Ukraine and the United States.
Plus, Ravi shares his read on the wave of youth-led protests across the globe.
Kersti Kaljulaid: The West Has a Crisis of Hope
Keith Johnson: How Ukraine Is Navigating Trump’s Latest U-Turn
David Ignatius: The Plan to End the Ukraine War
Sam Skove: Can Ukraine Afford Its Own Defense?
Keith Johnson: Trump’s Diesel Deal Has No Winners
Daniel S. Hamilton and Angela Stent: America’s Best Answer to the China-Russia Alliance
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What’s the best way to navigate the Trump White House? Some countries employ flattery; others look to keep a low profile. Spain is a rare country that openly disagrees with several U.S. positions. On issue after issue, from the war in Iran to immigration policy, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s left-wing government has publicly forged a path that runs counter to a global trend of right-wing policies. But is such a path electorally viable? We’ll find out when Spaniards head to the polls in November. On the latest episode of FP Live, Spanish Foreign Minister José Manuel Albares explains how Madrid thinks about the trade-offs in following its progressive agenda while risking the ire of the world’s biggest economy.
Plus, Ravi shares his read on how conflicts around the world, from Ukraine to Iran, are increasingly linked.
Keith Johnson: Trump’s Diesel Deal Has No Winners
Antonio De Loera-Brust: Spain Is the Friend That the United States Needs
Omar G. Encarnación: A Tale of Two Socialists
Michele Barbero: Spanish Immigration Is Different
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It is well known that at least part of Washington’s reluctance to regulate artificial intelligence comes from wanting to make sure the United States stays ahead of China. But what exactly are the two countries racing for? Matt Sheehan, a co-director of the China AI Initiative at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, joins FP’s Ravi Agrawal to explain the countries’ very different definitions of winning and why U.S. models are only months ahead of their Chinese competitors.
Plus, after Brazil’s first round of elections, Ravi shares his read on Latin America’s rightward swing.
Adam Goldsmith: Brazil’s Election Won’t Fix Its Biggest Problems
Van Jackson: Trump’s ‘Greater North America’ Is Fascist Geopolitics
New York Times: Jack Nicas: A Bolsonaro Win Would Nearly Complete Trump’s Latin America Map
Agathe Demarais: China’s AI Rollout Has No Off Switch
Robert A. Manning and Giulia Neaher: China’s Success Is Forcing a U.S. AI Rethink
Fareed Zakaria: America Can Regulate AI—and Still Win the AI Race
Suzanne Nossel: Don’t Let China Stack the Deck
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How can you tackle poverty and create infrastructure amid an active conflict? Alexander De Croo is the head of the U.N. Development Program, and he joins FP’s Ravi Agrawal to make the case for spending development dollars on building long-term resilience. He’s exploring solutions to opium poppies in Afghanistan, electric grids in Ukraine, and sanitation in Gaza, even as major donors such as the United States pull back.
Plus, Ravi shares his read on the war rapidly escalating in Ethiopia.
Nosmot Gbadamosi: Ethiopia’s Return to War Threatens to Engulf the Horn of Africa
World’s Toughest Job: The Triage Game: Own, Delegate, or Drop
Adam Tooze: The End of Development
David Miliband: It’s Time to Update the U.N. Sustainable Development Goals
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U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz has become one of the Trump administration’s most visible spokespeople, publicly explaining and defending its policies on everything from Iran to Venezuela and Sudan. But how has Washington’s global role changed as the White House pulls back from multilateral institutions? How does the administration make the case for an unpopular war in Iran? Waltz sits down with FP Live to talk through the White House’s foreign-policy strategy.
Michael Waltz and Massad Boulous: Peace in Sudan Can Only Flower After a Weapons Embargo
Abdalfatah Alburhan: How to Bring Peace to Sudan
New York Times: David E. Sanger, Tyler Pager, Katie Rogers, and Zolan Kanno-Youngs: Trump Lays Out a Vision of Power Restrained Only by ‘My Own Morality’
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Maria Ressa is one of the most inspiring journalists of our age, a media leader whose bravery against authoritarianism earned her the Nobel Peace Prize in 2021. Now, she’s focusing her energy on artificial intelligence and Big Tech and how ordinary citizens can reclaim their attention, their time, and their democracies. She’s also a co-chair of the United Nations Independent International Scientific Panel on AI. Ressa joined Ravi Agrawal on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly this week at FP’s Tech and AI Forum.
Plus, Ravi shares his read on what gave him chills, and what gave him hope, this UNGA week.
Rockefeller Foundation: New Global Poll: Amid Growing Pessimism, Security Tops Priorities for International Cooperation
Preliminary Report of the U.N. Independent International Scientific Panel on AI
U.N. Independent International Scientific Panel on AI: Thematic Brief on AI Agents, Misalignment, and the Risk of Losing Human Control
Adam Elkus: Are AI and Democracy Compatible?
Cameron Abadi and Adam Tooze: Can AI Be Regulated?
Sarosh Nagar and David Eaves: The World Needs to Know When AI Goes Wrong
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Ajay Banga has a simple north star as he runs the World Bank: jobs, jobs, jobs. And for good reason. The World Bank estimates that developing countries are on track to create only a third of the approximately 1.2 billion jobs they will need to keep up with demand. How can countries and companies bridge this gap? Banga sat down with FP’s Ravi Agrawal to detail how the bank is mobilizing private capital and working with governments to create sustainable jobs.
Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance
David Miliband: It’s Time for the World Bank to Break With Tradition
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It’s time for another ask-me-anything edition of FP Live. After a trip to Kyiv, FP editor in chief Ravi Agrawal explained why new developments in drone technology have him worried about conflicts around the world. Plus, he takes on the energy market, why both the United States and Iran have overreached in their ongoing conflict, and how Chinese President Xi Jinping sees the world.
Ravi Agrawal: Why My Kyiv Visit Worried Me So Much
Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked
Ravi Agrawal: Iran Could Be Trump’s Greatest Failure
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In this bonus episode, host Ravi Agrawal presents his recent essay arguing that U.S. President Donald Trump has peaked. While Trump still has two years left in office and immense potential for global disruption, Ravi makes the case that his coercive powers are in clear decline, as seen through a depleted military and an array of global moves to de-risk from the White House. As companies and countries realize this shift, they will change how they act toward the United States and how they think about a future world order.
Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked
Hal Brands: How to Survive in a World Without Rules
Charles A. Kupchan: The World’s Only Real Hope of Maintaining Order
Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance
Michael Beckley: A New Engine of Development
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Behind every major decision, whether by a family buying a home or a shipping company deciding to transit the Strait of Hormuz, lies the judgment of the insurance markets. How do insurers evaluate risk, and what can we learn from how they attach a premium to conflict or natural disasters? John Doyle, the president and CEO of Marsh, a conglomerate that includes the world’s largest insurance broker, joins the show to discuss how he evaluates geopolitical risk—and how companies and countries should protect themselves from disruption.
Ravi Agrawal: Trump Has Peaked
Hal Brands: How to Survive in a World Without Rules
Charles A. Kupchan: The World’s Only Real Hope of Maintaining Order
Mariana Mazzucato: How to Write Better Rules for Global Finance
Michael Beckley: A New Engine of Development
Elisabeth Braw: Can Ships in the Gulf Take Trump at His Word?
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