On this week’s episode of Horizon, John Chang unpacks where multifamily demand is heading amid conflicting data and shifting migration trends. He explains how the August employment revisions, slower domestic and international migration, and a still-wide rent-to-own payment gap could cool absorption in the near term, especially across high-construction Sun Belt markets. John contrasts those headwinds with steadier fundamentals in supply-constrained “snow belt” metros, notes the growing importance of lease renewals over new leases, and makes the case that cap rates are stabilizing near equilibrium. He closes with a near-term “slow and steady” outlook and a longer-term rebound thesis for select Sun Belt markets once excess supply burns off.

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