Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Mexico Doesn't Want a Trade War, Corn Prices Surge


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Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

Trump Temporarily Suspends Tariffs on Mexico ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ’ผ
President Trump agreed to delay the planned 25% tariffs on Mexico for 30 days. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ In return, Mexico committed to sending 10,000 National Guard officers to the border to curb fentanyl and migrant flows. As a result, the Mexican peso strengthened, and corn futures recovered, easing concerns over unshipped US corn sales to Mexico. ๐ŸŒฝ๐Ÿ’ฐ

Trump Suspends Tariffs on Canadian Imports ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ผ
President Trump also delayed tariffs on Canadian imports for 30 days after negotiations with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Canada agreed to spend $1.3 billion to strengthen its border, appoint a fentanyl czar, and list Mexican cartels as terrorist groups. ๐Ÿ“ˆ

China Announces Retaliatory Tariffs ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณโš”๏ธ
China imposed retaliatory tariffs on some US imports, including a 15% tariff on $5 billion worth of energy imports like oil and natural gas. โ›ฝ A 10% tariff on agricultural equipment was also announced. China refrained from targeting soybeans, but tensions remain. โš–๏ธ

Brazilian Real Climbs Against the Dollar ๐Ÿ’ฐ๐Ÿ“ˆ
The Brazilian real rose for the 11th consecutive day, hitting its highest level since November, following Trumpโ€™s tariff suspension on Mexico. ๐Ÿ“Š It has gained roughly 6% year-to-date, reflecting optimism about Brazilโ€™s economic outlook.

Brazilโ€™s Soybean Crop Estimates Vary ๐ŸŒฑ
Brazilโ€™s soybean crop estimates differ among analysts. Celeres raised its forecast to 174mmt due to favorable weather, while StoneX cut its estimate to 170.9mmt due to dry conditions. ๐ŸŒพ AgRural reported that Brazil's soybean harvest is 9% complete, trailing behind last year's pace. ๐Ÿ“‰

US Corn Shipments Surge ๐ŸŒฝ๐Ÿšข
US corn exports remained strong, with 1.3mmt (49 million bushels) inspected for export, up 94% from last year. ๐ŸŒพ Soybean exports were also up by 37% compared to the prior week. However, wheat shipments declined. ๐Ÿ“‰

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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