The Federal Reserve has spent the past year or so fighting inflation as hard as they can. They’ve raised the federal funds rates, resulting in a stunted housing market, higher unemployment, and more economic uncertainty as the fear of a recession becomes more real by the second. Their end goal is simple: control the cost of goods and services to the best of their ability, and they’re doing anything and everything to get there.

Last week, Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve made statements that foreshadow clear economic impact. No matter what line of work you’re in, how you’re investing, or whether or not you even pay attention to the economy, you will be affected. This war against inflation has caused some serious economic backlash, but the worst may be yet to come.

On this Friday episode of On The Market, Dave takes some time to decipher what Jerome Powell (Chair of the Fed) meant by his statements. What type of economic impact can you expect over the next coming months, and how will real estate investing, interest rates, and returns be affected by this news? If you’re a renter, homeowner, or still shopping the market, this news directly affects you.

In This Episode We Cover

How federal funds rates indirectly affect mortgage rates rising and falling

Mortgage and interest rate predictions and how long we’ll remain in “high rate” territory

The Fed’s focus in the next few years and what they’ll do to ensure inflation declines

Housing market forecasts for 2023 and a glimmer of hope for buyers

The oncoming economic recession and how the Fed is building the perfect storm for unemployment

Bond yields vs. mortgage rates and how they too work in tandem

And So Much More!

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Housing is Unaffordable, But Could It Actually Get Worse?

The Fed Basically Admitted It. They Want a Housing Correction

Read Jerome Powell’s Full FED Transcript

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-39

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Don’t you love Wall Street? From artificially inflating the housing market to kicking first-time homebuyers to the curb, and now, selling off their inventory at a fraction of the cost. Wall Street and hedge funds alike seem to be the big landlords giving the rest of us a bad name. But, their latest blunder could bring about good news for the average mom-and-pop investor, house hacker, or even regular first-time homebuyer.

Welcome back to On The Market, your bi-weekly update on everything related to real estate. Today, our panel of expert investors has brought along the most pressing stories related to property buying, selling, flipping, and wholesaling. You’ll hear why Wall Street may be turning away from real estate investing entirely, the Fed’s backpedaling on their money printing mistake, why new listings are dropping off, and which cities make the list of the most vulnerable housing markets in America.

There’s no need to start getting sweaty—although many headlines seem anxiety-inducing for the average renter, homebuyer, or seller, for real estate investors, most of this is great news. With buying opportunities almost burying us, 2022 is starting to look a lot more lucrative than we thought it would! Wondering what’s the best move to build wealth? Stick around!

In This Episode We Cover

How treasury yield rates have forced Wall Street to take a step back on buying properties

The Fed’s “quantitative tightening” that’s trying to suck money out of the market

The fifty most vulnerable housing markets in the US (and why you’ll want to start investing in Arkansas)

Record rent growth and how interest rates could exacerbate the situation even more

Why new home listings news could pave the way for a second inventory crisis 

Whether or not to wait or buy real estate even as interest rates rise

And So Much More!

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Treasury Yields

Quantitative Tightening

Most Vulnerable Housing Markets

Rents Hit Record High

New Listing Drop Off

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Modular homes don’t have the same market sentiment that traditional housing does. For many people, the thought of building a home in a factory only comes with anxiety. Decades ago, modular homes were built using cheap materials with virtually zero energy efficiency. Now, thanks to companies like Vantem, you can buy modular homes almost indistinguishable from the one built on-site right next door. But, these two home builds operate on a much different budget.

To go over all the fine details, Vantem’s CEO, Chris Anderson, joins us in this episode. He started building factory-finished homes after seeing how inefficient the modern-day homebuilding process was. With the help of an expert team, Vantem dramatically reduced not only material but labor costs when building these almost indestructible, massively energy-efficient homes. 

But modular homes seem to be the gift that keeps on giving. Even with a cheaper sales price, homeowners and landlords can see ridiculous cost savings over the life of their investment, with energy costs hitting rock bottom and environmental efficiency being so high that it’s almost unheard of. Whatever your preconceived notions were about modular homes, prepare to have them changed in this episode.

In This Episode We Cover

Massive time and cost savings from building modular vs. traditional homes

Energy efficiency and why Vantem’s modular homes are net zero almost immediately after manufacturing

The evolution of modular homes and why today’s builds beat regular rental properties 

Why lenders, local government, and insurance companies are so pro-modular home building

How factory-built homes stay almost indestructible against natural disasters 

And So Much More!

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BiggerPockets Podcast 593

On The Market Podcast 29

Learn More About Modular Homes

Will 3D Printed Houses Solve the US Housing Crisis?

What are the Differences Between Manufactured, Modular, and Mobile Homes?

Connect with Chris:

Chris' website

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-37

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High interest rates are here. The mainstream media would tell you that it’s time to sit down and have a long sob over the soon-to-be-dead housing market. “It’s over, everyone! No more deals for sale because interest rates are around 6%.” You probably don’t believe such housing market heresy, and the investing experts we’re bringing on today don't either. They’ve been investing throughout the past two decades and have come to a surprising conclusion: today is the easiest time to buy in years!

That’s right, the time-tested real estate investing authorities know that even with rising interest rates, some real estate strategies still work, and may even work better thanks to today’s climate. On with us today are Avery Carl, David Greene, Jamil Damji, and Pace Morby, all representing different types of real estate investing. From short-term rentals to BRRRRs, creative financing, and wholesaling, these experts agree that if you’re trying to make money in real estate, there’s no better time than now to start.

In a friendly cash flow cage match, we let each strategy-specific expert give the pros and cons of their preferred investing method, as well as how 2022’s rising interest rates, seller fear, and market speculation is affecting them. If you’re sitting on the fence, waiting for the right time to buy, this may be just the episode to push you over to the cash flow-collecting side!

In This Episode We Cover

The BRRRR method, short-term rentals, wholesaling, and creative finance explained

Whether or not rising interest rates are a blessing in disguise for the real estate industry

Cash flow “turbochargers” that let you build wealth far faster in real estate

The one and only “risk-free” way to start investing that works for any skill level

Concerns about each real estate investing strategy and which has the largest downside

Real estate leverage and strategies you can use that don’t involve debt 

And So Much More!

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BiggerPockets Podcast 593

On The Market Podcast 29

Books Mentioned in the Show

David Greene's Book Collection

Short-Term Rental, Long-Term Wealth by Avery Carl

Connect with David, Jamil, Avery, & Pace:

Avery's BiggerPockets Profile

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Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-36

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For the past couple of years, new construction homes were the envy of the neighborhood. They had brand new granite countertops, walls without holes, and sometimes a garage door! In 2020 and 2021, homebuyers were happily bidding over asking price just to get a new home, even if that meant missing appliances or garages that couldn’t even close. Now, builders are offering incentives and slashing prices to get buyers through the door. What happened?

What comes up must come down, and this rings true in the 2022 housing market. New homes couldn’t be built fast enough last year, but now, builders are trying to liquidate their homes as quickly as possible. But this doesn’t affect us everyday homebuyers—right? Not quite. These price cuts and dwindling demand could feed an even more gruesome economic beast that many of us aren’t prepared for.

On this Friday episode of On The Market, Dave is flying solo as he gives us the data and insight behind the new construction market. He also touches on the three economic impacts of this large-scale sell-off. The housing market has been bumpy over the past few months, but it may get even wilder.

In This Episode We Cover

The new construction vs. existing homes market and how they differ in demand

Why homebuyers were willing to pay a premium for new homes but now are sitting silently

How a slowing construction market could lead to an even more intense housing supply shortage 

The US economy and real estate market's impact from these price cuts

Whether or not existing homes will see an uptick in demand as new construction lags 

And So Much More!

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On The Market Podcast 31

Is The Housing Market About to Collapse? What Investors Need to Know

National Association of Home Builders Data

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-35

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Home sales are starting to slump, days on market continue to climb, and price drops are becoming the new norm. Are we on the cusp of a 2008 housing market crash repeat? Or, are these eerily similar signs of a large-scale sell-off just coincidental, without much backing behind them? The On The Market Team wanted to know exactly how close we are to repeating the same mistakes from fourteen years ago, and whether or not the runup in buying activity over 2020 and 2021 could lead to a lackluster housing market for years to come.

We’ve brought our entire panel of experts back on the show so we can get an up-to-date read on everything happening in today’s housing market. With fears of a recession on the horizon, buyers and sellers live in fear of what could happen next. But are these “panicky” investors looking at the full data set that Dave and the rest of the team have been able to dig up?

In this episode, we’ll compare four of the most important metrics that could influence today's housing market to 2008 data. These include consumer debt and mortgage quality, defaults and home foreclosures, housing market inventory, and appreciation and growth rates. Are we closer to a housing market apocalypse than we thought or are media outlets using a “crash” as a fear tactic to keep homebuyers out of the loop?

In This Episode We Cover

August housing market data and whether or not real estate still looks strong

Crash vs. correction predictions and which way the market could slide

Mortgage quality stats and where modern-day homebuyers stand when compared to 2008

A massive year-over-year increase in foreclosures and how it may hurt the housing market

Demographic data that could force first-time homebuyers to get even more desperate

Lessons learned from the 2008 crash and what experts and investors warn against

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Hear Our Interview About Foreclosures with Rick Sharga

Get Redfin’s Up-To-Date Housing Market Data

Key Takeaways From the ’08 Recession That Apply Today

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-34

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It’s a little strange how long it took build-to-rent real estate investing to catch on. For decades, landlords were used to buying older homes, many without renovations, and renting them out to whoever needed housing. This trend has continued up until today as numerous buy-and-hold investors buy homes well past their prime. It seems almost natural to think that building brand new homes would allow you to get the highest rent price, and that’s why so many investors, like Fundrise’s CEO Ben Miller, are so gung-ho about build-to-rent rentals.

Ben Miller knows the housing market/real estate industry inside and out. He’s helped over 350,000 real estate investors passively make profits through Fundrise’s simple and groundbreakingly open investing platform. Any investor, accredited or not, can now get a piece of the pie on a cash-flowing property, even if they don’t have enough money to buy it themselves.

Since Ben is at the forefront of this industry, it serves him well to know which areas are trending, how investors can get ahead, and the asset classes most worth investing in. He shares valuable insight on how institutional investors operate, why many active investors still choose to invest with Fundrise, real estate markets with the strongest property potential, and why build-to-rent could deal a serious blow to the multifamily and commercial office industry.

In This Episode We Cover

How any investor, no matter how much money they have, can start investing in real estate

Passive vs. active investors and which are better suited to use Fundrise’s platform

Top real estate markets and when the sun belt may start to see a shift in demand

Why build-to-rent could pose a threat to multifamily housing 

Inflation, supply chain issues, and the “shadow real estate industry” no one talks about

Buying from big developers as home sales come to a halt and prices drop 

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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BiggerPockets Agent

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

On The Market

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Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums

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Hear Our Interview with the Vice President of Research at the National Multifamily Housing Council

Connect with Ben:

Ben's Twitter

Ben's LinkedIn

Ben's Email

Ben's BiggerPockets Profile

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-33

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The housing market, for most people, seems like an unaffordable investment. For years, housing unaffordability was climbing, but not fast enough to keep average Americans from buying primary residences. Now, combine rising interest rates with all-time high appreciation, and the average renter can’t afford a home in most American metros. But how did this all come to be, and is there a chance that home affordability could get even lower than it stands today?

We wanted to know how affordability in the United States compared to other similar countries around the world. Although most Americans would call today’s real estate market completely unaffordable, the data seems to point to something different. There are numerous real estate markets around the country boasting low home prices, high rents, and population growth to support any investment decision. But where are these markets?

Dave does his best in this episode to give you a quick overview of how affordability works. We also talk about what causes housing markets to become unaffordable, which metro areas are the most and least unaffordable, and how the United States ranks when put head-to-head against other economies. Thankfully, there is some good news for landlords throughout this episode, so be sure to stick to the end!

In This Episode We Cover

The three factors of an affordable/unaffordable housing market 

What caused the United States housing market to become so unaffordable

Will unaffordability problems lead to a real estate bubble in the future?

The most (and least) affordable countries around the world

Whether or not affordability could get even lower as wages stagnate and interest rates rise

What investors can do to capitalize on affordable markets with growing populations

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Kathy's Instagram

Black Knight

NAR Housing Affordability Index

OECD

Demographia International Housing Affordability

How Work-From-Home “Hotspots” Drove the Housing Market Even Higher

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-32

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Home prices are a big part of the housing market. But not as big as interest rates. As the Federal Reserve sets out to “kill the economy” with rising mortgage rates, researchers like John Burns dig through the data to find out what real estate investors can do to take advantage. John isn't a beginner in the real estate space—his consulting company has been doing this type of work for two decades, providing some of the biggest real estate investors with the most up-to-date information.

John isn’t optimistic about this housing market. The data he’s been collecting shows that home prices could see dramatic drops over the next couple of years and that the housing supply problem may only get worse. But, he also sees opportunities for investors that could take the place of the appreciation gains we got all too used to. John’s team participates in over nine hundred consulting studies a year, meaning if there’s one person who knows what’s happening in the housing market, it’s probably him.

In this episode, we talk about housing market predictions, how flippers got caught, why Ibuyers are less of a threat than most investors think, and what will happen to the housing supply as developers start selling off homes at break-even prices. Are we heading towards a 2008-sized cliff or could this be a small hiccup on the continuous road to real estate appreciation?

In This Episode We Cover

The new development vs. resale housing market and what they say about the economy

An unbelievable opportunity for apartment investors as homebuying dries up

Housing supply and why builders may not be in the same predicament as in 2008

Ibuyers/institutional investors and why they’re a much smaller threat than most people think

The home price “wipeout” that is coming down the pipeline for sellers

Why refreshing/remodeling homes could make a profitable comeback this decade 

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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Join BiggerPockets for FREE

On The Market

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Kathy's Instagram

On the Market Podcast 14 with Logan Mohtashami

On the Market Podcast 17 with Rick Sharga

Connect with John:

John's Real Estate Consulting

Email John for a Link to The BRRRR/Fix and Flip Survey

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-31

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Multifamily real estate has been on a tear for the past two years. This is not only thanks to 2020-induced rent growth and price appreciation but also due to simple supply and demand. As millennials, a rent-rather-than-own generation, enter into peak homebuying age, many still choose to rent—instead of buy. This presents a unique opportunity for real estate investors, as multifamily demand skyrockets while inventory can barely keep pace.

But rising interest rates are starting to make the housing market look shaky. Is there still a strong demand for multifamily, and if so, how will prices change if financing becomes more expensive while building faces a bottleneck? We’ve brought on Caitlin Sugrue Walter, Vice President of Research at the National Multifamily Housing Council, to give her take on the multifamily investing situation.

Caitlin knows the apartment investing numbers, arguably better than anyone else, and sees some movement on the horizon. She diagnoses exactly what has led to such high demand for apartment rentals, why builders got stuck in developing quicksand, and whether or not rent prices are still poised to increase as we close out 2022. She also hints at the best markets for multifamily investment in the nation and what investors can expect to happen to prices as cap rates begin rising and new interest rates take their toll.

In This Episode We Cover

The building bottleneck affecting multifamily housing and its opportunity for investors

Luxury apartment buildings and why A-class apartments have become the new norm

Rent control and why it often hurts the same people it’s trying to protect

States with the highest multifamily demand and how large industries affect it

Institutional investors, private equity, and other large buyers who are taking on multifamily

Work from home’s retracement and how it may shift occupancy in large cities

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

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On The Market

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James' Instagram

Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile

Jamil's Instagram

Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile

Kathy's Instagram

How Work-From-Home “Hotspots” Drove the Housing Market Even Higher

Learn More About the National Multifamily Housing Council

NMHC’s Affordability Toolkit

We Are Apartments

Connect with Caitlin:

Caitlin's Email

Caitlin's LinkedIn

Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-30

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