Market Updates

The ASX fell another 12 points to 8802, well off lows, as resources were slammed hard. The market finished well off the lows of the day as US futures recovered from heavy early losses. Banks held up again, CBA up 1.3% and the Big Bank Basket up to $297.93 (+0.9 % ). MQG dropped 0.4%, and financials were mixed — ASX up 1.6% and GQG off 1.7% again. Insurers saw small gains, SUN up 0.6% and MPL up 1.2% on an acquisition. Industrials were mixed, TLS rose 1.5% with BXB recovering slightly, WOW and COL rose, and TCL up 0.8%. Tech stocks fell, XRO off 0.9% and WTC continuing to fall off 1.4%. The All-Tech Index was down 1.7%. Healthcare stocks were mixed — CSL fell 0.4% despite a briefing on vaccines this morning, RMD up 0.6%, and PME slipping 1.4%.

Resources tumbled, BHP off 0.5% with FMG down 2.5%, though well off the lows. Gold miners saw small losses even as bullion pushed higher. Lithium stocks fell hard, PLS down 3.3% and MIN off 3.4%. Rare earths saw heavy losses, LYC off 3.3% and ILU down 3.6%. Second-liners like ARU fell 5.7%, well below the SPP placement price of 28c.

In corporate news, TYR appointed Nigel Lee as new CEO, GMG fell 3.4% on an AGM update. WDS looking to boost cashflow.

Nothing on the economic front here. Asian markets crumbled in places — the Nikkei 225 dropped the most since April, as tech valuations came under scrutiny.

Asian markets - HK up 0.1% China up 0.1% and Japan down 1.5% 10-year yields 4.31%. US Futures off lows, Nasdaq down 52. Dow up 56.

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Stocks fell on Tuesday, pressured by declines in artificial intelligence-related names like Palantir, as investors grew increasingly concerned about valuations in the bull market-leading shares.

The S&P 500 declined 1.17% to close at 6,771.55, while the Nasdaq Composite traded down 2.04% to finish at 23,348.64. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 251.44 points, or 0.53%, to 47,085.24.

• Wall St falls as bank CEOs warn of possible pullback, sparking tech bubble jitters
• Norwegian opposition complicates Musk's path to $1 trillion pay deal
• UK's Reeves paves way for tax rises in her next budget
• Wall Street heavyweights flag risk of pullback in equity markets

COMPANIES

• Amazon's $38 billion OpenAI deal shows it is no longer an AI laggard
• Pfizer, Novo Nordisk escalate bidding war for obesity drug developer Metsera
• Starbucks' bet on local expertise could help it regain ground in China
• Uber operating profit hit by legal expenses, shares fall

Commodities slip - Gold sold down again - Bitcoin down below $100k - SPI up 18!

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The ASX 200 dropped another 81 points to 8814 (0.9%) as the RBA kept rates unchanged as expected. Banks and iron ore miners synchronised falls, with the Big Bank Basket down to $295.15 (-0.4%). WBC saw buyers up 1.5% on broker comments post the result. CBA down 0.8%. Insurers and financials slid, MQG down 0.8% and QBE off 0.7%, with SOL continuing to flounder off another 1.7%. REITs under pressure again, GMG off 1.9% and SGP falling 1.1%. Industrials weaker with some exceptions, DMP, LNW and PWH in the green. WES lost another 0.8% with JBH off 1.9% and SUL falling 2.8%. Tech eased back again, XRO down another 1.6% and WTC falling 1.5%.

In resources, iron ore miners under pressure with prices off in Asia. BHP down 1.9% and FMG dropping 2.7%. Lithium and rare earths seeing profit taking, LYC down 1.2% and MIN off 2.3%. Gold miners were generally steady. Oil and gas eased, WDS down 0.7%, and uranium stocks fell back to earth.

In corporate news, GEM fell 13.0% on an earnings update, LNW to delist from Nasdaq, CCX jumped 8.8% on positive momentum in trade. NVX crashed 10.6% as Stellantis pulled out of its agreement.

On the economic front, the RBA left rates unchanged. Capital Economics believes the Reserve Bank will still lower interest rates twice next year, with the first reduction coming in the third quarter.

Asian markets mixed, HK up 0.2%, China down 0.4% and Japan down 0.5%.
 10-year yields 4.34%. US Futures easing back, Dow off 189 and Nasdaq falling 218.

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The big deals just keep coming over in the USA. Amazon hit all time highs on the news that OpenAI has signed a seven year deal to buy services from Amazon’s cloud division AWS. It’s worth $38bn. Amazon rose 4%, lifting again after its quarterly report last week. That helped the Nasdaq rise 0.45%. Tesla also rose 2%, momentum starting to form after the wobble around it quarterly update back on October 22. Nvidia also rose 2%. Its most advanced AI chips remain reserved for US companies. That’s not all. The firm behind consumer brands Huggies and Kleenex, Kimberly-Clark, is going to spend $40bn to buy a company called Kenvue, makers of Tylenol. This kind of action tends to come after a strong bull run. The SP500 finished up 0.16%.  

SPI futures are down 9 points. The ASX set to open lower. RBA and Cup in focus. Victorian holiday.

Not much fun for resource investors overnight. Spot uranium fell and dragged down the sector, with Cameco off 1.2% and NexGen Energy -6.3%. Copper stocks were weak as the copper bull run takes a breather. Lithium shares were generally down too. US financials and the VIX were flat.

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The ASX 200 started badly down some 40 points but rallied to close up 13 at 8892 (0.2%). Once again it was the banks that led the turnaround with WBC numbers pleasing and the sale of the RAMS Home Loan book also a positive. The bank closed up 2.8% with the Big Bank Basket at $297.33 (+2%). CBA kicked up 2.3% and other financials were mixed. REITs slid with GMG down 0.2% and SGP off 0.8% and insurers also fell, QBE down 1.2%. Industrials ended up mixed, after a sluggish start, WES up 0.3% and REA bouncing 1.1%. Tech stocks did better, WTC up 0.6% and XRO rallying 2.3%. In the healthcare space, RMD fell 4.3% on its results, CSL continued to drag the sector down, off another 1.7%.

Resources were weaker on Chinese data, BHP down 0.2% and rare earths spluttered lower, LYC off 8.1% and lithium depressed, PLS down 5.2% and LTR off 0.4%. Gold miners eased back as bullion tested $4000, NST down 2.0% and EVN off 2.5%. Oil and gas stocks rose as crude pushed ahead, WDS up 1.3% and STO up 1.1%, uranium drifted lower, PDN down 2.0%.

In corporate news, DRO steady on a Latin American order, DMP rose 0.2% after selling its printing business.

Asian markets mixed, HK up 0.1%, China up 0.2% and Japan up 0.9%.

10-year yields 4.35%. US futures slightly higher.

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Wall St ended slightly higher as positive Amazon results outweighed falling odds for a rate cut in December. Tech sector down overall yet the Nasdaq performed best up 0.61%. S&P 500 up 0.27%. Closing off highs on average volume. Dow up 41 points. Amazon up 9.6% (had been +13% after hours) took not just the Cyclicals sector up but the entire S&P by ~0.45%. Apple lost all its after hours gain to finish down 0.4%. Meta continued its slide. Now down nearly 14% since reporting. S&P (ex-Amazon) finishing in the red after Fed heads reinforced Powell’s hawkish commentary. Bostic saying another rate cut not locked in and Hammack saying she opposed Thursday’s cut because inflation is too high. Markets still pricing in a 70% chance of a cut before year’s end. Down from 90% at the start of the week. Bond yields down overnight but recorded a large weekly gain. US10Y up 8bp. 2Y up 9bp. Australian yields with even bigger moves post the Wednesday inflation print. AU10Y up 18bp. 2Y up 20.5bp.

SPI down 5 - WBC Results - RBA in focus tomorrow.

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US shares were down overnight, with the NASDAQ off 1.57% and SP500 (-0.99%) also weakening. Meta fell 11.3% as the market reacted further to their earnings update yesterday. Most of the other big players also down, with Tesla -4.6%, Microsoft -2.9% and Nvidia -2%. Two brighter spots were Amazon, which is up a powerful 11.6% in the after market after its update showed its AWS division had the strongest growth in three years. Apple’s quarterly revenue also came in higher than expectations, with new iPhone models and AI enabled hardware like AirPods giving the sales outlook a strong boost.

Apple and Amazon up substantially after hours on results.

SPI futures up 13 points. The ASX to open higher. EDV update - AGMs and Quarterlies.

Gold lifted 2% after its recent weakness, likely helped from the recent rate cut from the Fed and ongoing demand. Gold stocks responded, with Newmont up 3.3%.  Industrial metals in London were generally down. 

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The ASX 200 dropped another 41 points to 8886 as interest rate sensitive stocks fell and WES dropped 7.1% on AGM comments. Banks held firm as we await details from APEC on the Trump/Xi Meeting which was all over in 90 minutes. The Big Bank Basket held at $289.37 (+0.1%), with insurers slipping and financials a little wishy washy. REITs tumbled as rates rose, GMG down 1.3% and SCG off 2.9% on rate rethink. Industrials were also weaker, ALL fell 2.2% with WOW gaining 3.3% at the expense COL down 2.6%. REA continued to fall, down 2.6%. TLS off 1.4% and tech stocks fell again, XRO down 2.6% and WTC down another 2.6%. TCL slid 2.4% with JBH under pressure following a trading update. CSL found some friends, up 5.2% but RMD and COH fell.

In resources, a mixed picture, gold miners were spotty. Some ok, some not, NEM gained 1.3% and RRL up 1.2% with uranium stocks still in fashion (for now). PDN up 5.9% and lithium stocks benefitting from broker upgrades to the lithium price. PLS up 5.4% and LTR gaining 11.2%.

In corporate news, MIN soared 13.7% on much better-than-expected results, UNI fell 4.3% after an update and L1G returned to trade after capital raise and soared 11.7%. CIA also doing well on a quarterly in the iron ore space, up 9.9%. JHX fell 3.1% after losing the chair to a vote.

In economic news, the BoJ held rates unchanged, Trump met Xi for 90 minutes to talk trade. Not sure that is long enough to really get into the ‘nitty gritty’, but China seems to be happy to buy soybeans. Tariffs reduced from 57% to 47%. Not a huge deal really.

Asian markets mixed, HK up 0.1% China down 0.3% and Japan up 0.5%

10-year yields 4.23%. US Futures not doing much really. Yet.

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Big night for Wall Street as the SP500 finished flat but the Nasdaq rose 0.5%. Focus on US company earnings and the Fed meeting. Rates cut 0.25% but pushed back against any assumption of another one in December. Bond yields and USD up. US10Y up 10bp. Gold initially up over 1.5% before losing all gains. Equities took an initial hit before recovering. The odds of a December cut dropped from 90% to 71%. The Fed also announced an end to its “QT” policy. Aimed at easing pressure in the short term lending market.

Mega cap tech stocks reported after the bell. Meta down 6.7% after market despite posting record revenue in the third quarter. Net income was below expectations because of a one off, $16bn tax hit. Alphabet rose 5% after posting sales at a record $102 billion. Net income was up 33% on the previous year. Microsoft down 3% despite its Azure cloud division growing by 40% and operating income increasing 24%. Caterpillar shares went up 12% in their steepest rise since 2009, driven from power generator demand from data centres. Nvidia also topped $5 trillion in value – the first company to do so. Other notables included ServiceNow (in FANG) up 3% after hours, UBS down 1%, KLA Corp (Chip stock) up 2.4% and Boeing down 4.4%.

The SPI is down 32 points. ASX set to open lower. 

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