Market Updates

Wall Street recorded a mixed session as the initial euphoria of the Israel-Iran deal wore off and investors weighed Powell’s second day of congressional testimony – it was nothing we had not heard before or weren’t expecting, hardly market moving. S&P 500 flat, Nasdaq up 0.31%. Dow fell steadily throughout the day, but recovered somewhat during the final hour of trading. Ended mid-range, down 107 points. Most sectors negative. Tech the lone major positive standout, after Loop Capital raised Nvidia’s price target to $250, lifting Nvidia 4.3% to record highs while other AI plays, such as Alphabet, also benefited, rising 2.3%.  Healthcare and Financials also recorded more modest gains of 0.1%. Defensives struggled. REITS, Utilities and Staples all fell over 1%. No major corporate news to report, market in limbo at the moment.

Resources gained. Oil steadied after sharp declines following the ceasefire. Dollar rather steady, commodity demand the key driver. Nickel, zinc and tin all rose over 1%.

ASX to fall. SPI futures down 37 points (-0.43%). Gold and oil steady. Jobs data today.

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The ASX 200 trod water rising 4 points to 8559 as CPI numbers came in below forecast. Narrow trading range. Banks were firm again, CBA up another 1.7% with the Big Bank Basket at $295.09 (+1.5%). Financials also doing well, GQG up 9.1% and XYZ up 1.0% with REITs better on rate cut hopes. GMG up 0.4% and CHC rising 1.2%. Industrials were mixed, retail better on rates, LOV up 1.9% and NCK rallying 3.3%. Travel stocks better too, CTD up 2.2% with LNW soaring as ALL fell 0.9%. SGH continue to push to new highs, QAN up 0.8% with VGN up 3.4% on day two.

Resources were once again under pressure. The big three are getting smaller, BHP down 1.0% and FMG off 2.3%. Lithium stocks fell, MIN off 6.0% and PLS falling 3.1%. Gold miners too slipping again as bullion eases back. NST down 2.6% and GMD down 4.0%. Oil and gas stocks continue to suffer despite crude finding buyers, STO down another 1.2% with uranium steady and coal down, WHC off 2.2%.

In corporate news, HUM got a NBIO from its chair, DRO soared 19.9% on a new EU contract, PNI down 3.7% as founder sold a parcel, PBH shareholders turned Japanese, SGR got shareholder approval for Bally and Mathieson to take the stakes. XRO in a trading halt with big capital raising and US acquisition worth $4bn.

On the economic front, the local monthly CPI came in below forecasts and rate cut hopes emerged. 

Asian markets better Japan up 0.3%, China up 0.6% and HK up 0.8%. 10-year yields falling to 4.12%.

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Wall Street rose for the second consecutive session as a ceasefire between Israel-Iran was declared by Trump and seemingly accepted by both parties - markets ran bullish with the narrative. Elsewhere, Jerome Powell appeared before the House Financial Services Committee and insisted he was not in a rush to cut interest rates as the effects from tariffs were yet to fully appear in the data, his stance contrasting against recent comments from other Fed officials which raised the possibility of a July cut. S&P 500 up 1.11%, Nasdaq up 1.43%. Dow rose steadily throughout the day, ending near the high. Up 507 points. Most sectors positive, Energy the exception, followed oil down, second consecutive day as worst performer. Tech was the best performer, chip stocks rose as risk-on sentiment was reignited, Nvidia (+2.6%) and Broadcom (+3.9%) up. Financials also did well with the Fed’s annual health and stress checks looming - the major banks are expected to easily clear these. Healthcare also jumped above 1%. Defensives like Staples and Utilities recorded positive gains but were the laggards of the S&P 500 as a risk-on sentiment reigned.

ASX to rise. SPI futures up 5 points (+0.06%). XRO cap raise and acquisition. Monthly CPI at 11.30am

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ASX 200 jumps 81points to 8556 (1.0%) on peace deal in Iran/ Israel conflict. Oil tumbles, gold slips, CBA rockets. Across the board gains, with the Banks leading the way, CBA up 2.1% and WBC up 2.6% with the Big Bank Basket up to $290.77 (+2.0%). MQG jumped 2.4% with fund managers also in demand, GQG up 6.9%. Industrials firmed, QAN up 2.4% as VGN relisted today up 11.4%, Tech better, WTC up 2.5% and the All-Tech Index up 1.2%. Resources were firm with BHP rallying 2.4% and FMG up 4.8% with the gold sector finding bargain hunters. EVN up 0.8% and GMD rising 2.0%. NEM eased 0.4%. Lithium stocks finding short sellers covering, MIN up 4.8% and LTR rising 5.3%. Oil and gas stocks collapsed, WDS down 2.5% and STO off 1.5% as the bid kept losses in check. KAR dropped 6.5% with the uranium sector flat. Coal too steady as she goes. In corporate news, CKF rose 17.4% on increased sales from young people. GGP debuted up 10.6%, TWE fell 0.9% on a trading update on Penfolds. Nothing on the economic front today. 

Asian markets jumped on peace deal, Japan up 1.1%, HK up 1.8% and China up 1.1%.  10-year yields 4.15%.

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Wall Street rose last night despite continued tension in the Middle East as Fed Vice Chair Bowman sparked hopes of a July rate cut and Chicago Fed President Goolsbee noted tariffs are having a more modest inflationary impact than expected. S&P 500 up 0.96%, Nasdaq up 0.94%. Dow rose at open, fell into negative territory around midday, but rose steadily from then to end near the high. Up 375 points. All sectors positive except for Energy which followed oil down after Iran retaliatory attacks focused on US bases and avoided oil and gas tankers. Cyclicals was the best performer, led by Tesla (+8.2%), which rose after trials for its self-driving taxis began in Austin, Texas. REITS and Utilities also did well as yields eased.

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ASX 200 fought back to close down only 31 points at 8475 (0.4%). Banks once again the swing factor as , with gold miners sold off despite geopolitical rose 1.0% and the Big Bank Basket better at $284.86 (). Insurers better, QBE up 0.3% with REITs easing, VCX down 0.8% with other financials easing. MFG off 3.8% and ASX down 0.8%. Industrials weaker across the board. BXB off % with QAN falling 1.9% as oil rose, TLS fell 0.2% with ALL down 2.6% and retail under a little pressure. ADH fell 20.5% on disappointing sales, MTS rose 2.7% on better than expected food sales. Tech stocks eased but off lows, WTC down 1.0% and XRO down 0.2% with the All-Tech Index down 0.5%. Resources were weaker, the three iron ore miners slid, BHP down 1.6% and FMG off 1.0% with gold miners sold off despite geo polictical tensions. NST and EVN continuing to be rerate downwards. Oil and gas stocks muted, uranium stocks fell, BOE off 1.8% and coal stocks down, WHC off 3.5%. In corporate news, WDS agreed to supply Japan with winter LNG. SMP agreed to a scheme with Shift4 from the US. Nothing on the economic front today. 

Asian markets muted on war worries. Japan down 0.2%, HK up 0.6% and China up 0.4%. 10-year yields rising to 4.21%.

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Wall Street edged down as the Israel-Iran conflict continued to weigh on markets. Iran said it would not discuss the future of its nuclear program while under attack by Israel. Will be the headlines for the foreseeable future. S&P 500 down 0.22%, down 0.15% this week. Nasdaq down 0.51%, up 0.21% this week. Dow rose at open, but fell throughout the day in a choppy session. Ended up 35 points, modest gains, closer to low than high. Mixed sector performance. Energy up despite oil paring its recent gains from Israel-Iran conflict. Defensives like Financials, Staples, Industrials and Utilities all saw gains as yields eased a little and the mood remained cautious. Tech worst performer, down just under 1%. Dragged down by Alphabet which fell 3.9% after a EU antitrust ruling said it subdued competition with its Android mobile operating system, fined $4.7Bn. Alphabet have appealed the decision. Nvidia also down 1.1% despite announcing talks with Foxconn to deploy humanoid robots at Houston factory.

SPI down 20 - US futures off around 0.3% this morning - Oil and Gold better.

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The ASX 200 falls another 18 points to 8506 (0.2%) in quiet trade. Banks eased back after a stellar run, CBA down 0.2% with ANZ off 2.5% and MQG falling 1.9%. Financials steady, ASX up 0.6%, must be the new logo, Insurers slightly better. REITs too turned up, DXS up 1.0% and CHC up 0.5%. Defensives slipped, WES off 1.6% and WOW and COL eased with TLS down 0.6%. Retailers also fell slightly, JBH off 1.2% and TPW falling 2.6%. Tech eased with the All-Tech Index unchanged.

Resources were mixed, iron ore whipped throughout the day but finished off, RIO down 1.3% and BHP up 0.2%. Gold miners rose after losses this week, NEM up 0.3% and EVN up 0.5% with lithium stocks falling as PLS dropped 5.0%. Uranium stocks stalled, BOE down 4.7% and DYL down 0.6%. Oil and gas mixed, WDS up 0.9%.

In corporate news, PBH in a halt as BBT announced an off-market takeover. BCB crashed % after it announced a possible pause in operations due to prices and royalties.

Nothing on the economic front locally. Japanese inflation rose more than anticipated. Asian markets better, Japan unchanged. China up 0.3% and HK up 1.0% 10-year yields 4.18%.

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European markets fell overnight as the BoE held rates at 4.25% on persistent inflation concerns. The headline level not expected to fall below 3% for the rest of the year. The Middle East conflict was highlighted as new uncertainty with potential to raise energy prices and inflation in turn. The decision was expected. Not the hawkish commentary.

ASX set to fall. SPI futures down 23 points.

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The ASX 200 claws back early falls to close down just 8 points to 8524 as CBA hits a new record, up 1.5%. The Big Bank Basket continues higher, sucking in money, WBC up 0.7% and NAB up 0.3% with the Basket up to $284.69 (+1.3). Other financials lacklustre, GQG falling -4.4% on low volumes. REITs better, GMG flat and SCG up 1.1% with industrials mostly weaker, CPU down 1.5%, REA off 0.4% and retail squirming after KMD warning. LOV off 2.8% with PMV down 1.7% and travel stocks also suffering, CTD down 2.3%. Tech stocks eased, WTC off 1.9% despite two new NEDs. The All-Tech Index fell 1.1%. Defensives back in fashion, COL, WOW and WES all better.

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