S2 Underground

//The Wire//1630Z June 3, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: MEXICO ELECTS FIRST FEMALE PRESIDENT. GERMANY REINFORCES UKRAINE’S EXPANDED USE OF EXPORTED MUNITIONS.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Germany: The police officer (who’s name has not yet been released officially) wounded in the recent terror attack in Mannheim died of his wounds overnight. AC: The German government continues to censor the terrorist attack heavily, and has reportedly ordered footage of the attack to be removed from social media platforms.

In Berlin, the expected escalation of the war in Ukraine is underway, as insinuated by Major General Christian Freudig in a televised interview over the weekend. Speaking of the recent authorization of Germany to allow Ukraine to target sites within Russia with exported munitions, General Freudig stated that “It is quite conceivable that the 'Patriot' systems will now also be used in the Kharkiv area and about Russia. They are ideally suited to combat the Russian aircraft which can deploy the terrible glide bombs”.

Red Sea/HOA: Much debate remains following Houthi claims that they had successfully struck an American warship in the Red Sea, namely the USS EISENHOWER. No video evidence has been provided by the Houthis (who commonly claim to strike American warships in the region) to substantiate these claims. AC: Houthi forces regularly engage American warships at sea, but so far all missile and drone attacks have been intercepted successfully with regards to attacks directed at warships. Due to the limitations of the weapons systems currently fielded, it is challenging for US Navy ships to use their own defense systems to defend other ships not inside their Task Force (i.e. a cargo ship sailing many miles away). However, when it comes to shipborne defenses (particularly those of an aircraft carrier, with the combined defenses of the escorts) it’s not likely for Houthi forces to be successful in an attack with one or two missiles. However, perhaps making the information warfare situation worse, the Captain of the EISENHOWER posted a short video clip of aviation operations on his social media account on June 1st, after the alleged strike. Many social media watchers took this as an implication that the EISENHOWER suffered no damage…however the clip was from a few months ago. Consequently, many on social media (and various accounts linked to the CCP) have claimed that the US is covering up a successful strike with older video clips. However, it must be noted that the Captain of the EISENHOWER, like most senior military leadership, possesses a rather unique leadership and social media style which may be strange to a civilian audience, and is known to re-post older content frequently. Nothing about the recent re-post implied it was intended to serve as proof of an unsuccessful strike, however the poor timing of the incident caused more scrutiny of official Navy social media accounts than probably intended. This, combined with the recent announcement that the EISENHOWER’s deployment has been extended, casts doubt as to what the truth is. As to whether or not the Houthis met with success this time, there is no reliable information to indicate what really happened. Statistically speaking, it is only a matter of time before the Houthi’s get lucky and a major escalation in the region flares up again. However, the most likely form of success for the Houthis does not like with single-munition strikes against heavily defended vessels.

Mexico: Claudia Sheinbaum has been elected President. She will begin her 6-year term on October 1. AC: Sheinbaum has raised much debate on immigration issues due to her socialist background, which strongly indicates that US/Mexico relations with regards to reconciling border issues likely will not occur anytime soon.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Considering the range of Russia

 Links: 
JP 3-60: https://www.justsecurity.org/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/Joint_Chiefs-Joint_Targeting_20130131.pdf 
CDE: https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/no-strike-collateral-damage-estimation/6632f2785aff5bba/full.pdf 
NYT Document: https://int.nyt.com/data/documenttools/nc-3-1-17-syria/c45c09e1f5e1f313/full.pdf 
00:00 - Introduction 
01:08 - Deliberate vs. Dynamic Targeting 
04:24 - Differing Experiences 
08:16 - F3EAD and Shibboleths 
11:03 - The POI 
13:09 - Database Management and Triage 
15:53 - Target Development 
17:43 - Intelligence Collection 
26:28 - POL Analysis 
41:20 - "Dual Use" Facilities 
50:23 - Collateral Damage Estimation 
58:22 - CDE Mitigation 
01:05:35 - The TDWG 
01:14:39 - The JTCB 
01:18:12 - The Strike 
01:20:40 - Battle Damage Assessment 
01:25:36 - CIVCAS 
01:31:50 - Closing Thoughts 

If you would like to support us, we're on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/user?u=30479515 And if you don't like Patreon, we're also on Playeur! https://playeur.com/c/S2Underground Disclaimer: No company sponsored this video. In fact, we have ZERO sponsors. We are funded 100% by you, the viewer. All of our funding comes from direct support from platforms like Patreon, or from ad revenue on YouTube. Please note that even though it hurts our income, we still offer ad-free watching via alternative platforms like Odysee, Gab, and (for now) Rumble: Odysee: https://odysee.com/@S2Underground:7 Gab: https://gab.com/S2underground Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/theunderground BitChute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/P2NMGFdt3gf3/ Our Reading List! https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/133747963-s2-actual The War Kitchen Channel! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYmtpjXT22tAWGIlg_xDDPA DISCLAIMER: This content is purely educational and does not advocate for violating any laws. Do not violate any laws or regulations. This is not legal advice. Consult with your attorney. Our Reading List! https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/133747963-s2-actual The War Kitchen Channel! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYmtpjXT22tAWGIlg_xDDPA Join us on GhostNet! Download the PDF here: https://github.com/s2underground/GhostNet 

Hey everyone, back again with another weekly rollup! Sorry if this one is a little rough around the edges, I was exhausted while recording this earlier this morning, and I've been trying to catch up with a bunch of little projects that have taken up a lot of time. Plus, it's not like this week's events aren't historically important, so the magnitude of these latest milestones are kind of hard to capture sometimes. Anyway, at least we have the opportunity to take note, learn, and improve ourselves; there are certainly plenty of opportunities for lessons learned these days 😂

Youtube link: https://youtu.be/tlky4iZlj-Q

00:00 - Northeast Region 

10:37 - Southwestern Region 

11:26 - Western Region 

15:33 - Western Europe 

23:23 - Eastern Europe 

33:45 - Far East 

37:10 - GhostNet News 

39:40 - Closing Thoughts

//The Wire//1430Z May 31, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: STABBING ATTACK STRIKES MANNHEIM. CHICKEN FARM BURNS IN ILLINOIS. POLISH ARMS DEPOT DESTROYED IN FIRE. DONALD TRUMP CONVICTED.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Germany: An attempted assassination of Michael Stürzenberger was carried out by an Islamic terrorist wielding a knife in Mannheim. AC: During the struggle, a policeman was also stabbed in the neck by the assailant after possibly tackling the wrong person during the melee. Stürzenberger is a well-known activist famous for his vocal opposition to Islam and Islamic immigration.

Poland: Early unconfirmed reporting indicates an arms supply depot caught fire overnight in Radom. The fire totally destroyed the facility, causing an estimated $120 million in damage (according to some sources). AC: This facility reportedly housed munitions and arms destined for Ukraine.

-HomeFront-

New York: Donald Trump has been convicted of all 34 felony counts presented. His sentencing has been scheduling for July 11th.

Illinois: A 5-alarm fire broke out at Farina Farms of Marion County overnight. The fire totally consumed the complex, resulting in the deaths of potentially millions of chickens. The cause of the incident is unknown. AC: This follows the culling of 4 million hens as a result of bird flu in Iowa.

Washington D.C. – The White House has given permission for Ukraine to conduct strikes inside Russia with the munitions provided by American taxpayers. Germany also granted the same with arms and munitions provided by Germany.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Though Ukraine has already very likely used western munitions to target Russia directly, the open admission of such will likely result in even more escalation of the war in Ukraine. Strategically, this move is unlikely to make any difference.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2030Z May 30, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: TENSIONS CONTINUE IN NORTH KOREA. FRANCE CONTINUES CONSIDERING UKRAINE DEPLOYMENT.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Far East: Tensions on the Korean Peninsula continue as North Korean forces conduct GPS jamming operations near the border. Reportedly aircraft arriving and departing from Inchon International Airport in Seoul were affected by the jamming. Overnight, North Korean forces also launched approximately 10x SRBMs into the Sea of Japan.

France: Reports continue to mount that France either has, or is about to, deploy troops to Ukraine in some manner. Following the French Foreign Legion fiasco a few weeks ago, a few days ago General Oleksandr Syrsky, the Commander in Chief of the AFU stated that French troops would soon be arriving in Kiev. Later on, Syrsky retracted these claims, stating that talks are still ongoing with regards to a potential French deployment.

-HomeFront-

New York: The verdict for the latest Trump trial is expected soon, which may result in localized demonstrations and/or more substantial federal activities with regards to the restriction of transportation. AC: Mass civil unrest is unlikely, however due to the historic nature of this latest political development, increased situational awareness is recommended.  

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: It is overwhelmingly likely that France is trying to slowly walk towards openly deploying soldiers in Ukraine, and probably already has taken steps in that direction. With regards to special operations, when a politician of any nation suggests sending forces to a location openly, behind closed doors those forces have probably already been there for some time….the “secret” deployment of special forces from every NATO member to Ukraine has been the most open secret of the entire war (though most of these troops likely have been in more of an “advisory role”, to varying degrees). As such, France (and other NATO members) continuing to call for escalation of the war, either by sending troops or by encouraging Ukraine to strike targets inside Russia, the end result is unlikely to change much.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2130Z May 29, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: DPRK LAUNCHES PROPAGANDA BALLOONS TOWARD SOUTH KOREA. CRIMINAL ACTIVITY IN U.S. CONTINUES TO BECOME MORE ORGANIZED.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Far East: The Korean Peninsula has been active following several recent developments. Over the weekend, North Korea unsuccessfully attempted to launch a military satellite into orbit. The space vehicle broke up during the launch. Overnight, South Korean citizens observed hundreds of small balloons that were launched in North Korea’s border region, drifting into South Korea. Most of the balloons contained garbage, manure, or propaganda leaflets.

-HomeFront-

California: The Los Angeles County Sheriff’s Department has issued a public warning regarding increasingly sophisticated crime tactics in the area. International crime organizations have exhibited more bold tactics, to include emplacing camouflaged surveillance equipment on private property. This tactic specifically is in reference to the arrest of four Columbians who were arrested after using this bold intelligence collection technique as part of expanding their theft network. This tactic was also allegedly used by a separate burglary ring which was recently discovered in Malibu.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: In addition to increasingly more capable Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) tactics being used by everyone from routine thieves to foreign intelligence agencies over the past few years, more substantially violent encounters are being reported in the commission of crimes. This has been an unsurprising trend over the past few years, but continues to increase in severity and significance. This has been most clearly demonstrated via several viral incidents that have been observed around the U.S. this summer, in which the burglary victims were shot and/or attacked, even after complying with the thieves. As such, careful observation and situational awareness must be maintained in a time where no quarter is given by regular street criminals, with extreme violence being used in the commission of even the smallest crime.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2330Z May 28, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: CONFLICT AND TENSION CONTINUES IN GAZA. F-35 CRASHES NEAR ALBUQUERQUE//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: International tensions remain high following the Egyptian border skirmish yesterday, as well as a high-profile strike resulting in many civilian casualties (CIVCAS) over the weekend. Israeli forces conducted a large airstrike on a tent-city encampment in Rafah, which resulted in approximately 40 casualties.

In the north Hamas and Hezbollah attacks continue along a wide front along the Lebanese border, as well as dotted throughout the countryside in the vicinity of West Bank, Gaza City, etc. Attacks from Hezbollah have steadily increased over the past few weeks in response to developing events in Gaza as well as the changing battlespace throughout the region.

-HomeFront-

New Mexico: An F-35 crashed in the vicinity of Albuquerque International Airport this afternoon. The aircraft crashed upon takeoff, with the debris field being located adjacent University Blvd SE, IVO grid: 13SCU5063375969. The pilot reportedly ejected safely before impact.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Originally the IDF claimed that the strike in Gaza didn’t happen, or happened in a different location, however Israeli PM Netanyahu directly contradicted these statements by stating the strike was a mistake. Allegedly, the large amount of CIVCAS was due to munitions causing a fuel tank to explode, owing to the large number of burn victims witnessed following the strike. As with the other high-profile, high-CIVCAS strikes observed so far in this conflict, it is not clear how Collateral Damage Estimation (CDE) methodology failed to identify and/or mitigate this potential CIVCAS, why Joint Desired Points of Impact (JDPIs) were placed danger-close to facilities that would have been visually identified with proper plume analysis, or why low-CDE munitions were apparently not used to conduct this strike.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

//The Wire//2330Z May 27, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: EGYPTIAN, ISRAELI SOLDIERS EXCHANGE GUNFIRE ON BORDER NEAR RAFAH.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Middle East: This morning Israeli and Egyptian forces exchanged small arms fire in the vicinity of Rafah, following the Israeli occupation of the Philadelphi corridor. So far, at least one Egyptian soldier has been killed in the skirmish, however this figure could be as high as four. No casualties have been reported on the Israeli side.

In Gaza, the U.S.-built pier is out of action following weather conditions over the weekend that caused several sections of the makeshift landing zone to break free and drift down the beach. It is unclear as to when (or if) this project will be repaired.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: At the moment it is not clear as to which side initiated contact in Rafah. Though official statements have not entirely been forthcoming, both sides seem to claim the other started the engagement. Additionally, this conflict does not appear to have been a simple one-and-done shooting, but may have been a protracted small arms engagement over a period of many minutes. As of this report, the engagement(s) between Israel and Egypt seem to have subsided. As it stands, diplomatic tensions remain at heights historically reminiscent of a widening conflict in the region, though it is too soon to tell if more substantial conflict will arise due to this latest escalation.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//

 00:00 - Northeast Region 
01:38 - Southeast Region 
09:56 - Western Region 
12:05 - Western Europe 
14:34 - Iranian Helicopter Crash 
19:18 - Far East/Taiwan 
34:30 - GhostNet Reports 
36:56 - Closing Thoughts

 The text version of the Wire can be found on Twitter: https://twitter.com/s2_underground And on our Wire Telegram page here: https://t.me/S2undergroundWire If you would like to support us, we're on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/user?u=30479515 And if you don't like Patreon, we're also on Playeur! https://playeur.com/c/S2Underground Disclaimer: No company sponsored this video. In fact, we have ZERO sponsors. We are funded 100% by you, the viewer. All of our funding comes from direct support from platforms like Patreon, or from ad revenue on YouTube. Please note that even though it hurts our income, we still offer ad-free watching via alternative platforms like Odysee, Gab, and (for now) Rumble. Odysee: https://odysee.com/@S2Underground:7 Gab: https://gab.com/S2underground Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/theunderground BitChute: https://www.bitchute.com/channel/P2NMGFdt3gf3/ Just a few reminders for everyone who's just become aware of us, in order to keep these briefings from being several hours long, we can't cover everything. We're probably covering 1% of the world events when we conduct these briefings, so please remember that if we left it out, it doesn't necessarily mean that it's unimportant. Also, remember that we do these briefings quite often, so we might have covered an issue previously that you might not see if you are only watching our most recent videos. We're also doing this in our spare time, so again we fully admit that these briefings aren't even close to being perfect; we're going for a healthy blend of speed and quality. If we were to wait and only post a brief when it's "perfect" we would never post anything at all. So expect some minor errors here and there. If there is a major error or correction that needs to be made, we will post it here in the description, and verbally address it in the next briefing, whenever that is. Also, thanks for reading this far. It is always surprising the number of people that don't actually read the description box to find more information. This content is purely educational and does not advocate for violating any laws. Do not violate any laws or regulations. This is not legal advice. Consult with your attorney. Our Reading List! https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/133747963-s2-actual The War Kitchen Channel! https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCYmtpjXT22tAWGIlg_xDDPA 

//The Wire//1800Z May 24, 2024//

//ROUTINE//

//BLUF: CHINESE MANEUVERS EXPAND IN TAIWAN STRAIT.//

 -----BEGIN TEARLINE-----

-International Events-

Far East: Tensions in the region remain high amid Chinese military drills in the waters surrounding Taiwan. Limited diplomatic scuffles have been noted between Taiwanese Coast Guard vessels and PLAN ships in the Strait. Overnight, Taiwanese forces noted 49x PLA aircraft, 19x PLAN vessels, and 7 Chinese Coast Guard vessels operating in the Taiwan Strait.

AC: This is a substantial increase in forces seen over the past few months, though these numbers do align with the scale and nature of this drill. However, a difference is the rhetoric from Chinese authorities, which has been more openly hostile than in years past. Several Chinese military officials have directly claimed that these drills are to prepare for the invasion of Taiwan, along with “punishing” Taiwan’s new President for allegedly taking a more pro-independence stance.

Eastern Europe: Diplomatic tensions between Russia and Estonia increased overnight following a border dispute. Estonia alleges that last night Russian forces cut and removed border demarcation buoys in the Narva river, which separates the two nations. These buoys were emplaced by Estonia 10 days ago.

-----END TEARLINE-----

Analyst Comments: Regarding Taiwan, the looming question persists: “Is this latest exercise the precursor to an invasion?”. At the moment, it’s too soon to tell, but vastly more ships and aircraft would be needed for an invasion to be imminent, along with many other indications and warnings. As such, closely monitoring the situation for invasion precursors would be beneficial over the next few weeks. As it stands, China’s “exercise” could be a drill, or it could be laying the groundwork for a naval blockade of Taiwan.

Analyst: S2A1

//END REPORT//