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David Dredge joins the show for a deep dive into why risk is being dangerously misunderstood across global markets, and why Bitcoin’s recent underperformance may actually be a symptom of structural stress, not failure. David explains why volatility itself isn’t the risk, why leverage is the real accelerant, and how TradFi risk models quietly manufacture systemic blow-ups.
We unpack how suppressed volatility, ETFs, options markets, and structured products are changing Bitcoin’s market structure, why leverage is creeping in through Wall Street rather than native crypto venues, and how max pain dynamics emerge when under-capitalised risk builds up. David breaks down why the four-year cycle narrative is breaking down, why Bitcoin’s muted year isn’t about demand weakness, and how positioning ultimately drives outcomes.
THANKS TO OUR SPONSORS:
IREN
ANCHORWATCH
BLOCKWARE
LEDN
BITKEY
SWAN
FOLLOW:
Danny Knowles: https://x.com/\_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny
David Dredge: https://x.com/ConvexityDredge
By Danny Knowles4.7
266266 ratings
David Dredge joins the show for a deep dive into why risk is being dangerously misunderstood across global markets, and why Bitcoin’s recent underperformance may actually be a symptom of structural stress, not failure. David explains why volatility itself isn’t the risk, why leverage is the real accelerant, and how TradFi risk models quietly manufacture systemic blow-ups.
We unpack how suppressed volatility, ETFs, options markets, and structured products are changing Bitcoin’s market structure, why leverage is creeping in through Wall Street rather than native crypto venues, and how max pain dynamics emerge when under-capitalised risk builds up. David breaks down why the four-year cycle narrative is breaking down, why Bitcoin’s muted year isn’t about demand weakness, and how positioning ultimately drives outcomes.
THANKS TO OUR SPONSORS:
IREN
ANCHORWATCH
BLOCKWARE
LEDN
BITKEY
SWAN
FOLLOW:
Danny Knowles: https://x.com/\_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny
David Dredge: https://x.com/ConvexityDredge

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