In this episode, Nik Bhatia and Demian Schatt step back from short-term liquidity signals to examine the global balance sheet and its implications for Bitcoin. They break down why global wealth has decoupled from GDP, how financialization and credit expansion reshaped the world economy, and why policymakers have become increasingly resistant to prolonged contraction. Nik explains how Bitcoin fits into a system with nearly $1 quadrillion in existing net worth, why adoption and credit expansion matter more than simple rotation narratives, and what this framework means for Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory.

Link to article: https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/mckinsey/industries/financial%20services/our%20insights/the%20rise%20and%20rise%20of%20the%20global%20balance%20sheet%20how%20productively%20are%20we%20using%20our%20wealth/mgi-the-rise-and-rise-of-the-global-balance-sheet-full-report-vf.pdf

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📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik explains why US Treasury stability is critical for sustained Bitcoin strength by walking through repo markets, bond volatility, and Fed balance sheet dynamics. He breaks down how year-end funding stress, Treasury issuance choices, and inflation trends shape liquidity conditions across the system. Nik shows why stable repo rates and calmer bond markets matter for leveraged Bitcoin buyers, how housing and energy costs feed into inflation expectations, and what improving Treasury stability could mean for Bitcoin as 2026 begins.

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik sits down with Dr. André Dragosch of Bitwise to break down why large institutional capital is lining up behind Bitcoin heading into 2026. They explore ETF flows, treasury company demand, wirehouse adoption, & why Vanguard’s green light marks a major shift in access for traditional investors. André explains how global growth expectations, bond market stress, & falling confidence in sovereign debt are reshaping capital allocation, setting the stage for Bitcoin to push toward new all-time highs as long-term selling fades and institutional demand accelerates.

Find André's work here:

• https://andredragosch.start.page/

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik sits down with astrophysicist and mathematician Dr. Stephen Perrenod to break down Bitcoin’s power law, bubble behavior, and why the familiar four year cycle framework no longer holds. They explore how Bitcoin trades relative to long term trend, why volatility is structurally declining, and how new tiers of capital shape bubble timing through log periodic behavior. Stephen explains why 2025 was not supposed to produce a bubble, why 2021 was a harmonic rather than a peak, and why the next major Bitcoin bubble may arrive closer to 2027 as deeper capital pools emerge.

Other Episodes:

• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ugQEEM06ZfE
• https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUxuuibXQG4

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

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📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik breaks down why Bitcoin remains resilient despite year-to-date weakness by applying the TBL Liquidity framework. He walks through inflation expectations, energy prices, Treasury yields, and housing costs to explain how policy choices around oil production, affordability, and fiscal math shape liquidity conditions. Nik shows why lower inflation is the key driver for lower yields, how energy prices feed directly into CPI, and what calmer bond markets could mean for Bitcoin heading into 2026.

Episode links:

• https://www.tcw.com/-/media/Downloads/com/Insights/2025/251006-IPO-or-IOU.PDF?rev=9a6fd213f53d4bbc87c5767890483fcb&sc_lang=en
• https://www.theepochtimes.com/us/speaker-johnson-has-a-health-care-plan-heres-whats-in-it-5958410
• https://finance.yahoo.com/news/sovereign-wealth-funds-were-buyers-173202044.html
• Polymarket: https://poly.market/YCSQFCv

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

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📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik and Joakim Book break down why Strategy’s balance-sheet structure, perpetual preferred design, and debt flexibility make it uniquely durable while most 2025 Bitcoin treasury companies are already cracking under MNAV compression, leverage mistakes, and collapsing share premiums. They explain how convertible debt, pipe deals, equity dilution, and falling Bitcoin prices have exposed structural flaws across the sector, why forced selling risk is overstated for Strategy but real for smaller firms, and how Tether flows, liquidity dynamics, and equity market pressure shaped this entire cycle. The discussion sets the record straight on why Strategy’s model remains resilient while the rest of the treasury boom faces a hard reset.

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik and Matt Dines break down the European sovereign stress that has become a major driver of global liquidity and Bitcoin’s recent moves. They walk through the ECB’s need to defend German and French yields, Italy’s push to reclaim gold authority, and why Euro strength signals deeper funding pressure inside Europe. Nik and Matt explain how balance sheet constraints, dollar selling, and capital sourcing across offshore markets pulled liquidity out of Bitcoin, plus how bond spreads, demographic pressures, and geopolitical fractures frame the next phase of this macro cycle.

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik breaks down the White House’s new National Security Strategy and explains why it is the most important document released by the administration so far. He walks through the shift away from globalism, the focus on reshoring industrial capacity, and how defense spending, technology investment, and middle class revitalization tie directly into future market structure. Nik analyzes the new Monroe Doctrine framing, the balance of power approach with China, the administration’s stance on Europe, and how energy dominance, AI, and military production shape credit creation and capital flows. He explains why these policies matter for risk markets, the Treasury market, and Bitcoin’s long term setup as the United States pivots into a new macro regime.

Episode links:

• https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf
• https://www.archives.gov/milestone-documents/monroe-doctrine
• Polymarket: https://poly.market/YCSQFCv

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik breaks down why the Fed is effectively locked into a rate cut next week as repo tightness eases, QT halts, and Treasury interest expense reaches historic levels. He covers how falling yields, weaker dollar action, & a turning liquidity cycle are shaping Bitcoin’s path as it holds near $90,000. Nik also dives into bond volatility, the debt math forcing lower rates, & what TBL Liquidity is signaling for Bitcoin & risk assets going into year end.

Episode links: https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/2025-National-Security-Strategy.pdf

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
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Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

In this episode, Nik breaks down why US Treasury interest expense has become the most important story in finance, how lower rates are now a mathematical necessity for the United States, and why bond volatility remains the primary driver of Bitcoin’s price. He explains the pressure inside the repo market, the role of Japanese yields in recent volatility, the dollar’s evolving relationship with China, and how Bitcoin is holding its two year trend despite sharp macro turbulence. Nik also details why the Fed will eventually need to expand its balance sheet, how liquidity flows are shifting across global markets, and what this all signals for Bitcoin as it consolidates above $90,000.

📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H

📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm.

▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.
📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe
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⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: [email protected]

Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc
Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt
Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB

The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.