Run the Numbers

Run the Numbers

By CJ GustafsonBusinessManagement
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Run the Numbers episodes

  • Automation Outside the Tech Bubble | Jason Kong

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Jason Kong, General Partner at Base10 Ventures, to unpack the firm’s focus on “automation for the real economy” — software built for industries most tech investors overlook, but the world depends on. Jason breaks down what makes Series B investing uniquely hard, how he evaluates back-office and vertical SaaS opportunities, and where markets tip from niche to overcrowded. They also discuss Base10’s decision to donate 50% of profits to fund scholarships, plus a lightning round spanning fantasy football, shorting SaaS in 2022, and a venture take that might spark debate.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    —

    LINKS:

    Jason on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/jasonykong/

    Base10 Partners: https://base10.vc/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Scaling to $1B+ Revenue: From ServiceNow to Samsara | Dominic Phillips

    https://youtu.be/vBY6WZBMljw

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:02:20 Sponsors — Metronome, RightRev, Rillet

    00:06:02 Base10 Background

    00:06:41 Automation for the Real Economy

    00:09:27 Vertical vs. Horizontal Software

    00:10:38 Cash Flow and Durability

    00:11:19 Product-Market Fit and ROI

    00:12:56 Growth Limits Selling to Tech

    00:13:19 The Size of the Real Economy

    00:14:16 Sponsors — Tabs, Abacum, Brex

    00:18:50 Base10’s Giving Model

    00:20:30 Access, Education, and Tech

    00:21:53 Purpose and Founder Alignment

    00:22:51 Radical Transparency

    00:23:56 Portfolio Focus and Strategy

    00:24:05 Investing Ahead of Consensus

    00:26:29 ERP Adjacency as Alpha

    00:28:58 Lessons From Hedge Funds

    00:32:29 Public Markets Reality

    00:34:05 Public vs. Private Investing

    00:34:48 The Series B Sweet Spot

    00:36:49 A Bifurcated Series B Market

    00:38:56 Fast Series Bs and 2021 Vibes

    00:42:16 What Series B Looks Like Now

    00:44:36 Back Office Automation

    00:46:02 ERP-Centric Workflows

    00:48:33 Long-Ass Lightning Round

    00:49:36 Shorting SaaS in 2022

    00:50:16 Fantasy Football and Investing

    00:52:57 Career Advice That Surprises

    00:55:03 A Contrarian Venture Take

    00:56:22 Credits

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #SeriesB #RealEconomy #VerticalSaaS #BackOfficeAutomation



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    57 min
  • Scaling to $1B+ Revenue: From ServiceNow to Samsara | Dominic Phillips

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ sits down with Dominic Phillips, CFO of Samsara, to unpack what it takes to scale a capital-intensive SaaS business from startup to public company in under a decade. Dominic reflects on his six-plus years at Samsara through hypergrowth, COVID disruption, supply chain constraints, a down-round survival raise, and an IPO at the very end of the 2021 tech window. Drawing on his earlier career at ServiceNow under Mike Scarpelli, he shares how experience across FP&A, IR, corp dev, and treasury shaped his approach to capital allocation, investor education, and analyst management. The conversation dives into asset-based pricing, selling into non-discretionary operations budgets, balancing hardware and software economics, and building credibility with a broad analyst base while scaling past $1B in ARR.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    —

    LINKS:

    Dominic on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dominicphillips/

    Company: https://www.samsara.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    “Steal Your Boss’s Job”: Calendly CFO John McCauley on Leadership, Ownership & Growth

    https://youtu.be/VRpTNDIfzPY

    From SMB to Enterprise: The CFO Scaling Playbook With Andrew Casey | Mostly Classics

    https://youtu.be/kMuJ6gAuEpg

    Driving revenue without selling | Greg Henry of 1Password

    https://youtu.be/f5FsNoG8A3E

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview & Intro

    00:02:40 Sponsors — Brex | Metronome | RightRev

    00:06:18 Interview Begins

    00:06:46 Dominic’s Early Career

    00:08:47 From ServiceNow to CFO

    00:09:47 Joining Samsara

    00:10:54 COVID, Burn, and a Down Round

    00:12:40 IPO Messaging and Investor Education

    00:15:50 Sponsors — Rillet | Tabs | Abacum

    00:20:27 Hardware + Software Story

    00:21:29 What Samsara Does

    00:22:30 Data, AI, and ROI

    00:23:23 Horizontal Platform and Verticals

    00:24:27 Growth Drivers at Scale

    00:26:09 Selling Into Operations

    00:28:19 Change Management in Legacy Orgs

    00:29:46 Non-Discretionary Budgets

    00:33:02 Storytelling Lessons from Scarpelli

    00:36:14 Managing Analysts

    00:39:23 Earnings Timing Strategy

    00:41:06 Metrics and Investor Trust

    00:42:38 Investor Communication Channels

    00:44:22 Investor Days and Long-Term Vision

    00:45:37 Annual Planning Maturity

    00:48:24 Forecast Accuracy and Cadence

    00:49:28 The 1000-Day Strategy

    00:50:40 Top-Line and Margin Targets

    00:51:59 Capital Allocation by Function

    00:54:46 Becoming a CFO

    00:58:21 Lightning Round and a CFO Mistake

    01:02:41 End Credits

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFO #ScalingCompanies #B2BSaaS #PublicMarkets



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    1 hr 4 min
  • Hackers and Hidden Risks: Business Insurance Breakdown with Gordon Coyle

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with Gordon Coyle, a 40-year commercial insurance veteran, to demystify one of the most anxiety-inducing topics for founders and CFOs: business insurance. Drawing on decades of experience with startups, scaleups, and regulated industries, Gordon breaks down what leaders need to know about D&O, E&O, cyber, and general liability, why investor pressure is rising, and where “cheap and easy” online policies fail when real risk hits. Through real-world examples, they explore how claims arise, how defense costs erode limits, why cyber insurance is as much about response as reimbursement, and how to balance budget, risk tolerance, and peer benchmarks—treating insurance as a critical layer of protection, not a box-checking exercise.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    Abacum is a modern FP&A platform built by former CFOs to replace slow, consultant-heavy planning tools. With self-service integrations and AI-powered workflows for forecasting, variance analysis, and scenario modeling, Abacum helps finance teams scale without becoming software admins. Trusted by teams at Strava, Replit, and JG Wentworth—learn more at https://www.abacum.ai

    Brex is an intelligent finance platform that combines corporate cards, built-in expense management, and AI agents to eliminate manual finance work. By automating expense reviews and reconciliations, Brex gives CFOs more time for the high-impact work that drives growth. Join 35,000+ companies like Anthropic, Coinbase, and DoorDash at https://www.brex.com/metrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    RightRev is an automated revenue recognition platform built for modern pricing models like usage-based pricing, bundles, and mid-cycle upgrades. RightRev lets companies scale monetization without slowing down close or compliance. For RevRec that keeps growth moving, visit https://www.rightrev.com

    Rillet is an AI-native ERP built for modern finance teams that want to close faster without fighting legacy systems. Designed to support complex revenue recognition, multi-entity operations, and real-time reporting, Rillet helps teams achieve a true zero-day close—with some customers closing in hours, not days. If you’re scaling on an ERP that wasn’t built in the 90s, book a demo at https://www.rillet.com/cj

    Tabs is an AI-native revenue platform that unifies billing, collections, and revenue recognition for companies running usage-based or complex contracts. By bringing together ERP, CRM, and real product usage data into a single system of record, Tabs eliminates manual reconciliations and speeds up close and cash collection. Companies like Cortex, Statsig, and Cursor trust Tabs to scale revenue efficiently. Learn more at https://www.tabs.com/run

    —

    LINKS:

    Gordon on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gordoncoyle/

    The Coyle Group: https://thecoylegroup.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    The Coyle Group - Business Insurance

    https://www.youtube.com/@TheCoyleGroupNY

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:01:53 Sponsors — Abacum | Brex | Metronome

    00:05:39 Interview Begins with Gordon Coyle

    00:06:23 Gordon Coyle & The Coyle Group

    00:07:21 Explaining Insurance on YouTube

    00:08:40 Turning Education into Inbound Leads

    00:09:40 Content as a Pull Strategy

    00:10:53 Insurance Complexity for Tech Founders

    00:13:28 Why Investors Require D&O Insurance

    00:14:09 What D&O Covers and Why It Matters

    00:15:50 Sponsors — RightRev | Rillet | Tabs

    00:20:19 Who D&O Covers and Rising Investor Pressure

    00:22:37 D&O Limits and Cost Tradeoffs

    00:23:21 Panic Calls and Late D&O Purchases

    00:24:39 How Defense Costs Erode Coverage

    00:25:31 Common D&O Claims and Employment Risk

    00:27:08 D&O vs E&O Explained

    00:29:12 Cyber Insurance and Social Engineering

    00:31:59 AI’s Impact on Cyber Risk

    00:33:50 Real-World Ransomware Stories

    00:34:17 Cyber Insurance as Money and Response

    00:35:29 Business Email Compromise Scams

    00:39:43 Why Tech Still Needs General Liability

    00:41:16 What a BOP Covers

    00:42:32 Convenience vs Proper Coverage

    00:44:29 Surprising General Liability Claims

    00:46:45 Insurance Costs for Startups

    00:47:36 Higher Costs in High-Risk Industries

    00:48:26 Balancing Budget, Risk, and Coverage

    00:50:39 PEOs, Workers’ Comp, and EPLI

    00:54:39 Choosing the Right Insurance Partner

    00:56:42 End Credits

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #StartupFinance #BusinessInsurance #RiskManagement #CyberRisk



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    58 min
  • a16z’s Alex Immerman on How AI Is Redefining the Modern CFO | Mostly Classics

    [Original air date: June 19, 2025]

    In this episode, Alex Immerman, partner at Andreessen Horowitz, joins CJ to discuss the CFO role and how it’s changing in the era of AI. He explains what the components of a company’s AI agenda the CFO should own, how and where it should be leveraged in an organization, and why, if you’re preparing to go public, AI needs to be mentioned in your S-1. He breaks down how the financial landscape differs greatly between AI-native SaaS companies and traditional B2B SaaS companies in terms of retention curves and gross margins, and how this relates to the ever-important LTV to CAC metric. As someone who has worked with prominent CFOs and interviewed many for a16z’s portfolio companies, Alex also describes the qualities of a great CFO, and shares his favorite interview question, before discussing CFOs, CEO, and board dynamics.

    —

    LINKS:

    Alex Immerman on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/immerman

    Andreessen Horowitz: https://a16z.com

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    a16z’s Alex Immerman on the Evolving Role of the CFO in the Age of AI

    https://youtu.be/JIvHp-mlnzs

    So You’re Looking for a “Strategic” CFO? Bloomerang’s Steve Isom on What That Really Means

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cgHOtvG1Ces

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:01:46 AI Margins Improve Dramatically

    00:02:29 What Separates Great CFOs

    00:03:29 Founder Mindset Drives Performance

    00:05:31 Founder Intensity and Margin Expansion

    00:06:57 Backing Unproven Bets Thoughtfully

    00:08:29 Interviewing CFOs for Backbone

    00:09:55 When CFOs Push Back on Strategy

    00:11:25 CFO Trust With Boards and Investors

    00:11:50 How CFOs Engage Investors When Hiring

    00:14:44 Building Strong CFO Investor Relationships

    00:16:18 Sharing Bad News Early

    00:17:21 CEO Vision Versus CFO Validation

    00:20:57 How AI Is Changing the CFO Role

    00:23:56 Incumbents Versus AI-Native Finance Tools

    00:26:24 CFOs Driving Internal AI Adoption

    00:28:07 AI Impact on Customer Support Efficiency

    00:29:26 Internal Leverage From AI Automation

    00:31:29 Why Investors Care About LTV to CAC

    00:34:00 LTV to CAC Across Business Models

    00:36:26 Retention Curves Matter More Than Growth

    00:38:16 Evaluating AI Gross Margins Long Term

    00:40:04 Recipe for AI Margin Expansion

    00:43:01 What Makes a Public-Ready CFO

    00:44:47 Beating Guidance Drives IPO Performance

    00:46:56 Growth Versus Profitability Has Rebalanced

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLeadership #FintechInvesting #AISaaS #VentureCapital



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    49 min
  • The Strategic Power of Investor Relations | Mostly Classics

    [Original air date: May 8, 2025]

    When it comes to investor relations, an organization’s communication strategy should be a key instrument to support its business strategy. While this may seem obvious, so often we get this wrong. In this episode, CJ hosts a masterclass on investor relations with Samuel Levenson of the Arbor Advisory Group and Jon Neitzell of Andruil Partners, focusing on the strategic role of IR in driving company valuation. They cover what “audience opportunity” really means and what to do when you’ve attracted the wrong investors. They talk about metrics, KPIs, and OKRs, plus why management credibility and conveying conviction can make or break your IR strategy. They also discuss what has changed in the IR profession over time and what hasn’t (but probably should) before suggesting changes you can make to drive impact immediately.

    —

    LINKS:

    Samuel Levenson on LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/samlevenson/

    Jon Neitzell on LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-neitzell/

    Arbor Advisory Group: www.arboradvisorygroup.com/

    Anduril Partners: https://www.andurilpartners.ai/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Investor Relations as a Strategic Weapon: A Masterclass

    https://youtu.be/ac9xmURhAqE

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:02:22 Welcome to Sam and Jon

    00:03:12 Linking Business Strategy and Communication

    00:05:01 Proactive vs. Reactive Investor Relations

    00:06:39 Tailoring the Message by Investor Type

    00:08:05 Audience Opportunity and Ideal Shareholders

    00:11:05 When the Investor Base No Longer Fits

    00:12:21 Shifting Investors as Industries Change

    00:13:16 Optionality Comes From Patient Shareholders

    00:14:40 Conveying Conviction Through Credibility

    00:17:03 Why Investor Days Build Trust

    00:18:02 Metrics Versus Storytelling in IR

    00:19:10 Choosing Metrics the Market Actually Rewards

    00:22:30 Valuation Disconnects and Investor Confusion

    00:23:17 Finding Metrics That Truly Drive Value

    00:25:33 Avoiding Bad Capital Allocation Decisions

    00:26:20 Disclose Versus Guide: Confidence Intervals

    00:27:35 Knowing What You Don’t Know

    00:29:33 Science Versus Art in Storytelling

    00:33:11 When Algorithms Become Your Audience

    00:33:56 Passive Investing Now Dominates Markets

    00:35:16 Linking OKRs to Value-Driving KPIs

    00:36:42 Closing the Strategy-Metrics Feedback Loop

    00:38:07 When Investors Sense Operational Confidence

    00:39:47 Why IR Becomes Strategy Consulting

    00:41:28 Why IR Teams Stay Undersized

    00:43:23 Sam’s Accidental Entry Into Investor Relations

    00:44:34 Mentorship Over Formal IR Training

    00:46:18 How Markets Outpaced IR Practices

    00:47:01 Investor Days Go Virtual

    00:49:34 Designing a High-Quality Earnings Call

    00:50:41 Investor Days as High-ROI Investments

    00:51:45 IR Websites as Investor Onramps

    00:53:42 World-Class Investor Day Examples

    00:54:20 Using AI to Prepare Investor Communications

    00:56:19 Building a Proactive IR 2.0 Strategy

    00:58:33 Why IR Requires Full Executive Buy-In

    01:00:51 Data Transfers Conviction to Investors

    01:03:31 Closing Reflections on Trust and Valuation

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #InvestorRelations #CapitalMarkets #ValuationStrategy #CFOInsights



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    1 hr 5 min
  • Inside the Economics of Independent Creators | Mostly Growth

    Mostly Growth on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@MostlyGrowth

    Mostly Growth on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mostly-growth/id1842238102

    Mostly Growth on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3KDtaLaXx1obFp5PUhZ6V3

    In this year-end episode of Mostly Growth, CJ Gustafson, Kyle Poyar, and Ben Hillman reflect on what it actually takes to build a modern media business around newsletters and podcasts. They unpack CJ’s first year going full-time, comparing creative intuition versus metric-driven operating styles, and discuss what content truly drives growth. The conversation also covers distribution dynamics, the emotional reality of unsubscribes and burnout, and closes with a candid look at monetization, team building, and the tradeoffs between simplicity and scale.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    Pulley is the cap table management platform built for CFOs and finance leaders who need reliable, audit-ready data and intuitive workflows, without the hidden fees or unreliable support. Switch in as little as 5 days and get 25% off your first year: https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    —

    LINKS:

    Mostly Metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Growth Unhinged: https://www.growthunhinged.com/

    Kyle on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kyle-poyar/

    Slacker Stuff: https://www.slackerstuff.com/

    Ben on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/slackerstuff/

    https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/deep-research-for-gtm

    https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/2025-state-of-b2b-gtm-report

    https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/presenting-the-state-of-the-agentic-financial-stack

    https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/the-great-ai-arr-illusion

    https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/presenting-the-2025-tech-stack-report

    https://www.mostlymetrics.com/p/download-the-annual-planning-bible

    https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/how-to-sell-annual-plans

    https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/get-recommended-by-chatgpt

    https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/gtm-vibecoding-ideas

    https://www.growthunhinged.com/p/how-to-use-ai-agents-for-marketing

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    We get roasted for swag and drop some GTM gold

    https://youtu.be/uubf_8al95w

    Do vanity plates bring serious business?

    https://youtu.be/Cm1rubFb-kg

    Pricing in the Real World: Babies, Bots, and Billing

    https://youtu.be/T1cjFSZR0k0

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:01:52 Sponsors — Pulley | Metronome

    00:04:12 Action Figure Swag and Year-in-Review Setup

    00:05:47 Going Full-Time and the First-Year Reality Check

    00:07:24 Writing Schedules, Creative Work, and Time Optimization

    00:09:16 Writing Speed, Craft, and the Myth That Time Equals Quality

    00:10:51 Perfectionism vs. Throughput in Newsletter Writing

    00:13:03 Creator Burnout, Motivation, and Engagement Anxiety

    00:14:08 Playing the Long Game vs. Obsessing Over Metrics

    00:15:42 Best Work of the Year and High-Leverage Content Bets

    00:17:55 Big Research Reports as Career-Defining Projects

    00:19:19 When Memes Outperform Deep Work

    00:19:52 LinkedIn Algorithms vs. Content Quality

    00:20:51 Writing for the Feed vs. Writing to Think

    00:22:03 Optimizing LinkedIn Profiles for Credibility

    00:23:47 Subscriber Growth, Audience Quality, and Churn Reality

    00:27:20 Reports and Research as Growth Engines

    00:28:37 Tactical “How-To” Content That Actually Converts

    00:30:21 Tactical Value Beats Sounding Smart

    00:30:40 Building a Team and Scaling Beyond a Solopreneur

    00:32:05 Simplicity vs. Scale in Early Business Decisions

    00:35:37 Avoiding Boredom and Shiny Object Syndrome

    00:37:12 Balancing Writing, Consulting, and Energy

    00:37:54 Making the Leap Financially as a Creator

    00:39:01 Subscriptions vs. Advertising as the Real Business Model

    #MostlyGrowthPodcast #CreatorEconomy #IndependentCreator #NewsletterBusiness #YearInReview



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    41 min
  • Capital Spoilage and Leakage: A CFO’s Guide to Finding What’s Lost | Mostly Classics

    [Original air date: June 5, 2025]

    How can finance leaders identify where their capital is silently going to waste and where it can be better used to drive growth? In this episode, CJ interviews Russell Lester, the CFO of Tropic, where capital allocation is both the product and the mission. Russell introduces the concept of “spoilage”, deployed capital that fails to deliver its intended value. He also talks about “levers”, positive actions that force multiply your efforts, and “leakages”, headwinds or detractors that sap momentum. Russell believes it is the job of the CFO (or “Chief Alignment Officer”) to proactively go looking for these levers and leakages. He then explains how he uses his “center of the table” framework to redeploy the freed-up capital to fuel growth. Russell also covers how to address misalignment, what helicopter skills are and why you need them, what a data safari is and why you should take one daily, and why every CFO needs a spend management tool.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    Tipalti automates the entire payables process—from onboarding suppliers to executing global payouts—helping finance teams save time, eliminate costly errors, and scale confidently across 200+ countries and 120 currencies. More than 5,000 businesses already trust Tipalti to manage payments with built-in security and tax compliance. Visit https://www.tipalti.com/runthenumbers to learn more.

    Aleph automates 90% of manual, error-prone busywork, so you can focus on the strategic work you were hired to do. Minimize busywork and maximize impact with the power of a web app, the flexibility of spreadsheets, and the magic of AI. Get a personalised demo at https://www.getaleph.com/run

    Fidelity Private Shares is the all-in-one equity management platform that keeps your cap table clean, your data room organized, and your equity story clear—so you never risk losing a fundraising round over messy records. Schedule a demo at https://www.fidelityprivateshares.com and mention Mostly Metrics to get 20% off.

    Sage Intacct is a cloud financial management platform that replaces spreadsheets, automates workflows, and keeps your books audit-ready as you scale. It unifies accounting, ERP, and real-time reporting for finance, retail, logistics, tech, and professional services. With payback in under six months and up to 250% ROI, and eight years as the customer-satisfaction leader, Sage Intacct helps you take control of your growth: https://bit.ly/3Kn4YHt

    Mercury is business banking built for builders, giving founders and finance pros a financial stack that actually works together. From sending wires to tracking balances and approving payments, Mercury makes it simple to scale without friction. Join the 200,000+ entrepreneurs who trust Mercury and apply online in minutes at https://www.mercury.com

    RightRev automates the revenue recognition process from end to end, gives you real-time insights, and ensures ASC 606 / IFRS 15 compliance—all while closing books faster. For RevRec that auditors actually trust, visit https://www.rightrev.com and schedule a demo.

    —

    LINKS:

    Russell on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/russell-lester-aa98463/

    Tropic: https://www.tropicapp.io/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Wasted Capital and Where to Find It The CFOs Guide to Spoilage Levers Leakages

    https://youtu.be/xOby7CcdljI

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Mostly Classics: Russell Lester on Capital and Alignment

    00:00:48 Sponsors — Tipalti | Aleph | Fidelity Private Shares

    00:04:07 Russell Lester Joins the Show

    00:06:45 Capital Spoilage and Wasted Spend

    00:08:34 Why Spoilage Goes Unnoticed Inside Companies

    00:10:16 Creating Accountability for ROI

    00:11:08 Spoilage Beyond Tools and Software

    00:13:04 Strategy Drift and the Sunk Cost Trap

    00:14:14 Sponsors — Sage Intacct | Mercury | RightRev

    00:17:44 Levers and Leakages: A Framework for Momentum

    00:19:27 Identifying Levers Across the Funnel

    00:21:48 Efficiency Levers Inside the P&L

    00:23:31 Common Spend Leakages in Practice

    00:24:21 The Center of the Table Framework

    00:26:47 Budget Ownership vs Corporate Stewardship

    00:28:49 The CFO as Chief Alignment Officer

    00:31:31 Trust, Tact, and Executive Leadership

    00:33:35 Helicopter Skills for Finance Leaders

    00:35:41 Curiosity as a CFO Superpower

    00:36:02 Data Safaris and Asking Better Questions

    00:38:16 Breaking Down Net Dollar Retention

    00:40:32 Navigating Data Overload

    00:42:16 Building a Single Source of Truth

    00:43:03 Intelligent Spend Management in Action

    00:44:44 Capital Allocation as the CFO’s Core Job

    00:46:04 How Spend Management Drives Growth

    00:49:14 Why Companies Delay Spend Tools

    00:50:49 A Career Mistake with Investors

    00:52:49 Auto-Renewals: Revenue vs Leakage

    00:54:07 Advice to a Younger CFO

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #CFOLeadership #CapitalAllocation #FinancialStrategy #SpendManagement



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    58 min
  • From CFO to Founder: Inside the Making of Mostly Media | Paul Stansik Interviews CJ

    In this special, table-turning episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson steps out of the host’s chair as Paul Stansik—Operating Partner at ParkerGale and author of the Hello Operator newsletter—takes over the interview. What began as a planned discussion on annual planning best practices quickly evolves into a candid deep dive on Mostly Media, CJ’s growing niche B2B media business, and the thinking behind his own operating plan for the year ahead. Fresh off exiting his CFO role in January 2025, CJ walks through the origin story of Mostly Metrics, how it scaled into a broader media platform, and what it’s like being “the boss of me” for the first time. Paul presses on the real questions—growth opportunities, monetization, and strategic tradeoffs—making this episode a transparent look at how a modern, metrics-driven media business is built and run.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    RightRev automates the revenue recognition process from end to end, gives you real-time insights, and ensures ASC 606 / IFRS 15 compliance—all while closing books faster. For RevRec that auditors actually trust, visit https://www.rightrev.com and schedule a demo.

    Tipalti automates the entire payables process—from onboarding suppliers to executing global payouts—helping finance teams save time, eliminate costly errors, and scale confidently across 200+ countries and 120 currencies. More than 5,000 businesses already trust Tipalti to manage payments with built-in security and tax compliance. Visit https://www.tipalti.com/runthenumbers to learn more.

    Aleph automates 90% of manual, error-prone busywork, so you can focus on the strategic work you were hired to do. Minimize busywork and maximize impact with the power of a web app, the flexibility of spreadsheets, and the magic of AI. Get a personalised demo at https://www.getaleph.com/run

    Fidelity Private Shares is the all-in-one equity management platform that keeps your cap table clean, your data room organized, and your equity story clear—so you never risk losing a fundraising round over messy records. Schedule a demo at https://www.fidelityprivateshares.com and mention Mostly Metrics to get 20% off.

    Sage Intacct is a cloud financial management platform that replaces spreadsheets, automates workflows, and keeps your books audit-ready as you scale. It unifies accounting, ERP, and real-time reporting for finance, retail, logistics, tech, and professional services. With payback in under six months and up to 250% ROI, and eight years as the customer-satisfaction leader, Sage Intacct helps you take control of your growth: https://bit.ly/3Kn4YHt

    Mercury is business banking built for builders, giving founders and finance pros a financial stack that actually works together. From sending wires to tracking balances and approving payments, Mercury makes it simple to scale without friction. Join the 200,000+ entrepreneurs who trust Mercury and apply online in minutes at https://www.mercury.com

    —

    LINKS:

    Paul on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/paulstansik/

    Hello Operator: https://hellooperator.substack.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Portfolio Operations: This Is What You Actually Have To Do To Make Sure a Company Is Successful

    https://youtu.be/pOj4JwGUTSo

    Grindr’s $0 CAC Secret from the CFO Who Launched Disney+ | Vanna Krantz

    https://youtu.be/ijFIMmtpLNw

    Scaling to $1B+ Revenue: From ServiceNow to Samsara | Dominic Phillips

    https://youtu.be/vBY6WZBMljw

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:02:10 Sponsors — RightRev | Tipalti | Aleph

    00:06:23 Episode Setup and Context

    00:07:22 Why This Episode Exists

    00:08:44 The Origin Story

    00:10:03 First Signs of Traction

    00:10:26 Memes, Early Growth, and “Big Ballers”

    00:12:01 Defining the Brand Feel

    00:13:28 Leaving a Job to Write

    00:15:07 Writing His Way to CFO

    00:16:26 Sponsors — Fidelity Private Shares | Sage Intacct | Mercury

    00:19:01 Growth Tactics That Worked

    00:21:31 First Monetization Moment

    00:22:13 Balancing CFO Life and Media

    00:24:06 Going All-In on the Business

    00:25:02 A CFO Lens on Media

    00:28:09 Asset Businesses vs Cash Flow

    00:31:35 How the Business Makes Money

    00:32:42 Revenue Compounding Over Time

    00:33:29 Scaling to $3M

    00:34:08 Partnerships and Buying Cycles

    00:36:19 Building the Core Team

    00:39:09 Adding Recruiting to the Mix

    00:41:01 Strategy for the Next Phase

    00:42:03 Boredom, Discipline, and Craft

    00:43:08 Defining the Core Audience

    00:46:09 Staying in the Game

    00:47:22 Advice for Creators

    00:49:15 Brand, Fun, and Value

    00:52:08 Following the Momentum

    00:53:14 Finding Your Unique Edge

    00:55:19 Enjoying the Build

    00:56:25 Closing and Outro

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #creatoreconomy #mediabusiness #cfoperspective #buildinpublic



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    57 min
  • AirPods as Recurring Revenue, Direct Mail’s Revival, and Other Growth Predictions | Mostly Growth

    Mostly Growth on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@MostlyGrowth

    Mostly Growth on Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/mostly-growth/id1842238102

    Mostly Growth on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3KDtaLaXx1obFp5PUhZ6V3

    In this episode of Mostly Growth, CJ Gustafson, Kyle Poyar, and Ben Hillman unpack a wide-ranging set of predictions and observations about where go-to-market strategy, AI, and pricing models are headed next. They discuss why what ChatGPT says about your product may become a core marketing KPI, the resurgence of direct mail and physical touchpoints in an AI-saturated world, and why “almost as good as a human” is a dangerous positioning for AI-driven products. The conversation also explores AI monetization paths through advertising, the risk of an AI infrastructure timing mismatch leading to a broader financial pullback, and what historical parallels like railroads and the Sears catalog can teach us about today’s buildout. The episode closes with real-world pricing lessons, from energy-as-a-service solar subscriptions to the surprisingly massive standalone economics of Apple’s AirPods, tying together how distribution, perception, and monetization shape durable growth.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    Pulley is the cap table management platform built for CFOs and finance leaders who need reliable, audit-ready data and intuitive workflows, without the hidden fees or unreliable support. Switch in as little as 5 days and get 25% off your first year: https://pulley.com/mostlymetrics

    Metronome is real-time billing built for modern software companies. Metronome turns raw usage events into accurate invoices, gives customers bills they actually understand, and keeps finance, product, and engineering perfectly in sync. That’s why category-defining companies like OpenAI and Anthropic trust Metronome to power usage-based pricing and enterprise contracts at scale. Focus on your product — not your billing. Learn more and get started at https://www.metronome.com

    —

    LINKS:

    Mostly Metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Growth Unhinged: https://www.growthunhinged.com/

    Kyle on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kyle-poyar/

    Slacker Stuff: https://www.slackerstuff.com/

    Ben on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/slackerstuff/

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    996 Culture, Exploding AI Bills & SaaS Chaos

    https://youtu.be/qhrxDL0gsRo

    The Layer-Cake Playbook for Vertical SaaS Growth | with Roland Ligtenberg

    https://youtu.be/yPxWvhPISKo

    OpenAI’s Impossible Math: $500B or Bust?

    https://youtu.be/L6PLnvjcnpk

    From Birding Apps to Billion-Dollar Bundles: The Future of SaaS Growth

    https://youtu.be/mzITrIP70Ok

    Where Did All the Middle Managers Go?

    https://youtu.be/LvN7RzmApPU

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:01:40 Sponsors — Pulley, Metronome

    00:04:00 Welcome Back And Consumer Friction

    00:05:29 Insurance Middlemen Frustrations

    00:07:07 Explaining Newsletter Businesses

    00:07:58 Family Perceptions Of Work

    00:09:05 GTM And Growth Predictions

    00:10:19 Trust And Objectivity In ChatGPT

    00:12:01 ChatGPT As Marketing KPI

    00:14:14 Direct Mail Marketing Comeback

    00:15:56 Tech Buying Media Assets

    00:17:52 Fake Subscribers And Email Lore

    00:19:03 AI Quality Over Automation

    00:22:11 AI Healthcare And Ad Models

    00:24:40 Advertising Fuels AI Economics

    00:25:40 AI Boom Versus Bust Timing

    00:27:49 Infrastructure Before Killer Apps

    00:30:21 Railroad Economics And Real Estate

    00:30:46 Solar Subscriptions And Pricing

    00:32:50 AirPods As Recurring Revenue

    00:34:57 Show Outro And Credits

    #MostlyGrowthPodcast #GrowthMarketing #AITrends #GoToMarket #StartupStrategy



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    36 min
  • Running the Long Game in Growth Equity | Larry Contrella

    In this episode of Run the Numbers, CJ Gustafson sits down with Larry Contrella, General Partner at JMI Equity, to unpack how JMI invests in software without financial engineering or roll-up strategies. Larry explains how the firm builds conviction through founder relationships, long-term partnership, and a product-and-brand-first view of durable growth. They discuss how JMI supports companies through scaling, why operating partners keep returning, and how underwriting looks different in mission-driven sectors like K–12 and nonprofit tech where customers are schools and communities, not Fortune 500s. Larry’s background as a competitive runner at Penn ties the conversation together with a clear ethos: patience, discipline, and playing the long game.

    —

    SPONSORS:

    Mercury is business banking built for builders, giving founders and finance pros a financial stack that actually works together. From sending wires to tracking balances and approving payments, Mercury makes it simple to scale without friction. Join the 200,000+ entrepreneurs who trust Mercury and apply online in minutes at https://www.mercury.com

    RightRev automates the revenue recognition process from end to end, gives you real-time insights, and ensures ASC 606 / IFRS 15 compliance—all while closing books faster. For RevRec that auditors actually trust, visit https://www.rightrev.com and schedule a demo.

    Tipalti automates the entire payables process—from onboarding suppliers to executing global payouts—helping finance teams save time, eliminate costly errors, and scale confidently across 200+ countries and 120 currencies. More than 5,000 businesses already trust Tipalti to manage payments with built-in security and tax compliance. Visit https://www.tipalti.com/runthenumbers to learn more.

    Aleph automates 90% of manual, error-prone busywork, so you can focus on the strategic work you were hired to do. Minimize busywork and maximize impact with the power of a web app, the flexibility of spreadsheets, and the magic of AI. Get a personalised demo at https://www.getaleph.com/run

    Fidelity Private Shares is the all-in-one equity management platform that keeps your cap table clean, your data room organized, and your equity story clear—so you never risk losing a fundraising round over messy records. Schedule a demo at https://www.fidelityprivateshares.com and mention Mostly Metrics to get 20% off.

    Sage Intacct is a cloud financial management platform that replaces spreadsheets, automates workflows, and keeps your books audit-ready as you scale. It unifies accounting, ERP, and real-time reporting for finance, retail, logistics, tech, and professional services. With payback in under six months and up to 250% ROI, and eight years as the customer-satisfaction leader, Sage Intacct helps you take control of your growth: https://bit.ly/3Kn4YHt

    —

    LINKS:

    Larry on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/larry-contrella-160a8a25/

    JMI Equity: https://www.jmi.com/

    CJ on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/cj-gustafson-13140948/

    Mostly metrics: https://www.mostlymetrics.com

    —

    RELATED EPISODES:

    Is taking a company public even worth it? | Fullstory’s Chad Gold

    https://youtu.be/zSD8y9dr4Vg

    So You’re Looking for a “Strategic” CFO? Bloomerang’s Steve Isom on What That Really Means

    https://youtu.be/cgHOtvG1Ces

    —

    TIMESTAMPS:

    00:00:00 Preview and Intro

    00:02:49 Sponsors — Mercury | RightRev | Tipalti

    00:06:41 Joining the JMI Conversation

    00:07:13 College Running and Team Dynamics

    00:08:13 New York Marathon Story and Career Intersection

    00:11:04 Competitive Drive and Patience With Founders

    00:12:54 Building Long-Term Partnerships and Underwriting Credibility

    00:15:27 Growth Equity as a Long Sales Cycle

    00:15:48 Sponsors — Aleph | Fidelity Private Shares | Sage Intacct

    00:18:44 Fund Planning, Deal Pacing, and Board Commitments

    00:20:59 Sourcing Philosophy and Developing Investors Over Time

    00:22:09 Hustle as the Only Sustainable Edge in Sourcing

    00:24:14 Early Sourcing Tactics and Information Arbitrage

    00:26:06 Reputation, Experience, and Breaking Into Competitive Deals

    00:29:42 Organic Growth Over Roll-Ups and M&A Discipline

    00:32:51 Brand, Product Leadership, and Paying for the Best Businesses

    00:33:29 Bloomerang and Brand-Led Growth in Nonprofit Software

    00:34:46 Why JMI Operators Keep Coming Back

    00:36:28 Collaborative Leadership and Giving Constructive Advice

    00:38:20 Using Data Without Slowing Decisions

    00:39:20 Transparency, Alignment, and Knowing Where You Stand

    00:40:31 Why JMI Invests in K–12 and EdTech

    00:42:07 Mission-Driven Businesses and Talent Advantage

    00:43:24 Monetization Models in Nonprofit SaaS

    00:45:40 Conviction Bets and Product-Market Fit Stories

    00:48:49 Rethinking TAM and Expanding Markets Over Time

    00:50:40 Lightning Round: Sourcing Stories and Lessons

    00:52:58 Traits of Great Founders and Changing Beliefs

    00:54:20 Closing Thoughts and Outro

    #RunTheNumbersPodcast #GrowthEquity #B2BSoftware #FounderRelationships #PrivateEquity



    This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit cjgustafson.substack.com
    55 min

About Run the Numbers

From the publisher's feed

Run the Numbers is a business podcast about financial metrics and business models for CFOs, aspiring CFOs, finance leaders, and ambitious people operating tech startups. Hosted by CJ Gustafson, CFO…

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