Grain Markets and Other Stuff

Most Bearish Soybean Situation EVER (Literally)


Listen Later

Joe's Premium Subscription: www.standardgrain.com

Grain Markets and Other Stuff Links-

Apple Podcasts
Spotify
TikTok
YouTube

Futures and options trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

🌽 USDA Crop Production & WASDE Report
The USDA released its monthly Crop Production and WASDE report on Friday, and there were no major surprises! πŸŽ‰ Here are the highlights:
Corn: The national yield estimate was increased to 183.8 bushels per acre (bpa), while acreage remained unchanged. 🌽
Soybeans: The national yield estimate decreased to 53.1 bpa, with acreage also unchanged. 🫘
Wheat: The carryout estimate was reduced due to lower yields, lower beginning stocks, and increased feed usage. πŸ“‰

πŸ’΅ China's Finance Minister Briefing
China’s Finance Minister held a briefing over the weekend, but it lacked specific details about new stimulus measures. Analysts had hoped for up to $283 billion in new fiscal stimulus, but without specifics, investor concerns are likely to grow, especially following slower-than-expected consumer price increases in September. πŸ“‰πŸ€”

πŸ›οΈ "The Funds" Trim Net Short Positions
Good news! "The Funds" have drastically reduced their net short positions in the corn and soybean markets. As of October 8:
Corn: Short positions are down to 35k contracts from a record 356k in July. πŸ“‰
Soybeans: Funds were net buyers of 13k contracts, reducing their short position to 19k contracts from a peak of 183k in July. πŸ›’
However, funds were net sellers of 7k contracts of SRW wheat last week. πŸ“Š

πŸ‡§πŸ‡· Brazilian Soybean Planting Lagging
Brazilian soybean planting is lagging behind last year, with 9.3% of the expected area planted compared to 17.4% at the same time last year. Hot and dry conditions have been a hurdle, but the forecast is looking favorable for rainfall in the coming weeks! β˜”πŸŒΎ USDA estimates this season's Brazilian soybean crop at 169 million metric tons (mmt).

🌾 Russia's Wheat Export Limits
Russia is trying to limit wheat exports with a proposed price floor and an increase in its export duty by 41%. This move is aimed at curbing exports as domestic inflation soars. Russia recently lowered its estimate for this season's wheat crop to 130 mmt due to unfavorable growing conditions. πŸ“‰πŸš«

🌊 Environmental Concerns in Tampa Bay
Hazardous water from a fertilizer waste facility overflowed into Tampa Bay last week due to excessive rainfall during Hurricane Milton. The overflow involved more than 17,500 gallons of water, but Mosaic reports that the water quality impacts are expected to be minimal. 🌊⚠️

πŸ“¦ Flash Sales Reported
USDA reported multiple flash sales on Friday:
Soybeans: 132,000 mt (5 million bushels) sold to unknown destinations for the 2024/2025 marketing year. πŸ›³οΈ
Corn: 577,928 mt (23 million bushels) sold to unknown destinations for the 2024/2025 marketing year. 🌽

Stay tuned for more updates, and let's keep the momentum going! πŸš€βœ¨

...more
View all episodesView all episodes
Download on the App Store

Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9
  • 4.9

4.9

293 ratings


More shows like Grain Markets and Other Stuff

View all
AgriTalk by AgriTalk

AgriTalk

145 Listeners

AgriTalk PM by Farm Journal Media

AgriTalk PM

134 Listeners

Boots In The Field Report by Ken Ferrie

Boots In The Field Report

38 Listeners

Ag PhD Radio on SiriusXM 147 by Ag PhD

Ag PhD Radio on SiriusXM 147

230 Listeners

Grains & Oilseeds with Craig Turner by Craig Turner and StoneX

Grains & Oilseeds with Craig Turner

32 Listeners

SharkFarmer Podcast by Rob Sharkey

SharkFarmer Podcast

370 Listeners

Future of Agriculture by Tim Hammerich

Future of Agriculture

256 Listeners

The Business of Agriculture Podcast by Damian Mason

The Business of Agriculture Podcast

115 Listeners

A Better Way To Farm Podcast by Rod Livesay

A Better Way To Farm Podcast

116 Listeners

The Ag View Pitch by The Ag View Pitch

The Ag View Pitch

49 Listeners

Farm4Profit Podcast by David Whitaker, Corey Hillebo, Tanner Winterhof

Farm4Profit Podcast

366 Listeners

Working Ranch Radio Show by Justin Mills

Working Ranch Radio Show

72 Listeners

Straight Forward Farming by Growincorn2020

Straight Forward Farming

935 Listeners

Barn Talk by This'll Do Farm

Barn Talk

1,564 Listeners

XtremeAg: Cutting The Curve Podcast by XtremeAg

XtremeAg: Cutting The Curve Podcast

25 Listeners