Market Updates

The ASX 200 gave up its strong start to close up 70 points to 8607 as the higher-than-expected CPI number took the top off things. It was a monthly number, so can be more volatile, but 3.8% was above RBA and economist’s expectations. Banks were mixed with CBA steady as NAB and WBC dipped down. The Big Bank Basket rose to $266.89 (+0.1%). MQG had a good day, up 2.8% and wealth managers also pushed ahead, HUB up 1.9% and NWL up 1.3%. Insurers mildly positive, SUN up 0.8% with REITs mixed, GMG up 1.3% but elsewhere losses as bond yields pushed higher. SCG off 0.5% and CHC down 0.4%. Industrials were firm, WES up 1.9% with retail surprisingly strong, JBH up 1.0% and APE rising 1.4% with TPW crashing 32.3% on a trading update. Fast food also better, GYG and DMP doing well, Travel stocks also better, WEB up 3.4% and FLT gaining 2.3%. Tech stocks continue to stumble around, WTC down 1.2% and XRO off 0.1% with TNE falling 2.8%.  The All-Tech Index steady.

In resources, iron ore stocks pushed higher, BHP up 2.0% and FMG up 2.4% with gold miners shrugging off early weakness to push higher, VAUDA did well, up 6.5% after the hedge book news, lithium stocks exploded, PLS up 7.2%and MIN up 3.0% with oil and gas better and small gains in uranium.

In corporate news, Brookfield lobbed a bid for NSR at 286c. That is three bids this week. Debutante SEA rose 12.5% after a $20m IPO. EOS jumped 3.6% after a court penalty and DRO was up 8.5% again after its recent order.

On the economic front, as above, the CPI was higher than expected at 3.8%. Chalmers and Bullock not happy.

Asian markets were firm, although Taiwan in focus on fears of further Chinese aggression.

10-year yields rose to 4.53% on CPI. AUD rose too.

UK Budget today. European markets opening higher.

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The Dow jumped 664 points on Tuesday as markets shook off early losses, with traders positioning for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut in December. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also finished higher after a mid-session dip. Rate-cut expectations strengthened following reports that Kevin Hassett — viewed as dovish and aligned with Trump’s low-rate stance — is the leading candidate for the next Fed chair. The White House may announce the nominee before Christmas, adding to market speculation. 

Consumers soured on the current economy and their prospects for the future, with worries growing over the ability to find a job, according to a Conference Board survey released Tuesday.

The board’s Consumer Confidence Index for November slumped to 88.7, a drop of 6.8 points from the prior month for its lowest reading since April. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones were looking for a reading of 93.2.

SPI up 97 - FPH Results - CPI at 11.30am

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A quieter day as the ASX 200 rose 12 points to close at 8537 (0.1%). Banks were in the doldrums, entering official correction territory as BEN AML issues sunk the sector, CBA dropped 1.2% and NAB off 0.1% with the Big Bank Basket down to $266.70 (0.7%).  Other financials fell, Insurers eased, QBE off 1.5% and IAG falling 1.7%. REITs drifted lower, GMG down 0.7% and VCX off 1.6%. Industrials were a little weaker, WES fell 0.8% with WOW and COL easing back, tech slid, WTC off 1.5% and TNE showing a modest 1.6% gain. The All-Tech Index up 0.8%. Resources were generally positive. BHP rose 1.0% with RIO doing well, up 2.3% and FMG gaining 2.7%. Gold miners enjoying a big jump in AUD bullion, NST up 2.0% and EVN up 3.5% with the uranium sector slightly better and lithium fighting back to square. 

In corporate news, DRO rose 14.6% on a ‘new’ EU order, RHC jumped 12.7% after reported revenue and earnings better than expected. WEB took flight after a 72% jump in TTV and SRG romped 6.4% higher on some new contracts. VAU rose 2.2% as it unwound most of its gold hedges. BEN dropped 7.4% on AML issues.

In economic news, ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence rose slightly. Highest reading since early September.

Asian markets: Japan steady China up 1.3% and HK up 0.6%. European markets set to open higher again.

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US markets bounced back strongly ahead of Thanksgiving, with tech leading the charge after recent AI-driven weakness. The S&P 500 rose 1.55%, the Nasdaq jumped 2.69% — its best session since May — and the Dow added 0.44%.

Alphabet surged 6% as investors warmed to Google’s upgraded Gemini 3 AI model, sparking a broader rally across AI-linked stocks. Broadcom leapt 11%, Micron gained 8%, while Palantir and AMD each climbed 6%. Meta, Nvidia and Amazon also moved higher as optimism returned to the sector.

SPI up 35 Gold up 1.8%. BEN has issues with AML.

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A solid start to the week with the ASX 200 up 109 points to 8525 (1.3%). Across the board gains, with US futures pointing slightly higher too. Banks were better led by CBA up 1.2% and the Big Bank Basket up to $268.55 (1.1%). Financials were generally firm, even GQG up 0.6% and SOL rising 1.8% as it joined with Genesis to make a bid for MVF at 80c. Insurers rose, QBE up 1.4% and REITs did well, GMG up 2.1% and SGP rallying 2.3%. Industrials in the green, WES up 0.2% and ALL rising 0.5% with TCL up 2.0% and RMD up 2.2% better in healthcare. CSL too had a good day. PME rose 3.5% on new orders in America.  TLS rose1.9 % and REA up 1.9%. Resources were mostly better, BHP up 0.6% with its on/off bid for Anglo, RIO rose 1.1% and FMG up 1.9%. Lithium stocks gave back some recent gains, MIN down 3.2% and PLS down 3.6% with gold miners up, GMD up 1.3% and rare earths also doing better. Oil and gas stocks slid on crude falls, WDS down 1.3% and uranium stocks slightly better.

In corporate news, QUB were approached by Macquarie with a 520c NBIO whilst MVF rose 44.3% on a 80c bid. MYX returned to trade after the Treasurer knocked back the Cossette bid. DRO rose 1.8% after some more news on the recent share sales and a new US MD. IRE soared 8.0% before a trading halt concerning continuous disclosure.

Asian markets weaker with Japan closed for a holiday, China down 0.6% and HK up 1.4%.

European markets set to open higher again.

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The US markets rose after Fed Member John Williams signalled openness to a Fed December cut. All the major SP500 sectors were positive, with healthcare leading the way. Alphabet was the best of the big tech firms, rising 3.5%. Nvidia was down 1%. Dual listed firm Life360 notably rose 4.6%. The VIX retreated to 23 but remains elevated.

SPI futures up 92 points. Macquarie bids for QUB - MVF gets a bid - BHP pulls its bid!

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The ASX 200 dropped another 136 points to finish at 8417, bring total losses for November to 5% so far – placing it on track for the worst month since September 2022. Resources were pummelled, BHP fell 3.2% on Chinese ore embargoes with RIO off 3.2% and FMG tumbling 5.5%. Gold miners were also hit hard despite bullion holding up, NEM down 6.1% and EVN off 4.5%. Lithium stocks saw selling back in aggressively, LTR down 8.4% and PLS off 6.9%. Base metal stocks and rare earths in trouble too, ELV down 11.8% and ILU down 11.6%. Energy stocks also under pressure, WDS down  2.7% and STO falling 3.0%. 

Industrials were less affected, TCL down 1.4% and GMG off 3.6% with WES down 1.4% and retail falling after LOV down 13.8% on guidance and AX1 crashing 15.4% on similar negative guidance. Banks saw selling, CBA held firm, the other three off, the Big Bank Basket down to $265.65 (%). Other financial slid, HUB down 3.3% and NWL off 4.5%. Tech was mixed, WTC gained 2.4% on reaffirming guidance at the AGM. The All-Tech index falling 0.8%.

In corporate news, MYX saw its shares halted after a big fall and the Treasurer knocking back the bid. KGN rose slightly on an update, REH better despite a 18% fall in EBIT. WJL got BGH to pay 91c in the takeover battle. 

In economic news, nothing locally, Japanese inflation came in stronger than expected.  

Asian markets weaker with Japan down 2.5%, China down 1.9% and HK down 2.1%.

European markets set to open weaker again.

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The Nasdaq rallied as much as 2% after the open before reversing to finish the session -2%. That’s the highest daily trading range since April’s “Liberation Day”. Nvidia did an even bigger swing and finished down -3%. 

The VIX jumped to as high as 28 at one point. Why the tizz? No one can put a finger on a singular cause. The jobs number looks the obvious culprit. The US added more jobs than expected, and that makes rate cuts less likely.  

SPI futures down 142 points. The ASX set to open lower. WTC AGM 

HEADLINES 

• US posts solid job growth in September, but unemployment rate rises
• ASX to dive, volatility spike triggers Wall St reversal – AFR
• Spanish court orders Meta to pay $550 million to digital media companies
• AI borrowing binge prompts investors to back away from corporate bonds
• Fed officials eye financial stability as they debate next rate move

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Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.

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Want to invest with Marcus Today? Our MT20 portfolio is designed for investors seeking exposure to our strategy while we do the hard work for you.

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