Market Updates

The ASX 200 started positively to fade to a loss of 21 points to 8454 (0.3%). Banks showed weakness with more slippage as the Big Bank Basket fell to $264.08 (-1.3%) CBA off 1.3% and ANZ down 2.0%. MQG continues to slide, down 1,4% and HUB off 1.1%. GQG is enjoying a rare moment in the sun, up 9.1% as it is pursuing an anti-AI tilt. Insurers eased, REITs were slightly firmer, GMG bouncing back 1.1% and VCX up 2.0%. Industrials were mixed again, ALL up 0.8% and LNW gaining 4.4%. Retailers fell, TPW down another 2.3%. GYG continues to suffer, off 4.3%, DMP down 0.2% as the shorts move back in. Tech found some bargain hunters, WTC up 0.4% and TNE stumbling around. Unchanged in the end. 

In resources, we saw a rebound in BHP and FMG, gold miners were back with bullion up to $6280 and EVN up 2.0% with GMD up 2.9%. Lithium stocks paused, rare earth stocks rose, Oil and gas stocks rose, WDS up 1.2% and uranium stocks modestly better. 

In corporate news, DRO, down 19.6%, shot out of the air as its US head left in a hurry. WJL got a 90c NBIO offer from Helloworld, NUF soared 10.8% on stronger guidance and KMD rose 2.1% on Q1 sales.

In economic news, wage growth came in as expected at 3.4%. 

Asian markets quietly mixed with Japan up 0.1%, China up 0.2% and HK down 0.5%.

European markets set to open weaker.

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US markets were down again overnight as the market sweats the Nvidia results due tomorrow after the US market close. The SP500 was down 0.8%, down four sessions in a row. The Nasdaq was off 1.2%. The VIX rose 7% to hit its highest level in a month at 24.  Technical analysts point out that the Nasdaq and SP500 are now below their 50-day moving averages for the first time since April.

We also saw news around another big AI deal too. Microsoft and Nvidia are going to commit $10bn and $5bn respectively to Anthropic in its next funding around. It will use the money to use Microsoft’s Azure cloud services. Nvidia dropped 2.8%. Amazon was the worst of the big tech names, -4.4%. Apple was flat. News recently suggests they are now actively planning in order to replace CEO Tim Cook as he contemplates stepping down next year.   

SPI futures are down 15 points. ASX set to open lower.

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A nasty start to the day accelerated to a loss of 167 points (-1.9%) on the ASX 200 as RBA minutes and US futures took us down. The big three sectors were hit hard with the iron ore miners smacked. BHP off 3.7% on UK court ruling and RIO off 2.7% with FMG falling 2.0%. Energy stocks also slipped, WDS down 1.9% with STO off 0.6% and uranium stocks under pressure. Gold miners too sold off as bullion slipped, NST down 5.6% and EVN down 5.2% with lithium the only sector that saw any green. PLS up 3.3% and LTR up 2.1%. Banks were also sold down hard, WBC fell 3.0% and CBA down 1.7% with the Big Bank Basket falling to $267.54 (-1.8%). Financials also in the seller’s sights, NWL fell 6.2% and MQG off 1.7%. Insurers fell, QBE down 1.4% and REITS under pressure too. GMG off 3.0% as a tech play on data centres. 

Industrials saw across the board selling, WES fell 1.2% and REA off 2.4% with CAR falling 3.2% as TLS down 0.2%. Tech stocks were decimated after TNE disappointed, off 17.2% despite a special dividend. WTC fell 4.6% and XRO tumbled 3.3% with the All-Tech Index down 4.3%. 

In corporate news, JHX rallied 9.9% on better-than-expected results, AGM’s dominated. BSL fell 1.7% on EBIT to land at the bottom of guidance range. CAT tested a life with a 11.7% fall on a growth rate of 19%. ALQ fell 2.9% on better numbers. PLT was a rare bright spot after a jump in first half profits, up 6.8%. 

On the economic front, RBA minutes took rate cuts off the table. Australian consumer confidence rose 0.7% too.  

Asian markets weaker with Japan down 2.9%, China down 0.3% and HK off 1.6%.

European markets set to open weaker.

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Not much fun at all for investors in the US overnight. The VIX spiked up 11.6% as the SP500 fell 0.9% to 6672. The Nasdaq was off 0.8% to 22708. The Russell 2000 was worse, down nearly 2%. There was no hiding in Big Tech, with Nvidia off 1.9% as its results on Wednesday loom ever closer over the market. Apple, Meta and Amazon were all down. The only winner was Alphabet, up 3% as news came out that Berkshire Hathaway has been accumulating the stock. Only the Utilities sector across the SP500 was green.  Again we saw bitcoin lower, down toward $91,000 as risk sentiment in crypto really comes off the boil.  

SPI futures are down 52 points. The ASX set to open lower. JHX ALS Results. RBA Minutes.

Most commodities were down overnight too. Oil was mildly down as supply concerns still weigh on the trading outlook. Gold slipped 1% as it continues to consolidate the recent surge.

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The ASX 200 closed up 2 points to 8636 in a quiet session ahead of a big week in the US. Good comeback after a near 50 point fall this morning.  Some signs of confidence returning with banks seeing a resumption of the sell CBA, buy the other three switch. The Big Bank Basket fell to $272.47 (-0.4%) as CBA dropped 1.0%. MQG ex-dividend today, down 2.3% with financials slightly firmer, QBE up 0.5% and HUB up 2.7% with NWL gaining. REITs firmed, GMG up 0.5% and CHC up 1.7% with industrials finding their feet, LNW up 3.3% with WTC up 1.2% although XRO fell another 0.1%. Retailers firmed, UNI up 1.7% and PMV up 2.1% with DMP gaining another 5.1%. GYG continue to fall, down 1.8%. Healthcare eased back, RMD under pressure off 2.1%, CSL down 0.8% and SHL slipping 1.5%. Resources were mixed, BHP fell 0.6% on the UK court ruling, RIO and FMG both better on higher iron ore prices in Asia, lithium staged a comeback, PLS up 3.7% and IGO rising 0.9%. LYC also bounced 5.5% with gold miners mixed. No significant damage done. GMD up 2.5% on a broker upgrade. Energy stocks all better, WDS up 0.9% and ALD rising 3.8%. IPX fell 3.0% after a return to trade following a report from Spruce Capital.

PME jumped 4.2% on another $44m deal with Advanced Radiology. Some management changes, RHC rose 1.8% on a new CFO, MSB rallied 5.0% on a new CFO too with FPR better on an acquisition. ELD gained 6.3% on better than expected results.

Nothing locally on the economic front. RBA board member wrote a column on the RBA mandate. In Japan, GDP came in better than expected.

Asian markets weaker with Japan down 0.4%, China down 0.4% and HK off 0.6%.

European markets set to open slightly weaker.

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Wall St staged a recovery from opening lows to finish near flat in another volatile session. S&P 500 flat on average volume. Nasdaq up 0.13%. Dow underperformed. Down 310 points and down 1100 in two sessions after hitting record highs earlier in the week. Short-term rotation from growth to value didn’t last long. The weak open coming from the same narrative as yesterday – odds of a Fed December rate cut falling due to inflation concerns (no official economic data released). 50% to 45% this time (again, yawn). The drop was attributed to Jeffrey Schmid, saying inflation was too hot and is being driven by broader factors other than tariffs. Schmid was the only Fed member to dissent in favour of no change in October (Miran was the only one to dissent in favour of a 50bp cut). Nasdaq was down 1.9% at worst before the precipitous moment was again avoided and the dip bought. Volatility remains high. Above 20 points.

SPI down 17 - ELD results.

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The ASX is set for a very tough open after Wall Street went down heavily and dragged the ASX futures down with it. It was the biggest one day fall for the SP500 and Nasdaq for over a month. It’s a similar story to the ASX yesterday with the prospect of rate cuts becoming fainter. In the US, the odds of a cut were 70% last week. Their only 47% now. The Nasdaq was down 2.2% and the SP500 1.66%. Volume lifted back to 20.8 bn shares after the recent lull, and the VIX jumped 16% to hit 20 again. Some notable movers were Nvidia, which fell 3.6%, Telsa off 6.6% and Intel down 5.2%. Bitcoin was down 3% too.  

SPI futures down 136 points. ASX set to open lower. 

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 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to new heights on Wednesday, extending its gains from the previous session, as Wall Street looked ahead to a potential end to the record-breaking U.S. government shutdown.

The 30-stock Dow was last up 334 points, or 0.7%, and hit a fresh intraday high in the session. The S&P 500 traded around the flatline, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.3%. 

SPI up 11 - Australia’s October labour force report is due at 11.30am. 

Results expected on Thursday from Graincorp, Orica, Xero, Catapult Sports and Infratil.

Companies scheduled to host annual meetings include Arena REIT, AUB Group, Computershare, Catalyst Metals, Greatland Resources, Guzman Y Gomez, Ingenia Communities Group, Inghams Group, Nextdc, Pexa Group, SGH, Superloop, Servcorp and Strike Energy.

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