What the heck is happening with the US economy? Stocks are down, now they’re up, mortgage rates are dropping—wait, scratch that—they’re back up again, the Fed could have a new chair, and if they cut rates, interest rates could…rise? A “technical” recession is on the way, but will it have the same effects as the last one? We need some backup to explain the state of the US economy, and J Scott is here to do just that.

J wrote the book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing and is known as one of the most economically aware real estate investors. Today, we’re diving into it all: mortgage rates, recession chances, inflation rates, tariffs, trade wars, future home price predictions, and what J plans to do with his money.

Home prices are already unstable, but could a recession, combined with high inventory and low demand, push us over the edge? This may not be another 2008, for many reasons, but the psychological effect of a recession can be severe—especially on homebuyers and sellers. We’re giving you J’s complete overview of the economy today.

In This Episode We Cover

Whether or not home prices are at risk as we enter a “technical” recession

J’s investment plan for 2025 and the assets he’s most bullish on

The massive undersupply problem that’s propping up the housing market

Inflation forecasts and the unexpected tariff side effects that could cost Americans

Why “just buy American” won’t stop you from feeling inflation

How the Fed cutting rates could…raise rates?

And So Much More!

Links from the Show

Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise

Join BiggerPockets for FREE

Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter

Find Investor-Friendly Lenders

Dave's BiggerPockets Profile

On the Market 315 - Stagflation Risk Rising Fast as US Economy Falls Out of Balance

J's BiggerPockets Profile

Grab J’s Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing”

Jump to topic:

(0:00) Intro
(2:04) Home Prices (Probably) Won’t Crash
(8:24) Still SO Undersupplied
(9:56) The “Technical” Recession Coming
(14:45) GDP Will Drop
(18:26) Inflation Forecast
(22:58) Just Buy American Goods?
(28:15) New Fed Chair?
(34:23) J’s Investment Plan

Check out more resources from this show on ⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠ and  ⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-316

Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠[email protected]⁠.

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices