Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Is the Western Corn Belt Drought Being Busted??


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Limited Rainfall in US Corn Belt: Rainfall will be limited over the next few days, with return expected later in the week. A significant accumulation of 1-3" of rain forecasted in western Corn Belt, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Michigan during the 5-10 day period, potentially alleviating drought conditions, particularly in Iowa. Below-normal temperatures expected in the eastern Corn Belt this week. 🌧️🌽🌾

Brazilian Dominance in Chinese Market: Brazilian corn and soybeans maintain dominance in the Chinese market. China's soybean imports from the US plummet by 50% in March, while Brazilian soybean imports surge by 81%. Chinese corn imports from Brazil also spike by 72%, with US imports plunging by 78%. High prices and reduced feed demand contribute to the decline in Chinese imports. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³πŸŒ½πŸŒ±

Large Net Short Position Held by Fund Traders: Fund traders maintain historically large net short positions across the grain complex. Net sales of corn and soybeans contracts, along with SRW wheat, persist. The CFTC's weekly Commitment of Traders data reveals continued bearish sentiment. πŸ“‰πŸ’ΌπŸ’΅

US House Passes Foreign Aid Package: The US House of Representatives approves a $95 billion foreign aid package, with significant allocations for Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan. Senate expected to vote on and pass the bill, despite requests to include US border legislation. House also approves bill to ban TikTok unless parent company divests from app. πŸ›οΈπŸ’°πŸ€

Neutral Cattle on Feed Report: Friday's Cattle on Feed report viewed as neutral and somewhat supportive of the cattle market. Cattle on feed slightly lower than anticipated, with placements significantly lower than expected. Marketings also below pre-report estimates, contributing to the report's neutral to somewhat friendly outlook. πŸ„πŸ“ŠπŸ“ˆ

Flash Sales Reported by USDA: USDA reports multiple flash sales, including corn sales to Mexico and soybean sales to unknown destinations for both the current and upcoming marketing years. The sales contribute to ongoing export activity amidst changing market dynamics. 🌽🚒🌱

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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