BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

J Scott: We’re Due for a Recession, But It Isn’t All Bad for Real Estate


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Will mortgage rates remain above seven percent in 2025? Are we closer to a recession than most Americans realize? Why does it feel like this economic cycle of high rates and a struggling middle class will never end? The biggest question is: What do all these factors mean for real estate, and should you still be investing? We brought on the man who literally wrote the book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing to give his 2025 outlook.

J Scott has flipped over 500 homes, manages and owns thousands of rental units, and has been involved in tens of millions of dollars in real estate transactions. He started investing in 2008; he’s seen the worst of recessions and the highest of pricing peaks. We brought him back on the show as our industry expert to provide his time-tested take on what could happen in 2025 and share his economic framework for forecasting what’s coming next.

J says we’re long overdue for a recession—and the red flags are popping up more frequently. While signs of a global recession loom, J explains what this means for mortgage rates and home prices and why now might still be the time to invest.


In This Episode We Cover:

Why J believes we’re closer to a global recession than most people think

New Trump presidential policies that could have huge impacts on inflation (and mortgage rates)

Whether mortgage rates will stay in the seven percent range EVEN as the Fed lowers rates

The broken economic “cycle” we find ourselves in and the only way to fix it 

Could home prices correct/crash if mortgage rates finally do fall?

And So Much More!


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Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1068

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