Market Updates

Wall Street reached new highs as Tech stocks rallied and a trade agreement with Vietnam helped to calm nerves about a prolonged trade war. S&P 500 up 0.47%, Nasdaq up 0.94%. Dow fell at open, recovered and rose further, peaking at midday, and finished the session in the middle of its range. Down 11 points. Most sectors up. Energy led the charge, following oil up which rose 3% as Iran suspended cooperation with the UN nuclear watchdog. Materials also up, rising as the Vietnam trade deal eased global trade concerns – economically sensitive sector. Tech and Cyclicals also did well. Chip stocks bounced, Nvidia rising 2.6%, while Apple continued its good week, up 2.2% without major news. Tesla also rallied 5%, a partial recovery from yesterday’s losses, despite the headlines surrounding the EV maker continuing to be negative with focus on how this year will be the second year of shrinking sales. Healthcare, Utilities and Cyclicals were all in the red. Uptick in yields hurt the latter two.

SPI down 17 - Iron ore up 2.5% on Chinese moves - Resources to shine

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ASX 200 rose 57 points to 8598 (0.7%) to a fresh record high as retail sales opened the door to a rate cut next week. Resources leading the way higher with BHP, RIO and FMG all doing well, FMG the best up 3.8%. Some movement in base metal stocks too on Chinese economic hopes, S32 up 5.1% with gold miners flat. Oil and gas firmed, WDS up 1.1% and STO up 0.5%. Lithium stocks eked out some gains with uranium miners flat. Industrials were the real winners today, WES up 0.8% as retail stocks gained on rate cut hopes. DMP crashed 15.8% as its new CEO went ex. WOW and COL firmed with ALL up 1.9% and TLS gaining 1.0%. REITs firm on cut hopes, GMG up 2.1% and SCG gaining 2.7%. Tech stocks mixed, WTC up 1.4% and XRO off 2.1%.  Banks were early losers but found favour and pushed slightly higher as CBA rose 0.6% and the Big Bank Basket up to $286.64 (+0.2%). In corporate news, HLI fell 21.4% as it lost the ING contract. QAN dropped 2.2% as it got hit with a cyberattack.  On the economic front, Retail sales came in at 0.2% higher, slightly below forecast. 

Asian markets mixed again, Japan down 0.4% on Trump tariff threats, HK up 0.5% and China flat. 

10-year yields rose to 4.14%. Dow futures up 120, and Nasdaq futures up 70.

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Wall Street began the quarter with a mixed session as Trump’s tax and spending bill passed the US Senate and Tesla hit a 3-week low. Trump and Musk’s feud was reignited by some social media posts in which Musk criticised the bill and Trump threatened to cut various government subsidies. S&P 500 fell 0.11%, Nasdaq down 0.82%. Volume was low in the holiday shortened week. Dow steadily rose throughout the day, finishing near the high. Up 400 points. Most sectors up. Tech the major drag, Utilities the only other sector to record a loss. No major reason for the pullback in Tech – some profit taking, jitters over concentration. Nothing concerning yet. Materials by far the best performing sector. Economically sensitive, boosted by positive economic news, as US job openings increased unexpectedly in May while ISM manufacturing PMI came in at 49, beating forecasts of 48.8. Expectations of stimulus also a tailwind.

ASX to rise. SPI futures up 19 points (+0.22%). Gold and copper up.

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ASX 200 fell just 1 point to 8541 in quiet trade as banks came under some pressure. CBA sold down 1.2% as money flowed to other three, ANZ up 2.5% the big winner. The Big Bank Basket flat at $286.04 (0.4%). MQG drifted 1.0% lower, and financials steady, GQG up 2.2% and IFL up 5.2% on news CC Capital was still actively trying to stitch the takeover together. Insurers mixed, REITs better, SCG up 2.8% and VCX up 1.6% with industrials drifting around. SGH fell 2.9% on Boral CEOs retirement. JHX fell 2.2% and tech eased, WTC down 1.0% but XRO rallying 1.2%. Retail flat. In resources, the iron ore majors steadied, FMG up 0.7% and gold miners rallied, NEM up 2.0% and BGL up 3.9%. Oil and gas stocks becalmed with uranium mixed, PDN down 1.4% and DYL recovering some poise up 5.4%.

In corporate news, FND were suspended for not filing reports on time. MSB jumped 11.2% after progress made on FDA.  HMC fell 17.3% as energy transition head, Angela Karl stepped down.

Nothing on the economic front today. Chinese Caixin PMI rose, and EU CPI tonight.

Asian markets mixed, Japan down 1.4%, HK closed and China up 0.2%.

10-Year Yield falling to 4.11%.

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Wall Street ended the quarter on a high as both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq reached record levels. Putting the bow on their best quarter in over a year, buoyed by possible trade deals and rate cuts. S&P 500 up 0.52%, Nasdaq up 0.47%. Dow was choppy in the early stages of the session, falling and rising intermittently, but found strength to finish near the high. Up 276 points. Most sectors up, Energy and Cyclicals the exception. The former is deflating from the recent, sharp drop in oil while the latter was weighed down by Tesla and Amazon, the two largest companies, falling 1.8% each. REITS was the best performing sector, falling yields and expectations of rate cuts benefitting the sector. Financials gained, additionally boosted by their victory in the Fed’s annual health check which prepared the stage for stock buybacks and dividends.

Resources mixed. Oil mixed as Brent and WTI diverged. Weakening dollar offered some support but there were little major gains. Nickel, zinc, iron ore all fell.

ASX to open flat. SPI futures down 3 points (-0.0%).

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ASX 200 marched 28 points higher to 8561 (0.3%). After a tepid start, US futures kicked higher on trade deal hopes, dragging the ASX with it. Small closing sell-off from highs. Banks steady after early losses, the basket up to $287.13 (%). MQG up 3.9% on a broker upgrade, financials and insurers better too. NWL up 2.4% and IAG rising 1.7%. Healthcare got a kick, CSL up 2.2% and PME rallying 1.6%. Industrials generally firmed, WES up 0.7% and ALL rallying 1.3% with QAN up 1.8%. VGN dropped 2.8%. Retail stocks higher with JBH up % on EOFY activity. Tech firmed, WTC up % and TNE rising 1.2% as the ALL-Tech Index rose 0.7%. Resources were mired in losses for iron ore miners, BHP, RIO both copping a 1.5%+ loss. Rare earths eased and lithium off too with MIN up 1.6% on sale of its Yilgarn hub. Oil and gas stocks flat with KAR up 1.1% with coal stocks flat and uranium mixed. DYL fell 5.7% with PDN up 0.8%.

In corporate news, JHX rose 7.1% after the Azek vote. DRO fell 4.2% after early gains on a Latam order. Nothing locally on the economic front, China’s factory activity improved for a second month but remained in contraction. 

Asian markets mixed, Japan up 0.6%, HK off 0.3% and China up 0.3%

10-Year Yield rising to 4.16%. 

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Wall St rose Friday to reclaim record highs in a volatile session. S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.52%. Dow up 432. Small caps up 0.24%. Stocks initially rose as the PCE price index came in line with expectations and US/China announced progress on their trade deal framework – fell after Trump cut off trade negotiations with Canada – then reversed to rally into the close. S&P 500 up 3.4% for the week. Nasdaq up 4.25%, its best in two months.

• Bond yields rose despite another gain on Wall St. US10Y and 2Y up 3bp. The weekly moves tell the real tale. US10Y down 10bp, 2Y down 16bp. Another sign of the markets risk appetite came from corporate junk bonds falling on average to 6.8%. The lowest level since December.

ASX SPI up 5 - BKW update - Quiet end to the financial year.

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The ASX 200 fell 37 points to 8514 (-0.4%) as banks saw profit taking as EOFY approaches. The Big Bank Basket down to $287.72 (-2.4) with CBA down 2.8%. Industrials were also weaker across the board with resources taking the crown today. BHP, RIO, and FMG all putting on the ritz following a 1.9% gain in Iron ore prices in Singapore. Early gains of 50 plus were eradicated as banks fell. Gold miners also slipped as copper stocks took the stage, CSC up 6.7% and SFR rising 3.2%. Lithium in demand as PLS rose 4.6% and even MIN up 1.5% with uranium stocks doing ok, following gains overnight. PDN up 3.2% and BOE up 2.4%.

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Wall Street continued forward with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq just shy of all-time closing highs. The major US indices benefitted from the continued ceasefire in the Middle East and weakening economic data which supports rate cuts. Fed will cut at the September meeting, not the July one. S&P 500 up 0.8%, Nasdaq up 0.97%. Dow rose steadily throughout the day, ended near high. Up 404 points. Most sectors up. REITS and Staples the exceptions, the former suffering after US new home sales fell to seven-month lows. Energy leading the charge, recovering from some of its recent drop following the Israel-Iran ceasefire. Financials also a big winner. Fed unveiled a proposal which would allow them to increase their leverage against low risk assets. Tech and Cyclicals also did well as risk-on sentiment dominates the market mood.

Resources gained. Oil rose after recent declines, US demand. Dollar weakness benefited most commodities. Copper, zinc and tin all jumped over 1%.

ASX to rise. SPI futures up 52 points (+0.61%). Resources to shine.

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The ASX 200 fell 8 points to 8551 in quiet trade. Banks fell slightly with the Big Bank Basket at $294.91 (0.1%). ANZ the star playing some catch-up up rising 2.2%. Insurers slid, QBE off 0.6% and financial services continued to push higher. PNI up 1.5% and HUB putting on 1.6%. REITs slipped, GMG off 1.3% and SCG down 0.6%. Industrials generally weaker, TCL down 0.6%, BXB off 0.5% and tech under pressure as XRO resumed trade after placement. Off lows but still down 5.3%. The All-Tech Index dropped 1.0%. Retail and travel stocks mixed, LOV down 1.1% with FLT up 0.8%. Pizza and burritos down, KFC up, LNW pushing ahead again, up %. Resources were mixed. Lithium showed signs of life with Vanguard taking a stake in PLS, up 5.6% and MIN rallying 3.6%. The iron ore miners were flat, gold miners fell, NST down 2.3% and EVN off 0.9%. Uranium stocks slightly better, BOE up 2.0% though BMN dropped 9.9% after a cap raise. Oil and gas mixed, WDS off 0.6% with STO up 0.8%.

In corporate news, XRO returned to trade, NEU ran hard up 6.1% on US news. AZJ fell 0.3% on an earnings update. 

Nothing on the economic front. Asian markets mixed, Japan up 1.7%, HK down 0.9%, China down 0.4%. 10-year yields steady at 4.11%.

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