The Peter Schiff Show Podcast

Markets, Economic Data, & The Ben Bernanke Book – Ep. 73


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Markets continue to rally worldwide
Record highs overseas - much more action in Asia
Markets riding a sea of liquidity
Gold had an interesting week, closing at 1207
The dollar had one of its best weeks in months
In terms of other currencies gold was at a 2-year high
This means that the euphoria about the dollar is not universally shared
Commodities in general were up - crude oil was up - holding above 50
This is a good indication of a solid bottom on the price of gold
Traders continuing to make bullish dollar bets in the face of bad economic data
Traders are willing to throw out the first quarter - regardless the excuse
The bounceback from Q1 2014 was due to reasons that will not be repeated
Obamacare created a huge rush to sign up
There was a big inventory build anticipating future sales
Bets for a 2015 Q2-3 rebound are based on optimism for consumer spending
February Revolving Credit tumbled by $3.7 billion
Non-Revolving Credit surged $19.2 billion - mostly student loans
Consumers are cash poor, yet Wall Street believes they will start buying when the temperature rises
Government under-reporting student loan defaults due to forbearances
Wednesday release of FOMC minutes encouraged the dollar speculators because there were discussions about higher interest rates in June
Currency traders still haven't figured out the the Fed's comments are all theater
They are playing the game based on FedSpeak until it falls apart
A drastic turn in the FOREX markets will take a lot of people down with it
February Wholesale Trade declined again after January reported biggest decline in 6 years
This marks the first 3-month decline since 2008 financial crisis
Inventories rose slightly because of decline in sales
Inventory to Sales Ratio at 1.29 - highest since 2008 financial crisis
2014 GDP increase was due to rush to build inventory in anticipation of recovery
Bottom line: economic data shows that a second-quarter bounce in the GDP is just wishful thinking
Ben Bernanke's new book titled "The Courage to Act" belongs in the fiction section
Let historians justify his role in history - it is far to early to claim success
This is the same guy who was blind-sided by the 2008 financial crisis
He claimed courageous decisions in the face of critics, while actually putting politics and the banks ahead of the country
His book may be coming out on eve of next economic fire that he set
...more
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