It's A Numbers Game with Ryan Girdusky

New polling out of Virginia is raising serious questions about Abigail Spanberger’s strength in the governor’s race. Once seen as a dominant frontrunner, Spanberger is now facing declining approval ratings and growing resistance from key voter blocs.

In this episode, Ryan sits down with polling expert Chaz Nuttycombe, executive director of State Navigate, to break down one of the most fascinating and tightly contested political landscapes in the country.

Why are recent Virginia polls diverging from expectations? What makes a poll truly accurate in today’s volatile political climate? And which voter groups are driving the biggest shifts ahead of the next election?

Chaz explains how his team outperformed other pollsters by adjusting for turnout trends, party ID shifts, and real-world voting behavior—offering a behind-the-scenes look at how modern polling actually works.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this action-packed episode of The Numbers Game, Ryan breaks down the biggest political stories shaping the moment—backed by fresh polling, insider insight, and a major announcement.

Ryan unveils his new Homeland PAC, aimed at holding Republicans accountable on immigration policy and challenging pro-amnesty lawmakers. He also dives into the growing fallout surrounding Eric Swalwell, including shocking allegations, political consequences, and what it means for Democrats heading into 2028.

Plus, a deep dive into a new Yale poll reveals a major generational divide within Gen Z, with young voters shifting in unexpected ways. Ryan unpacks the numbers on Trump’s approval, the widening gender gap, and why young men may be the GOP’s biggest opportunity moving forward.

Later in the episode, Ryan sits down with Louisiana State Treasurer and U.S. Senate candidate John Fleming to discuss border security, AI regulation, nuclear energy, and the future of the Republican Party.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of A Numbers Game, Ryan dives deep into Congresswoman Maria Elvira Salazar’s controversial Dignity Act, breaking down the real policy implications, political strategy, and potential impact on immigration, the workforce, and U.S. elections.

Ryan also unpacks the developing allegations surrounding Congressman Eric Swalwell and what they could mean for California’s governor race. Plus, a broader look at shifting political dynamics, including immigration policy battles, Republican infighting, and the long-term electoral consequences of amnesty debates.

To close out the show, Ryan answers listener questions on U.S.-Israel relations, generational divides in foreign policy, the future of the Democratic Party, and what the next election cycle could look like.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On this episode of A Numbers Game, Ryan Girdusky breaks down the latest 2026 census birth data and what it reveals about immigration trends, declining fertility rates, and the future of the U.S. population.

From double-digit drops in immigrant birth rates to a nationwide fertility rate falling below replacement levels, Ryan explains why these numbers matter—and how policy changes may be driving the shift.

Plus, a deep dive into the Wisconsin and Georgia election results, where surprising turnout trends and shifting voter coalitions signal potential trouble ahead for Republicans. Are key parts of the Trump coalition slipping away?

And in New York City, Ryan unpacks a controversial new racial equity agenda, examining the data, the political implications, and the broader debate over policy, fairness, and economic outcomes.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Is Virginia becoming the next political battleground to watch in 2026 and beyond?

On this episode, Ryan sits down with Amber Duke, Editor-in-Chief of The Daily Caller, to break down the growing political turmoil in Virginia. From Governor Spanberger’s slipping poll numbers to the controversial redistricting push that could reshape congressional power, this conversation dives deep into the issues driving voter frustration across the state.

They explore:

Why Spanberger’s approval ratings are hitting historic lows

The backlash over immigration enforcement and crime policies in Northern Virginia

How proposed tax hikes and climate regulations are impacting residents

The high-stakes redistricting battle and claims of “rigged” vs. “fair” maps

What this all means for the 2026 elections and the future of Democratic power

Plus, insights into shifting voter behavior, early voting trends, and whether Virginia could signal a broader national political realignment.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On this episode of The Numbers Game, Ryan breaks down the latest polling data shaking up the 2026 midterm landscape—and the numbers aren’t looking great for Donald Trump or Republicans.

From collapsing approval ratings to the rise of “double haters” who distrust both parties, this episode dives deep into what’s driving voter sentiment—and why Democrats may have the edge heading into the next election cycle.

Plus, insights on the federal budget, immigration trends, and how shifting demographics could reshape American elections for the next decade.

EMAIL RYAN

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of A Numbers Game, Ryan Girdusky breaks down one of the most consequential legal battles in years—the future of birthright citizenship—as the Supreme Court of the United States hears arguments that could reshape immigration law in America.

Plus, a wide-ranging conversation with Will Chamberlain on:

The government’s legal argument against automatic citizenship The role of precedent like United States v. Wong Kim Ark What to expect from the Court’s final ruling.

EMAIL RYAN

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

On this episode of A Numbers Game, Ryan Girdusky breaks down the real data driving the political fallout from the Iran war—and why it’s starting to hit where it hurts most: the economy and voter sentiment.

Gas prices are surging, public approval is slipping, and new polling shows a clear shift among independents and even core Republican voters. What started as a distant foreign policy issue is now a kitchen-table crisis, reshaping the political landscape ahead of the midterms.

Ryan dives into the numbers behind declining support, the erosion of Trump’s coalition, and why economic pressure—from fuel costs to broader inflation concerns—is becoming the defining issue. Plus, Ryan examines new data on AI, voter priorities, and emerging “80-20” issues that could decide the next election.

EMAIL RYAN

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this data-packed episode of A Numbers Game, Ryan Girdusky breaks down the latest census data revealing a dramatic shift in America’s population trends—and what it means for the future of political power.

From steep declines in immigration across major metro areas to mass migration away from blue cities like Los Angeles, New York, and Chicago, the numbers are pointing toward a major redistricting shake-up ahead of the 2030 census. Could this fundamentally alter the Electoral College and congressional balance for the next decade?

EMAIL RYAN

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

In this episode of It’s a Numbers Game, Ryan Girdusky is joined by investigative journalist Steve Robinson to break down the political battles shaping Maine—and what they reveal about the national landscape heading into 2026.

They dive into the breaking ballot referendum on women’s sports and gender policies, examining how the issue has shifted public opinion and why polling consistently shows overwhelming support for sex-based protections. The conversation explores real-world cases, political messaging, and how grassroots activism is influencing statewide policy.

Ryan and Steve also unpack Maine’s high-stakes political races, including the governor’s race, congressional battles, and Susan Collins’ reelection fight. From campaign strategy to shifting voter coalitions, they analyze what the numbers actually say—and where the media narrative gets it wrong.

See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.