S2 Underground

//The Wire//2100Z August 7, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: UKRAINE LAUNCHES OFFENSIVE INTO KURSK. RIOTS CONTINUE IN U.K. TENSIONS CONTINUE IN MIDDLE EAST AS AIRSPACE CLOSURES INDICATE POTENTIAL COMBAT ACTIONS.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Eastern Europe: Ukraine launched a comparatively significant offensive operation into the Kursk region of Russia, in what is the largest offensive operation conducted by Ukraine into Russia so far in this war. A salient has emerged as far northeast as the village of Leonidovo, as Ukrainian forces attempt to advance as close to Kursk as possible.

AC: This operation has zero chance of being anything other than a last-ditch offensive to strike at something rather than nothing. Only a few hundred soldiers took part in the operation, which despite arguably being Ukraine’s most significant offensive of the war, was really more of a small-scale raid and very unlikely to make much strategic difference in terms of ground taken. Ukraine probably hoped to catch the Russians napping, and cause some disruption and inconvenience at best. If that was the extremely low-bar set for this operation, it was certainly a success. The Russian response so far has been debatable. Right now Russian forces are concentrating on the region, and it is not clear as to if the Ukrainian advance on Kursk has slowed or halted yet. If Russian forces are slow to react, or otherwise take a page from the historical events of this exact region 80 years ago, Ukraine might make more gains than they expected for a one-off operation with little chance of success at the onset. In any case, this entire affair is not likely to matter much in the long term, but has resulted in exceptional embarrassment for Russia.

Far East: U.S. Ambassador to Japan Rahm Emanuel has boycotted attending the Nagasaki anniversary remembrance ceremony upcoming on August 9th. The reason given for dropping out of the memorial ceremony is related to the mayor of Nagasaki not issuing an invitation to the Israeli Ambassador to the same event. The British Ambassador to Japan has likewise boycotted the event in solidarity. Nagasaki’s mayor has stated that the reason for not inviting Israel was not based on political considerations, and that Russian and Belarusian representation was also not invited to the memorial event. AC: Japan probably wanted to avoid political activists crashing the event and disrespecting the memorial services. However, this resulted in an international incident anyway.

United Kingdom: Riots continue alongside the persecution of peaceful dissent as the crackdown on speech reaches new heights. Rioters, peaceful demonstrators, and previously-unconcerned citizens alike have organized substantially over the past few days. Police surveillance operations have been specifically targeted by rioters as the U.K. substantially increases facial recognition efforts to identify demonstrators (or even peaceful protesters).

Middle East: Anticipation continues as before. Of note, some nations have issued NOTAMs or other aviation notices urging their national airlines to avoid Iranian airspace, or airspace throughout the region at large. AC: So far, there isn’t much overlap of these warnings to narrow down the time or day of the expected Iranian counterattack. Egyptian authorities have specified a three-hour window for airspace restrictions over Iran tonight, leading many to believe that the Egyptians may know something others do not. However, very few of these indicators are high confidence at this point; only time will tell what indicators proved to be useful in retrospect. At the moment, few indicators easily point to a specific day or time of impeding combat actions. 

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: The diplomatic spat involving the U.S. in Japan is a reminder of the levels to which the conflict in the Middle East is affecting other diplomatic tensions on

//The Wire//2030Z August 6, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: UNREST CONTINUES TO WORSEN IN THE UNITED KINGDOM. RIOTS CONTINUE IN BANGLADESH AS SOCIAL VIOLENCE ESCALATES FOLLOWING COUP.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: Preparations continue among western powers to prepare for Iran’s counterattack. Several nations have made substantial preparations for the evacuation of their citizens from the region. In Cyprus, local media has highlighted the pre-staging of military aircraft at bases in Germany, which are being prepared to use facilities in Cyprus to evacuate German citizens if necessary. Sweden has also made similar efforts, closing down their embassy in Beirut and shifting their diplomatic mission in Lebanon to Cyprus.

Throughout the region combat actions continue. Harassing fires from Hezbollah have remained sporadic but fairly regular, alongside Israeli bombings in kind. Yesterday insurgent forces conducted a rocket attack on Al Asad Air Base in Iraq, which resulted in 7x US service members wounded.

AC: Despite the time frame for an Iranian attack being inaccurate (as in, it did not occur Monday evening), western powers are still convinced that an attack will take place imminently. None of the information that they are basing decisions on is in the public arena, so no independent corroboration can take place with any accuracy. Iran could attack five minutes after this report is posted, or it could be weeks from now.

United Kingdom: Unrest continues as certain factions take advantage of the chaos to conduct operations. In Bristol, last night pro-Palestine activists again breached the perimeter of an Elbit Systems factory, gaining entry to the facility and destroying equipment within. AC: As a reminder, pro-Palestine (or at least, anti-Israel) groups have targeted Elbit Systems facilities over the past few months due to Elbit being a major Israeli defense contractor.

South Asia: The situation in Bangladesh remains extremely kinetic following the overthrowing of the Prime Minister. Somewhat belatedly, the U.S. State Department has raised the travel warning for Bangladesh to Level 4, Do Not Travel. Cultural conflict has escalated significantly, as Hindus and Muslims take advantage of the chaos to attack one another. AC: Right now, it’s not clear as to who’s actually in charge of the country. So far, the Chief of the Army has been addressing the media as most politicians throughout the nation enter the “stuffing suitcases full of money and getting on a helicopter” phase of governance. Considering the demands of the student-led riots that overthrew the Prime Minister, it’s likely that Muhammad Yunus (Bangladeshi banker and political figure) will lead some sort of interim government, though at this time it’s not certain what that may look like.

-HomeFront-

Southeast: Several hundred thousand people are without power throughout the region as the now Tropical Storm Debbie made landfall as a Category 1 Hurricane overnight. Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina appear to be bearing the brunt of storm damage, with widespread flooding expected over the next few days.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: With the staggering amount of information warfare that the world has been subjected to for years, it is hard to imagine anyone genuinely believing in anything at all without being pushed or pulled to one narrative or another. As such, when any genuine feelings erupt, they are immediately dismissed as simply coming from someone who has “fallen” for the latest narrative, entrapment operation, or the like.

While many will debate who holds the marionette strings regarding the unrest in the western world, it’s easy to forget that sometimes, in certain situations, real sentiments and feelings do exist. Sometimes paranoia and excessive caution are extremely valid, but after a while, it obfuscates the reality of the situation o

//The Wire//2230Z August 5, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: MARKET VOLATILITY STRIKES GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS. BANGLADESH OVERTHROWS GOVERNMENT, PM FLEES COUNTRY. RIOTS CONTINUE IN U.K.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Global: Multiple stock exchanges halted trading on several indexes as markets experienced severe volatility upon opening Monday morning. In the U.S. the NASDAQ dropped by 1,200+ points on opening (which is reportedly the largest drop ever recorded) before recovering somewhat by midday. Many brokerages (to include Fidelity, Charles Schwab/TD Ameritrade, E-Trade, Vanguard, and Robinhood) mysteriously reported cyber incidents and communications outages, which prevented customers from accessing their accounts at the crucial moments of the market opening. AC: Whether this was an intentional degradation or not is right now a matter of speculation. However, as a reminder, these institutions are known for suspiciously-timed outages. Robinhood in particular has a history of openly and deliberately halting trading internally, which they did back in 2021 during the GME scandal. As such, if there is hubris to be had within the financial sector, it will arise from the investors who are blind to the suspicious circumstances that everyone else sees clearly. At some point, but especially when it comes to the long-term reflections of the financial sector, common sense is a more valuable tool than the micro-analysis of a specific incident.

Middle East: As the world awaits the next major escalation, conflict continues as Hezbollah strikes Israeli units in the Golan Heights, the West Bank, and varying locations in the North. Hezbollah has specifically stated that this latest missile barrage is not the official response, but rather routine targeting. However, most governments around the world have either directly stated or insinuated that an Iranian attack will take place Monday night. AC: It’s not clear as to what intelligence indicates tonight being selected for the Iranian counterattack. Whatever intel it is, is clearly good enough to cause a heightened state of readiness for Western forces throughout the region.

United Kingdom: Mass unrest continues as governmental responses to demonstrations and riots alike has worsened the situation to exceptionally grave levels of severity. So far, riots have been reported in the following cities in England: Southport, Sunderland, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Rotherham, Leeds, Hull, Bolton, Liverpool, Birmingham, Stoke, Nottingham, Bristol, and London. Riots have also been reported in Northern Ireland, mostly confined to Belfast. Limited actions have also taken place (mostly low-level demonstrations) throughout the Republic of Ireland as well.

Riots throughout England have remained unpredictable, but more kinetic in some areas than others. In Rotherham, a hotel used to house illegal migrants was set on fire, causing those within to evacuate. In Southport (where the riots started due to the stabbing attack there), significant efforts are underway to target those voicing outrage over the attacks. As such, much of the police presence there is not dedicated to quelling unrest, but rather to arrest those posting about the events on social media. Similar censorship efforts are underway in Sunderland, where riots have remained intense. In Liverpool a library that allegedly replaced traditionally English classic works with Islamic texts was set alight, along with a food bank that primarily served migrant communities. Various Middle-Eastern and African businesses and storefronts have been vandalized throughout the nation as tit-for-tat factional violence becomes severe in most major cities.

South America: Unrest in Venezuela continues as the crackdown on dissent widens. As Maduro’s control of Venezuela becomes more solidified, resistance has begun to move out of the streets, and under the ground. Large pro-Maduro demons

00:00 - The Pizza Index 
12:39 - Northeast Region 
16:14 - Southeast Region 
21:29 - Western Europe 
27:51 - Middle East 
32:37 - GhostNet 

The text version of the Wire can be found on Twitter: https://twitter.com/s2_underground And on our Wire Telegram page here: https://t.me/S2undergroundWire If you would like to support us, we're on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/user?u=30479515 And if you don't like Patreon, we're also on Playeur! https://playeur.com/c/S2Underground Disclaimer: No company sponsored this video. In fact, we have ZERO sponsors. We are funded 100% by you, the viewer. All of our funding comes from direct support from platforms like Patreon, or from ad revenue on YouTube. Please note that even though it hurts our income, we still offer ad-free watching via alternative platforms like Odysee, Gab, and (for now) Rumble. Odysee: https://odysee.com/@S2Underground:7 Gab: https://gab.com/S2underground Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/theunderground BitChute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/P2NMGFdt3gf3/ Just a few reminders for everyone who's just become aware of us, in order to keep these briefings from being several hours long, we can't cover everything. We're probably covering 1% of the world events when we conduct these briefings, so please remember that if we left it out, it doesn't necessarily mean that it's unimportant. Also, remember that we do these briefings quite often, so we might have covered an issue previously that you might not see if you are only watching our most recent videos. We're also doing this in our spare time, so again we fully admit that these briefings aren't even close to being perfect; we're going for a healthy blend of speed and quality. If we were to wait and only post a brief when it's "perfect" we would never post anything at all. So expect some minor errors here and there. If there is a major error or correction that needs to be made, we will post it here in the description, and verbally address it in the next briefing, whenever that is. Also, thanks for reading this far. It is always surprising the number of people that don't actually read the description box to find more information. This content is purely educational and does not advocate for violating any laws. Do not violate any laws or regulations. This is not legal advice. Consult with your attorney. Our Reading List! https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/133747963-s2-actual The War Kitchen Channel! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYmtpjXT22tAWGIlg_xDDPA 

//The Wire//2100Z August 2, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: QUANTICO TERRORISTS RELEASED ON BAIL BY ICE. WARTIME PREPARATIONS CONTINUE IN MIDDLE EAST.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: Preparations for a widening war continue to made among all parties. An increase in U.S. military aviation traffic has been noted throughout the Middle East theatre, along with at least one Russian cargo flight directly into Tehran. Jordanian and Egyptian leadership have again voiced somewhat passive support for Israel with both claiming that they will attempt to shoot down any Iranian or Houthi munitions that breach their airspace.

United Kingdom: The situation in Southport has intensified following the media engaging in propaganda efforts with regards to the attacker, as well as governmental agencies cracking down on demonstrators with a heavy hand. Demonstrations in Sunderland, Nottingham, Southport, Portsmouth, Hull, Manchester, and Middlesbrough have been organized this weekend to protest PM Starmer’s decision to launch a special task force to investigate protests of knife attacks, instead of the knife attacks themselves.

Contributing to the palpable outrage, the media has routinely used photographs of the attacker from when he was a small child in the press coverage of the event, with some media outlets calling him a “quiet schoolboy” who “starred in a musical”. This factor alone has worsened the situation once locals discovered that the attacker was a full-grown man who was observed to be laughing in court when he appeared before the judge immediately after the attack. Recent political speeches and the use of facial recognition and advanced intelligence collection techniques by authorities to stifle protests has caused even more conflagration, along with the overwhelmingly pro-immigrant protesters who have organized demonstrations supporting immigration over the past few days.

South America: Unrest in Venezuela continues as casualties mount. Though challenging to verify, some sources claim the death toll surrounding the recent demonstrations has risen to 11. Opposition to Maduro among the populace remains high nevertheless, with demonstrations continuing throughout several cities.

-HomeFront-

Washington D.C. – The Pentagon has reached a plea deal with Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, one of the key leaders associated with the planning of the 9/11 terror attacks. This deal allegedly removes the death penalty from being sought for Mohammad’s role in the attacks.

In Congress, Senator Graham has introduced S.J.Res.106, a joint resolution to preemptively declare war on Iran under the War Powers Resolution due to Iranian threats to Israel.

Virginia: Two probable terrorists were released by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) after posting a combined $25,000 bail. Hasan Yousef Hamdan and Mohammad Khair Dabous were arrested in May for attempting to breach a gate at Marine Corps Base Quantico. Both men are Jordanian nationals who gained entry to the U.S. illegally. Though unconfirmed, at least one of them is allegedly on a terror watchlist. Nevertheless, ICE released these individuals despite both being in the U.S. illegally (one having overstayed a student visa, the other having crossed the southern border illegally).

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: The recent events taking place to highlight the vulnerabilities within the United States should probably be observed through the lens of normalcy as from a few years ago. This alone highlights how far the goal posts of societal norms have shifted.

The Quantico incident was almost certainly an intelligence collection operation, or a dry-run for a future VBIED attack on the base. The two men, driving an unmarked box truck, initially claimed to be an Amazon subcontractor making a delivery on the base. However, the gate guards quickly determined that this was not true. When this

//The Wire//2100Z August 1, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: MIDDLE EAST AWAITS IRANIAN RESPONSE TO ISRAELI STRIKES.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: Tensions remain high as the region awaits Iran’s response to Israel’s latest targeting of Hamas, Hezbollah, and IRGC leadership in Gaza, Lebanon, Syria, and Iran. Limited unconfirmed reporting suggests the Houthi forces in Yemen, as well as Hezbollah in Lebanon may coordinate a response with whatever actions Iran takes.

United Kingdom: The assailant who murdered three children and wounded many others in Southport has been identified as Axel Muganwa Rudakubana. The judge ruled to deny a protection order regarding the assailant’s identity due to Rudakubana turning 18 years old on August 7th. 

-HomeFront-

Virginia: An ammonia leak caused significant injuries at a food processing facility in Sterling yesterday evening. 26 employees of Cuisine Solutions were hospitalized for ammonia exposure, with four employees experiencing severe symptoms. Authorities have indicated the cause of the leak was the failure of a relief valve on an ammonia tank.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Most indications suggest that Iran will probably launch a larger attack than their retaliatory drone strikes back in April. Those previous attacks were comparatively ineffective and afforded Israel many hours to prepare for impact. However, if the Houthi’s are indeed planning to coordinate strikes with Iran (the logistics of which are questionable), this may present additional complications over the next few days. Yemen has already demonstrated the ability to use deception tactics to sneak long-range attack drones along commercial aviation corridors to successfully strike Tel Aviv. The canceling of commercial flights into Israel, and the general dwindling of aviation traffic throughout the entire region may be an acknowledgement that Houthi deception techniques are effective. However, this time, by removing commercial airliners from the equation, it’s not clear as to if the Iranians or Houthi’s will make good use of this trick again.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2030Z July 31, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: ISRAEL STRIKES TEHRAN AND DAMASCUS. USA RAISES TRAVEL WARNING FOR LEBANON. AIRLINES CANCEL FLIGHTS TO ISRAEL. MEAT RECALL EXPANDS IN USA.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: Overnight, Israel conducted an airstrike in Iran, targeting Ismail Haniyeh (a senior Hamas leader) in Tehran. AC: As recently as May, Haniyeh was responsible for (or heavily involved in) the overall ceasefire negotiation efforts as mediated by a joint Qatari-Egyptian mediation team.

In Syria, IRGC General Amir Ali Hajizadeh was reportedly killed in an Israeli airstrike in Damascus.

This morning, the United States increased the travel advisory for Lebanon to Level 4, Do Not Travel. Delta Airlines, United, and British Airways have announced that they will stop flights to Israel, beginning tomorrow. AC: At this time, it is unclear as to if this is a temporary cessation of flights, or if this is a more prolonged cancelation as the potential for military action in the region remains elevated.

South America: Unrest continues in Venezuela, along with substantial information warfare efforts to shape the perception of what is going on, on the ground. Mass arrests have been reported of some groups responsible for the counter-Maduro unrest throughout the country. However, some military commanders have voiced opposition to Maduro, complicating the situation. General unrest remains constant throughout most major cities, with some businesses temporarily remaining closed in the capital of Caracas. However most businesses appear to be operating as usual, albeit with even fewer products than normal. Increased potential for banditry on the remote roads linking various cities has resulted in many long-haul cargo drivers refusing to drive during this period of heightened instability. Similar concerns have been raised by public transportation drivers, with most routes not operating as usual or with drivers charging more than usual for transportation. Throughout Caracas (and other major cities) an increased police and military presence has largely tempered demonstrations in some areas, but exacerbated tensions in others.

United Kingdom: Unrest in Southport remined kinetic overnight as locals express anger towards the handling of Monday’s stabbing attack that killed three children. Additionally, large pro-immigration counter-protests have sprung up in the wake of the unrest yesterday.

-HomeFront-

USA: A large recall of potentially contaminated deli meat has spread throughout the country as Boar’s Head widens the recall. Previously, roughly 200,000 pounds of Boar’s Head products were recalled due to an outbreak of Listeria which has caused hospitalizations and least two deaths in 13 states so far. Yesterday, Boar’s Head increased the recall to include an additional 7 million pounds of meat nationwide. AC: This is one of the largest meat recalls in recent history, and highlights the vulnerabilities of food security and contamination potential.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Traditionally, in warfare, if a nation is unable to militarily achieve their goals, they must do so politically and diplomatically. Generally speaking, killing the negotiator is counterproductive towards these ends. Israel could have struck Haniyeh at any time, as the target itself was Haniyeh’s private residence in Tehran. However, by coordinating this strike with the Beirut attack this likely was intended to serve several objectives, few of which were of direct military value. In any case, these details and concerns are likely to be overcome by developing events, as the world awaits the next escalation.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2130Z July 30, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: ISRAEL STRIKES BEIRUT. RIOTS CONTINUE IN VENEZUELA. CLIMATE ACTIVISTS ATTACK HEATHROW AIRPORT.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: This morning Israel struck a residential building in Beirut. The target (a senior Hezbollah commander) was located in the Haret Hreik area, in the southeastern sector of the city. AC: As of this report, this appears to be an isolated strike and not a persistent bombing campaign.

In Israel, mass demonstrations are underway resulting from the detention of 9 IDF soldiers who are accused of very seriously abusing a Palestinian detainee (who is now reportedly in a state of paralysis). The detention of these soldiers sparked immediate and kinetic riots, with demonstrators attempting to breach the perimeter defenses of two separate military bases where the soldiers were being held for questioning, in order to free the detained soldiers.

AC: The abusive acts committed by some (or all) of these soldiers are too graphic and disturbing to describe in this report. Of note, most of the debate of these horrendous acts is not centered around whether or not the soldiers are guilty of the act, but rather whether or not the act itself is a crime. Very high-ranking Israeli politicians (to include National Security Minister Ben-Gvir, and MK Hanoch Milwidsky) have voiced support for the soldiers, taking the stance that such disturbing actions are justified and legal. Consequently, as distasteful and graphic as this incident is (and as unfathomable as it is for this incident to be the reason for unrest) the very kinetic demonstrations resulting from this incident have highlighted fractures between various factional elements within Israel.

South America: Mass rioting and civil unrest is underway in Venezuela following the recent questionable election results. Factional allegiances have complicated the response around the nation. Some reports indicate varying police departments, some soldiers, and even local warlords opposing what is perceived as Maduro’s bid to cling to power. Other reports indicate other police and military forces firing on demonstrators with live rounds. AC: Much of the reasoning for the unrest (and determining how much is related to political issues) remains complicated; some of the rioting is purely undertaken by opportunistic criminals, whereas other groups of armed individuals are exerting political dominance in their local areas. Much of the Venezuelan armed forces (particularly the senior leadership) has voiced support for Maduro, however pockets of soldiers are (in effect) defecting to resistance groups, or otherwise are refusing to target protesting civilians.

United Kingdom: This morning climate activists vandalized London’s Heathrow Airport by spraying paint throughout much of the Terminal 5 departure area. AC: One of the vandals is the same woman who vandalized a Vincent van Gogh painting in the National Gallery of London two years ago. She was convicted of this crime last Thursday. As she is potentially facing several years of imprisonment for the National Gallery attack, this was likely a motivating factor to double-down in serving the Just Stop Oil institution by committing one last attack before being out of commission.

In Southport, another child has died following yesterday’s stabbing attack. This brings the death toll for this attack to three, all of which were children. This afternoon riots broke out in Southport in response to authorities conducting information shaping operations to protect and conceal the identity of the assailant. At least one police vehicle was set on fire during the riot.

-HomeFront-

Iowa: Last night a train derailed in the community of Glidden. Local reports indicate at least three dozen cars catastrophically derailed, and recovery efforts are underway. No HAZMAT concerns were reported by Unio

//The Wire//2130Z July 29, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: ISRAELI OPERATIONS IN LEBANON IMPENDING. VENEZUELAN ELECTION RAISES CORRUPTION CONCERNS. U.K. STABBING ATTACK STRIKES SOUTHPORT. OIL SPILL STRIKES LOUISIANA.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: Indications and warnings of potential Israeli combat operations in Lebanon are mounting. This morning the U.S. Embassy in Beirut began making preparations for unrest involving U.S. citizens. A State Department message urged U.S. citizens in Lebanon to enroll in the STEP program, and “prepare to shelter in place for long periods of time” in the event that evacuation via commercial aviation is not available. This morning some commercial airlines have delayed (or even cancelled) some routine flights into Beirut due to the risks of a widening conflict.

South America: Election irregularities in Venezuela have increased tensions throughout the region. Over the weekend, Venezuela’s latest round of elections has resulted in widespread claims of election fraud as President Nicolas Maduro comes out on top, allegedly winning 51% of the vote.

The international response to this election has been mixed, but largely negative. The United States has condemned what the State Department claims is obvious election tampering. Argentina has made similar condemnations and has refused to officially recognize the results. In Venezuela, protests and demonstrations are mounting. Unrest is also building among the Venezuelan diaspora within the United States, many of which have organized demonstrations in several cities around the US.

AC: Many of the instances of election discrepancies revolve around votes for Maduro mysteriously showing up in the middle of the night. However, this election was openly influenced from the start as Maduro’s original opposition candidate was banned from running in the first place.

United Kingdom: A mass stabbing attack occurred in Southport this morning when an assailant entered a yoga studio and attacked a youth dance class within the building. 2x children were killed in the attack, and 6x children and 2x adults remain in critical condition. The attacker was apprehended at the scene. AC: Few details have been released on the assailant due to the attacker allegedly being 17 years old.

-HomeFront-

Louisiana: A crude oil spill originating from the Crescent Midstream Crude Oil Facility occurred over the weekend in the Lafourche Bayou. As of yet, the amount of oil spilled has not been determined, and authorities within Lafourche Parish Water District No. 1 have issued a request for locals to conserve water. AC: As of this report, authorities claim that no contamination has entered an adjacent water treatment facility. However, locals suggest the spill is more significant than authorities are letting on, and has heavily contaminated the local area.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: If the actions of the U.S. State Department (combined with commercial airlines canceling flights) are any indicator, an Israeli operation in Lebanon is likely impending soon. As a reminder, the complexity of the overall strategic situation in the North could result in any number of operations conducted by Israel. Over the past few weeks, airstrikes (from Israel) and rocket strikes (via Hezbollah) have been intensifying in the Golan Heights. At this point, some may consider a de facto state of war to already be in place. However, one of the major escalations the international community has been expecting is Israeli combat operations on the ground (i.e. a ground invasion of Lebanon). Though nothing is certain yet, what limited ground operations do occur will probably be framed as a counterterrorism clearance operation of varying locations along the border just inside Lebanon. On the other hand, Israel may seek to intensify the bombing campaign in Lebanon for the time being, instead of committ

Link to Part 1: https://youtu.be/fW2iIsVSMAc
00:00 - The Situation 
04:30 - The Evidence 
07:00 - The Digression 
10:18 - The Range 
18:15 - The Operational Environment 
22:10 - The Theory 
27:10 - The History 
31:26 - The Threat