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A journalist on a national publication recently asked this question: “Should we be listening any more?” The writer was referring to the latest property price forecasts from National Australia Bank and pointed out NAB’s terrible record on predicting house prices. I wholeheartedly agree. I wish more journalists would challenge the major banks on their real estate predictions. It’s not just NAB: the property forecast track record of senior economists employed by all of the Big 4 banks is laughably bad. I often wonder how senior economists working for Westpac, ANZ, NAB and CommBank keep their jobs, given how often they predict negative price outcomes and are proven spectacularly wrong.
By Terry Ryder & Tim GrahamA journalist on a national publication recently asked this question: “Should we be listening any more?” The writer was referring to the latest property price forecasts from National Australia Bank and pointed out NAB’s terrible record on predicting house prices. I wholeheartedly agree. I wish more journalists would challenge the major banks on their real estate predictions. It’s not just NAB: the property forecast track record of senior economists employed by all of the Big 4 banks is laughably bad. I often wonder how senior economists working for Westpac, ANZ, NAB and CommBank keep their jobs, given how often they predict negative price outcomes and are proven spectacularly wrong.

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