Market Updates

The ASX 200 slipped again by 19 points to 8800 (0.2%) as CBA continued to weigh, off another 3.1% with the Big Bank Basket down to $279.76 (-1.6%). Joining in the casualty list were 360 off 13.1% on disappointing numbers and ALL down 7.5% as it came up lemons. Our dismal tech sector continues to slide as XRO head lower still, off 2.2% and WTC down 0.8%. REA fell 2.5% and CAR down 1.0%. Industrials were ok, TCL up 0.5% and WES gaining 0.7% with COL and WOW better, TLS gained another 0.4%. GYG continue to be wrapped lower, down 2.0% and TPW also fell hard today, off 4.4%.

In resource land, iron ore improved in Asian trade, BHP up 0.6% and RIO sprinting 2.3% ahead. Gold miners were modestly better, NST up 1.4% and EVN up 2.0%. Lithium stocks better, LTR up 6.1% on its new auction platform, MIN roared 9.2% ahead on selling part of its lithium business to POSCO. LYC slid 2.7% with uranium stocks weaker. Oil and gas stocks better with WDS up 1.4%. Coal stocks weaker. 

In corporate news, FLT rose 1% on an earnings update, NWL fell 0.4% after surviving a protest vote at the AGM, MP1 resumed trade after capital raising. A1N dropped 9.7% on much weaker ad revenue. DMP rose 1.8% after an AGM update.

In economic news, investor loan numbers, in Asia hopes for more Chinese stimulus helped iron ore prices higher.

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A quiet session for US markets overnight. The bond market was closed for Veteran’s Day. There was also light volume on the share market, with only 15.3bn shares traded. The average over the last month is 20bn. That said, the Dow Jones index closed at a record high, while the Nasdaq slipped 0.25% with Nivida and other AI related firms closing lower. CoreWeave took a big 16% hit after it lowered its revenue forecast. The VIX continued to moderate down. Positive sentiment continues to flow from a likely resolution to the US government shutdown. US government officials from across the country are heading to Washington to vote in the House of Representatives on Wednesday. A deal will extend funding through to January 30.

SPI futures are up 15 points. ASX set to open higher. FLT update - ALL results

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The ASX 200 fell 17 points to 8824 (0.2%) as CBA stumbled 6.6% lower on trading update.  Every 1% is a 10-point fall. This wiped any thoughts of gains off the table. The Big Bank Basket fell to $284.31 (-3.8%). WBC bucked the trend in the banks, up 1.3%. Financial generally flat, MQG up 0.7% and QBE rising 0.6%. Industrials generally firmer, TCL up 1.0%, WES up 0.6% and WOW and COL slightly firmer. REITs firmed, GMG up 1.5% and SGP rising 1.3%. TLS also had a good day up 1.0%. Tech remained becalmed,.XRO flat and WTC off 0.3%. The All -Tech Index flat. 

Resources were firm. BHP, RIO and FMG were steady, but gold miners showed strength, NST up 3.2%, NEM up 4.3% and GMD rising 2.8%. Lithium stocks were also very strong, PLS up 7.5% and MIN up 6.0%. Oil and gas better, WDS up 1.6% and uranium stocks steady. 

In corporate news, CBA was the focus. Comments from Matt Comyn on competition and a reduction in NIM sent the stock down %. SCG rose 0.7% on a trading update. BEN also falling hard on cash earnings of $120,7m down 8.5%.  COL flat on CEO comments at the AGM. EDV announced a new head of Dan Murphy’s.

Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Index surged 12.8% to 103.8 points in the past month. 

Asian markets easing back slightly. 

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A good night for markets in the first session for the week. Both the SP500 (+1.5%) and the Nasdaq (2.4%) rose. Nvidia punched back 6% after its recent wobble. Tesla lifted 3.7%, with investors apparently not concerned about Elon Musk’s new pay deal.  

The Dow lifted 389 points. It’s a risk on move. Stronger conviction around the end of the US government shutdown this week helped sentiment as we await the delayed US data due. Bitcoin’s now rallied back to US$106,000 per BTC. Gold lifted a strong 2.7%.

SPI futures are up 43 points. The ASX is set to open higher. Gold and commodities up strongly.

Metals in London were solid too with copper and the rest of the industrial metals all up. Lithium and gold stocks rallied strong. BHP and RIO were up 1.4% respectively. The VIX retreated 7.7%. Volume across the US exchanges was 17.9bn shares, relatively light compared to the average in recent trading.

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The ASX 200 kicked 66 points higher to 8836 (0.8%) as news of a Senate vote to end the shutdown brought risk appetite back. ANZ results helped the banking sector as the market warmed to the transformation story, with the stock hitting record highs, up 3.2%. The Big Bank Basket rose to $295.69 (0.2%) with CBA slipping slightly.

Financials were better, as MQG found some analyst love and ZIP rose 4.5% on Nasdaq listing news. NWL rallied 2.4%, with XYZ bouncing hard, up 6.9%. Insurers firmed; REITs were mixed, with GMG down 1.3% and SCG up 0.7%.

Healthcare was also mixed as CSL fell 0.1% and RMD rose 0.6%. Industrials perked up after a lacklustre start, TLS up 0.6% with QAN rallying 2.3%, and the tech space doing well — WTC gained6.2 % and XRO rose 1.0%, with the All-Tech Index up %.

Resources were also in demand — gold miners kicked higher, NST up 3.5% and EVN up 3.9%. Lithium stocks enjoyed a day out, PLS up 9.2% and MIN gaining 4.0%. Rare earth stocks were back in favour, LYC up 4.8% and ARU rallying 7.8% to its SPP price. Energy stocks were also in demand, WDS up 1.2% and PDN rose 7.9%, with LOT up 5.9% as uranium found favour.

In corporate news, MND rose 11.0% on a trading update, DOW hit a five-year high on a solid opening higher $750m Chevron deal, and DNL exploded 7.8% higher on improved results. AUB flat on news that CVC Asia joined the fray. AGL rose 1.6% after it agreed to divest its stake in Tilt Renewables. MYX fell 5.9% on news Cosette will appeal the court decision.

Asian markets – HK up 0.9%, China off 0.1% and Japan up 1.3%.  US futures strong on shutdown hopes. Nasdaq up 307 Dow up 98. European markets set for a strong opening. 

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The ASX smashed lower to finish the week off 59 points at 8770 (0.7%), with the week down 1.2%. Felt like a lot more really!  Banks came under pressure, coming off all-time highs as MQG was dumped 5.7% and WBC and CBA fell hard. The Big Bank Basket dropped to $295.13 (-1.1%). Financials and wealth managers continued to fall, with NWL off 2.6% and AMP down 2.9%. REITs were a mixed bag — GMG steady, while CHC slipped 1.2%. Industrials slid, with SGH down 1.6% and ALL off 2.0%, while the tech sector came under serious pressure — WTC down 2.7% and XRO off 2.5%. The All-Tech Index fell 2.2%.TLS bucked the trend on defensive buying, up 1.2%, while QAN landed 6.6% lower after an update. Resources were weaker too, as the big miners sold off — BHP down 0.8% and RIO off 1.3%. Gold miners were mixed, with NEM up 1.8% and EVN down 0.7%. Some buying appeared in rare earths, but uranium came under a little pressure.

In corporate news, XYZ dropped 15.8% on a Q3 revenue miss, QAN fell again on a trading update, and OML slipped 6.0% after warning of a weaker finish to the year. REA came under pressure on results, but NWS rallied slightly on its own. AQZ crash-landed 42.7% after a voluntary suspension ended with a large profit drop and the MD stepping down. MQG became the latest blue-chip loser to be skewered, on disappointing results.

On the economic front, nothing locally, but Chinese trade numbers disappointed and iron ore dropped again in Singapore trade.

Asian markets - HK down 1.1%, China off 0.2% and Japan down 2%.  US Futures off lows, Nasdaq up 40 Dow up 50. European markets set for a slightly lower opening. 

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US stocks down overnight, with SP500 down 1.1% and the Nasdaq off 1.85%. The VIX sprang back 11% to close just under 20. Bitcoin can’t lift strongly either.  Big Tech under some pressure, with TSLA -3% as shareholders sweat the Musk pay deal. Meta and Amazon were both off over 2%, and Nvidia is now down 9% in 3 sessions. Apple managed to weather the selling and stay flat. Some recent (private) data shows a grim statistic for American workers. October saw the most job cuts for that month in two decades. Technology and warehousing were the leading sectors shedding jobs. The AI impact continues. 

SPI futures are down 14 points. ASX set to open lower. MQG results - Gold steady - Bitcoin falls.

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The ASX 200 managed to cling to small gains today, up 26 points to 8828 (0.3%).

NAB fell 3.3% after results saw some profit-taking on low growth, WBC down 1.2% as it went ex-dividend. Insurers were better, with QBE up 1.7% and MPL up 0.8%, while other financials remained sloppy and weak.

Industrials generally mixed — TLS up 0.6%, TCL up 0.8%, and ALL rising 1.3%, with WES slipping 1.2% again, and JBH falling 3.1%. Travel stocks also fell, WEB down 2.7% and FLT losing altitude, off 1.4%.

One bright spot was LNW, up 8.2% on a better-than-expected quarterly. DMP also gained 4.7% as shorts covered, just in case. Tech was slightly firmer as WTC rallied 0.6% and XRO up 0.5%, with the All-Tech Index up %.

Resources firmed — BHP up 1.6% despite iron ore falling again, RIO also doing well. Gold miners were better on a bullion price increase, NST up 2.8% and NEM rising 2.8%. Rare earths were still under some pressure, as was the uranium space, while oil and gas firmed, WDS up 1.6%.

In corporate news, ZIP fell 4.2% after its AGM reaffirmed guidance — perhaps the market was looking for another upgrade. JHX tumbled again, down 12.7%, as it went into a trading halt and blamed index rebalancing for the earlier sell-off. TAH dropped 3.0% as Aware Super sold down, and AMC rallied 5.0% on first-quarter results.

On the economic front, Balance of Payments data was released today, showing the seasonally adjusted balance on goods increased by $2.827bn in September.

Asian markets - HK up 1.6% China up 1.3% and Japan bouncing 1.6% 10-year yields squeezed to 4.36%.

US Futures, Nasdaq down 19. Dow up 13. Tesla vote tonight.

European markets set for a flat opening.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 225.76 points, or 0.48%, to close at 47,311.00. The S&P 500 rose 0.37% to finish at 6,796.29, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 0.65% to settle at 23,499.80. Investors were paying attention to the Supreme Court hearing Wednesday regarding President Donald Trump’s tariffs. 

Some encouraging data on the economy Wednesday with better-than-expected ADP payrolls data and a stronger-than-expected ISM services economy reading. However, the strong data did give a boost to yields, something that some investors may not like to see with expectations growing for a third Federal Reserve rate cut in December.

COMMODITIES

• Beijing lifts some tariffs on US farm goods but soybeans stay costly
• Unprecedented volume of oil stored on ships due to Western sanctions, Gunvor CEO says
• Gold gains on risk aversion despite strong US payrolls data
• Dalian iron ore extends falls on China demand concerns
• Copper rises after four days of falls, but China demand worries cap gains

SPI up 66 - NAB results and AGM season continues.

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