Grain Markets and Other Stuff

PERFECT STORM of Bearish News for Soybean Market??


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0:00 Brazil Soybean Update
1:33 Argentina Update
2:03 "Perfect Storm"
5:00 USDA Preview
6:36 Ukraine Peace Meeting
7:49 JBS Stock Listing
9:53 Cattle & Outside Markets

Brazil's largest farm cooperative, Coamo, is gearing up to receive substantial quantities of soybeans by the end of January. The accelerated harvest is a result of hot weather conditions, which have expedited the crop's maturation. The last time Coamo received such significant soybean volumes in January was during the 2018/2019 season. Despite the early harvest, soybean yields are holding up as average, even with the shortened growing season. This early influx of soybeans has also led to a reduction in soybean port premiums relative to US soybeans. 🌱🚜🌞

Argentina's soybean and corn crops have been benefiting from adequate rainfall throughout December, as reported by the Buenos Aires grain exchange. The favorable precipitation is expected to continue into January, accompanied by mild temperatures. However, rainfall is projected to taper off in March, with rising temperatures. The Rosario grain exchange is forecasting Argentina's soybean crop to reach 50 million tons and its corn crop to hit 56 million tons. πŸŒ§οΈπŸŒ½πŸ‡¦πŸ‡·

The USDA is scheduled to release several important reports on January 12th, including quarterly Grain Stocks, monthly Crop Production / WASDE, and Winter Wheat Seedings. The January report is historically a significant market mover and has the potential to trigger trend changes. It will also provide the "final" 2023 US corn and soybean production numbers, which are closely monitored by traders. South American production estimates will also be a focus. πŸ“ŠπŸŒ½πŸŒ±

In a secret meeting last month, Ukraine, along with G-7 countries and a select group of Global South nations, engaged in discussions regarding Ukraine's "peace formula" and guidelines for future interactions with Russia. However, no major progress was reported from the meeting, highlighting the ongoing complexities of the situation. Notably, China, Brazil, and the United Arab Emirates did not attend, and Russia was not invited. Despite more than $100 billion in aid pledged by the US and EU for Ukraine, efforts to resolve the conflict have faced challenges. πŸ€πŸŒπŸ•ŠοΈ

A group of UK lawmakers is taking action to pressure the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to prevent JBS, the world's largest meat supplier, from being listed on the NYSE (New York Stock Exchange). The lawmakers argue that JBS is associated with deforestation, human rights violations, and the seizure of land from Indigenous people. JBS has been seeking NYSE listing for over a decade, and company executives believe that such a listing could significantly boost its market value to nearly $30 billion.🌳🌎🚫

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Grain Markets and Other StuffBy Joe Vaclavik

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