S2 Underground

//The Wire//2230Z August 30, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: BRONX EXPLOSION CAUSES DAMAGE TO RESIDENTIAL BUILDING. STABBING ATTACKS CONTINUE IN U.K. ALONG WITH CRACKDOWNS ON SPEECH.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

United Kingdom: Last night a 13-year-old boy was fatally stabbed in Birmingham.

Around the country arrests of dissenting citizens continue. Another round of raids and arrests has been launched to target those who have expressed dissenting opinion online, or participated in demonstrations against government. The situation has been exacerbated by the arrest of an 11-year-old child, who allegedly made offensive remarks online. Arrests continue nonetheless, as British authorities prioritize the targeting of speech crimes throughout the nation.

Germany: A mass stabbing attack took place on a bus in Siegen this afternoon, injuring five people. Of those wounded, three remain in serious condition. AC: Of note, the assailant in this case appears to have been female who may have been under the influence of drugs/alcohol.

Brazil: Twitter/X has been banned nationwide following months of controversy regarding Elon Musk resisting the mandates imposed on the platform. AC: At the head of this debate has been Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes, who has personally attempted to force Twitter/X to ban his political opposition under the banner of fighting “disinformation”.

-HomeFront-

New York: This afternoon an unidentified military-aged male emplaced a possible Improvised Explosive Device (IED) at the entrance of a residential building in the 2400 block of Hughes Avenue in the Bronx. A few minutes after the individual departed from the location, the device exploded, causing damage to the building. No injuries have been reported as a result of the blast. The person-of-interest who deposited the possible IED at the location remains at large, being last seen on a red scooter heading southbound on Arthur Avenue.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Not many details have been released regarding the Bronx IED incident. So far, nothing indicates whether or not this incident was a deliberate terror attack or more indicative of local crime. IED attacks in the U.S. are quite rare, and successful detonations even more uncommon. As such, if this incident did involve the use of a deliberately constructed IED, this is nonetheless concerning, even if it was used in a more traditionally criminal role.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2200Z August 29, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: STABBING ATTACKS CONTINUE IN ENGLAND. VENEZUELAN GANG EXPANDS INFLUENCE IN COLORADO.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

United Kingdom: Stabbing attacks continue as before. A disabled man was fatally stabbed in the Clapton area of London yesterday. Another unidentified individual was also located in the vicinity with stab wounds. U.K. authorities have also released crime data on the crimes that occurred at the Notting Hill Carnival event over the weekend. At least 5 stabbings and one acid attack were reported at this event.

-HomeFront-

Colorado: Concerns are increasing in Aurora regarding the expansion of Tren de Aragua (TdA) operations that have been slowly becoming more significant over the past few months. Over the past few days TdA militants at the Fitzsimons Apartments in Aurora have expanded efforts to control Key Terrain in the vicinity of the apartment complex, with many of the residents who still remain alleging that TdA has in effect “taken over” the entire apartment block.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: As a reminder, this issue involving TdA in Colorado is not new by any means, however the actions by gang members to expand operations over the past couple of weeks have given locals increased cause for concern. This situation originated last year when the owners/developers of the complex allowed the tenement building to fall into disarray, prompting the city to attempt to shut the complex down due to health and safety violations. Last year, TdA militants filled the power vacuum that was created, occupying most of the vacant apartments at the complex. A few months ago, a DHS memo was issued to LE sources warning that TdA militants had been given permission to expand operations and target LE if necessary. Moving forward to today, TdA maintains a significant presence at this location. Right now, local LE are claiming that reports of TdA militants are rare, despite the plethora of local reports of armed gang members openly patrolling the area, and even federal involvement via counterterrorism agencies. 

Though this situation is concerning for locals, more broadly this highlights an unpleasant reality of cartel operations expanding into the US, in coordination with the millions of unvetted populations of military-aged males entering into the US: Once a small criminal element gains a foothold in an area expansion can happen very quickly, turning a small problem into a very large problem in short order. More strategically, this is a case-study that serves as a model for assessing similar situations in most major US cities (but especially smaller cities and towns) where similar power-vacuums are being created; similar efforts by other groups are extremely likely over the next few years in any area where large numbers of foreign migrants/militants are being resettled to.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z August 28, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: HOUTHIS ALLEGEDLY ALLOW THE RECOVERY OF THE SOUNION SUPERTANKER IN RED SEA. EGYPT STRENGTHENS TIES WITH SOMALIA.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Red Sea/HOA: The Houthi government has indicated that they will allow the towing/salvage of the supertanker Sounion, which was targeted by Houthi forces last week. The crew abandoned ship after the attack, and the vessel has been adrift for almost a week. Yesterday, a passing merchant vessel spotted the Sounion, which has not sunk and is still on fire. AC: As a reminder of the magnitude of this incident, the Sounion is carrying approximately 1 million barrels of crude oil, or roughly three times the amount spilled during the infamous Exxon Valdez incident in 1989. So far, no significant oil leaks have been reported by the EU ships shadowing the stricken vessel.

Northern Africa: Egypt has begun the delivery of weapons to Somalia, reigniting tensions in the region. Ethiopia (who has a history of conflict and centuries of negative relations with Somalia) has voiced outrage at the military trade pact, claiming that this increased partnership is intended to destabilize the region, and negatively impact their increasing ties with Somaliland (a diplomatically ambiguous region in western Somalia).

-HomeFront-

USA: Yesterday nationwide impacts to cellular communications were reported among AT&T users. AT&T confirmed the sporadic outages and attributed the incident to an issue at a switching center. This systems failure resulted in random outages of many services that rely on AT&T infrastructure, to include 911 call centers in some states.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: As the US election cycle continues, malign actors both foreign and domestic have the means, motive, and opportunities to target telecoms infrastructure in any way possible. The recent AT&T outages have been extremely serious, impacting FirstNet services and other critical infrastructure…all without the involvement of any nefarious entity. As such, it’s extremely likely that perfectly innocent mistakes or routine service interruptions would be compounded by nefarious intent. In short, a communications outage may begin as an accident, but might not remain as such due to the efforts of malign actors who seek to capitalize on the situation.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2300Z August 27, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: KURSK OFFENSIVE CONTINUES, RUSSIA MAKES GAINS IN THE EAST.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

United Kingdom: The crackdown on dissent continues as the arrest of peaceful protesters remains constant. AC: Details regarding demonstrations and protests have slowed, likely due to government suppression, censorship, or by most people choosing to protect themselves by not posting online. As such, most of the information confirming the presence of protests are arrest reports or other official press statements.

Russia: As conflict in Kursk remains fluid, Russia has made gains on the eastern front. Russian troops have made limited advances in the Donetsk region, with notable advances to expand the salient northwest of Donetsk into Marynivka. 

-HomeFront-

Georgia: Two workers were killed conducting routine maintenance at the Delta TechOps facility in Atlanta. The incident occurred when a large aircraft tire exploded, killing two workers and seriously injuring a third.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: As always, there are two sides to every coin, which is most poignantly demonstrated in Kursk. Russia has almost certainly slowed the Ukrainian advance somewhat, or at minimum greatly reduced the risk to the city of Kursk for the time being. However, it’s not likely that Ukraine ever really intended for their advance to capture (or even challenge) Kursk from the very onset of this operation. For the past week, the situation in Kursk has remained extremely fluid and open to interpretation; very few details indicate how the situation is going, with neither side convincingly holding any terrain unquestionably. 

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2200Z August 26, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: ISRAEL CONDUCTS AIRSTRIKES IN LEBANON. TELEGRAM FOUNDER ARRESTED IN FRANCE. HOUTHIS CONTINUE TO HONE TARGETING TACTICS.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: Yesterday at approximately 0500B Israeli forces conducted substantial airstrikes within southern Lebanon, reportedly targeting pre-staged Hezbollah rockets. Immediately in retaliation to these strikes, Hezbollah counterattacked by firing hundreds of rockets that Israeli forces did not successfully target. Due to this latest escalation, most commercial aviation has been sporadically halted throughout the region, and Israel has declared a state of emergency for the next 48 hours.

France: Pavel Durov, the founder of Telegram, was arrested by French authorities over the weekend. The arrest was made in conjunction with alleged violations of the European Union mandates within the Digital Services Act (DSA). AC: This arrest was made under many of the same conditions and allegations that other social media platform owners have faced, who do not abide by the EU’s censorship mandates. Durov is being prosecuted under the same blanket of threats that the EU has issued to Elon Musk and other social media giants. Consequently, the founder of Rumble, Chris Pavlovski, immediately departed Europe for his own safety, due to the precedent that has now been set.

Red Sea/HOA: Houthi targeting continues as before, with some change in tactics. Details of the targeting of the M/V Sounion have come to light, namely that the targeting was possibly not carried out by a cruise missile or unmanned vessel, but by explosive charges being affixed to the side of the vessel by Houthi militants in small craft. This theory is supported by the vessel reporting being shadowed for some time by militants in small craft. AC: Though the use of improvised Limpet mines to target vessels is not a new concept, (if true) this does mark a change in Houthi tactics, which over the past few months have become more broad and technically skilled.

-HomeFront-

Washington D.C. – The Pentagon is moving forward with the latest round of fleet reduction efforts, and is reportedly planning to mothball 17 more vessels. This fleet reduction is allegedly due to the dwindling numbers of Merchant Mariners that are able to help crew and maintain various classes of support vessel. Most of the vessels marked for placement into “extended maintenance” are Fast Transport ships, and a few replenishment vessels.

AC: Of note, two expeditionary seabase vessels (the USS Lewis Puller and the USS Herschel “Woody” Williams) are on the chopping block, which signals the desperation of the fleet. The Puller is a brand-new vessel (being commissioned only in 2017) and has seen only seven years of service before being mothballed. The “Woody” Williams is even newer, only being commissioned in 2020, and having seen only four years of service.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: At this juncture, it would be safe to conclude that the Middle East peace talks have not been successful.

The strikes in Lebanon are probably the largest operation carried out by Israel in Lebanon in decades, with well over 45 different sites/towns reportedly being struck in some way. Right now, it is not clear as to if some sort of Israeli ground operation is planned (though this potential appears to be unlikely for the time being). Consequently, the potential for ground forces to become involved (to some degree) cannot be dismissed in the future as Israeli operations expand.

What’s less clear at the moment is which party is to blame for this latest serious escalation. If Israeli intelligence did indeed intercept the locations of dozens of pre-staged rocket sites, the question remains regarding how Hezbollah was able to launch hundreds of rockets within just a few minutes of the first Israe

//The Wire//2030Z August 23, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: RUSSIAN PRISON OVERRUN BY ISIS MILITANTS. CANADIAN RAILROAD LABOR STRIKE HALTED BY CANADIAN GOVERNMENT.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Russia: Overnight, Islamist State (ISIS) militants conducted an assault at the IK-19 penal colony in Volgograd. ISIS militants occupied the facility for a few hours, executing at least three guards. AC: The militants made several varying demands, such as military equipment, money, and a helicopter, however Russian authorities were not willing to negotiate and retook the facility by force. All ISIS militants were either neutralized or arrested.

This attack comes a few days after Putin’s surprise visit to Chechnya, his first visit to the region in over a decade. This visit served to diplomatically cement the Chechen Republic’s role in Russia’s future, along with strengthening ties with Ramzan Kadyrov, the current head of the mostly Islamic republic.

Norway: Newly-released reporting reveals an act of sabotage that occurred at a critical military installation earlier this year. Local Norwegian media reports that a communications cable at Evenes Air Station was deliberately cut back in April. The investigation of this incident is currently ongoing.

-HomeFront-

Colorado: This morning two trains collided near Boulder, destroying a rail bridge and causing a minor fuel leak.

Canada: Yesterday afternoon the Canadian government intervened to halt the railroad lockout, less than a day after it started. However, even as rail operations are resuming normally, logistical delays are still expected for some cargo.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Critical cargo or any freight cars carrying HAZMAT were halted about a week before the labor strike, so as to not result in this important cargo being stuck on random sidings throughout Canada. As such, even a labor strike of one day has caused backlogs that might take several weeks to return to normal.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

00:00 - The History 
04:00 - The Resistance 
07:19 - The Plan 
10:19 - The Betrayal 
17:10 - The Lesson 

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//The Wire//2200Z August 22, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: LABOR UNION LOCKOUT HALTS USA/CAN RAIL TRAFFIC. RIOTS BREAK OUT IN INDONESIA. HALLIBURTON VICTIM OF CYBERATTACK.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Indonesia: Mass protesting and rioting broke out overnight following a controversial proposed change to election law. Indonesians began demonstrating in response to a proposed rule change to lower the minimum age required to run for public office. AC: The proposed change would have lowered the age limit by five years…just enough to allow the outgoing President’s son to be eligible to run. In response to the riots, this proposed rule change has reportedly been scrapped for now, however unrest continues nonetheless.

United Kingdom: Yesterday a man was stabbed in Bristol, resulting in the death of the unidentified man. Three men have been arrested in conjunction with this attack. In Southampton, a 15-year-old boy was stabbed in the face by another 15-year-old. The assailant was arrested at the scene and the victim remains hospitalized. 

-HomeFront-

North America: All cross-border rail traffic between the United States and Canada halted this morning due to an ongoing labor union dispute. CPKC and Canadian National railroads began a lockout of their workers at midnight, due to the inability to reach agreements during contract negotiations.

USA: Halliburton reported being targeted by a significant cyberattack yesterday evening. AC: Not many details have been made public regarding the attack, but a few sites in Texas have reported unspecified impacts to their operations.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Labor disputes involving rail logistics are not uncommon, however as with any potential halting of trade the impacts could be wide-ranging, especially as this labor dispute comes at peak cargo handling season. Due to the nature of supply chain logistics, even a short interruption of trade will likely cause backlogs lasting weeks, or even months.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2230Z August 21, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: MIDDLE EAST PEACE TALKS CONTINUE TENUOUSLY. U.K. UNREST REMAINS AMID CRACKDOWNS. HOUTHI ATTACKS CONTINUE IN RED SEA.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

United Kingdom: Overnight a man murdered a woman and three children by burning them alive in their home in Bradford. The man was arrested at the scene.

Yesterday, a delivery driver was stabbed to death in Leeds after trying to stop his van from being stolen. His body was found beside the road by a passerby, and he later died at a local hospital.

Around the nation demonstrations against the regime continue despite heavy-handed responses by authorities.

Ireland: Another migrant center in Dublin was burned down by local Irishmen overnight. No arrests have been made regarding this arson incident.

Germany: Yesterday a man was executed in the central train station in Frankfurt, with the assailant approaching the victim and shooting him in the back of the head with a pistol in the main hall of the station. Local reports indicate both the victim and perpetrator are of Turkish descent/nationality.

Red Sea/HOA: Houthi attacks continue as before. Yesterday two ships were attacked in typical fashion by Houthi forces, with varying success. The M/V SUNION was reportedly struck by two Houthi missiles, with the crew abandoning ship due to uncontrolled fires onboard the vessel.

Middle East: Iranian statements and actions over the past few days have indicated that Iran’s much-awaited response to Israel’s attack weeks ago likely has been postponed. Low-level exercises and routine Iranian military activity has been observed, along with Iranian statements that indicate that no major military action will take place for the time being, at least while the peace talks are ongoing.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Iranian officials, like much of the Middle East, tend to use extremely passive language, never speaking directly about anything. As such, Iranian officials at varying levels have made small statements over the past few days suggesting that “patience” is needed, that the response may take “a long time”, or other extremely passive statements. This language is probably the most direct way that Iran will communicate that they don’t intend to do anything for now.

Regarding the peace talks, very little information has leaked out so far to indicate how the situation is developing. Various American statements have suggested the talks remain positive and hopeful. However, these statements remain dubious considering the reality of the situation. Yesterday US SECSTATE Blinken left Egypt abruptly, suggesting that things are not going so well. This is exemplified by a continuation of routine combat actions by Hamas, Hezbollah, and Israel (mostly comprising of limited strikes or harassing rocket attacks), further indicating that no side is as serious about peace as the United States would have everyone believe.

In the United Kingdom, the arrest, conviction, and sentencing of anti-migration demonstrators has already gone beyond the pale of civilized society, into the utterly absurd. Yesterday, a man was sentenced in Bristol to almost two years in prison for shouting at a police dog and making allegedly racist remarks. Others have been arrested, convicted, and sentenced in quick succession to many years in prison for ridiculously low-level offenses that would not even be a crime in traditionally western societies. As such, British authorities would do well to observe the stakes that they themselves are raising; when low-level crimes are treated more seriously than capital crimes, common sense would dictate that the latter will become more preferrable to the former.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2200Z August 20, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: LUXURY YACHT SINKS OFF SICILY, VIPS REMAIN MISSING AT SEA. NO NEW INFO ON JBSA SHOOTING.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Italy: The sailing vessel BAYESIAN sank off the coast of Sicily overnight, reportedly due to severe weather conditions. This vessel was owned by British software tycoon Mike Lynch and onboard the vessel were a number of VIPs, to include Morgan Stanley Chair Jonathan Bloomer. Of the 22x personnel onboard the vessel, 15x passengers and crew were rescued, including Lynch’s wife. Italian rescue and salvage crews have located the wreck of the vessel and have begun rescue/salvage operations as necessary. So far, one body has been recovered (the onboard chef), but all others not accounted for remain missing at sea.

-HomeFront-

Texas: A spokeswoman for JBSA-Lackland has stated that Saturday’s engagements are not being treated as terror attacks. AC: No arrests have been made, nor has any information come to light regarding the firefights Saturday morning. As such, it’s not clear as to how base leadership can not know who the attacker(s) were or anything about them, yet can somehow rule out terrorism.

Illinois: Limited disruptions have been reported at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago. Several perimeter breaches have been reported and most of the demonstrations have been of a Pro-Palestine nature, with a few arrests being reported as some demonstrations get out of hand.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: The sinking of the BAYESIAN has drawn much interest due to events in the United Kingdom overnight. Yesterday, Stephen Chamberlain was struck and killed by a vehicle in Cambridgeshire. He was a defendant alongside Mike Lynch in the fraud scandal that emerged from the sale of their company (Autonomy) to Hewlett-Packard. Both Chamberlain and Lynch were acquitted in this trial two months ago, leading even mainstream media sources to note the extremely coincidental nature of both men meeting their untimely ends on almost the exact same day, under vastly different circumstances. Of course, the data itself doesn’t provide many concrete details support to this idea, beyond the timing and nature of the incidents themselves.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//