The KE Report

The KE Report

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The KE Report episodes

  • Dave Erfle - War Premium Fades What’s Next For Gold, GDX, Silver & Q2 Setups

    Dave Erfle, founder and editor of Junior Miner Junky, joins us for a discussion on the precious metals sector amid intense geopolitical volatility and Q2 market positioning.

     

    Oil prices spiked and reversed sharply on Middle East tensions, but gold remained impressively resilient near all-time highs. Dave shares his technical outlook on gold, silver, and the miners (GDX & GDXJ), along with insights on broader market sentiment as Q2 comes to a close.

     

    Key themes covered:

    • How markets are pricing in the war premium in oil and gold

    • Gold holding strong above $3,300 with limited geopolitical spikes

    • GDX and GDXJ gap fills and why buyers stepped in fast

    • Silver’s breakout retest and the importance of the $35 level

    • Why Newmont’s leadership could signal growing generalist interest

    • Looking ahead to Q2 earnings: are bullish surprises still possible?

    • Click here to visit the Junior Miner Junky website to learn more about Dave’s investment letter. 

      18 min
    • Darrell Fletcher - Commodity Market Insights: Energy, Copper, and Precious Metals Trends

      In this KE Report daily editorial, I’m joined by Darrell Fletcher, Managing Director of Commodities at Bannockburn Capital Markets, who provides a trading desk perspective on the latest price action, positioning, and macro signals across the energy, copper, and precious metals markets.

      - Energy volatility dominates June - from geopolitical spikes to bearish fundamentals.

      - Copper holds firm above $4 with physical market dislocations and tariff pricing.
      - Gold consolidates near record highs as silver plays catch-up.

      Key Discussion Highlights:
      • Energy Markets: Oil spiked on Middle East tensions but quickly reversed on news of a ceasefire. Darrell highlights that despite short-term risk premiums, the WTI forward curve remains anchored around $62, reflecting ongoing bearish fundamentals like rising global inventories and weakening demand. US rig counts are at multi-year lows, but no supply shock is expected yet.

      • Natural Gas: A short-lived surge on heatwave-driven demand brought prices above $4, but markets have now converged back toward $3.50. Darrell notes a balanced setup, supported by increasing LNG flows and long-term support from Calendar 2026 pricing around $4.40.

      • Copper: The metal continues to trade strongly just below $5/lb. Physical flows into COMEX are pushing spreads higher, with LME inventories falling and tariff expectations leading to a 10-15% price premium. Large copper miners like Freeport and BHP are rebounding, but still lag copper’s year-to-date performance.

      • Precious Metals: Gold is flat for the month but remains near record highs, while silver is up 7% in June and closing the performance gap. Darrell maintains a bullish view on gold due to debt concerns, a weakening USD, and potential Fed rate cuts. Silver, while less of a pure monetary asset, shows strong industrial demand and momentum.

      • US Dollar & Macro Impact: A falling USD (down ~10% YTD) is generally supportive of commodities, but Darrell points out the correlation is looser than in the past. He sees continued pressure on the greenback from fiscal concerns and rate cut expectations.
      • 21 min
      • Kuya Silver - US$5M Silver Royalty Deal to Accelerate Development at Bethania

        In this KE Report company update, we welcome back David Stein, President and CEO of Kuya Silver, to discuss the company’s recently announced $5 million Letter of Intent (LOI) with the newly launched royalty company, Silver Crown Royalties.

        This deal brings in $3 million USD in cash and $2 million in Silver Crown shares, structured around a sliding-scale silver royalty at Kuya's flagship Bethania Silver Project in Peru:

        • Initial 4.5% royalty on 475,000 ounces of silver

        • Reduces to 1% royalty on silver production for the life of mine

        • David explains why this is a strategic, non-dilutive financing that provides significant near-term and long-term value. The cash infusion could accelerate ramp-up plans beyond the current 100 tpd target, support earlier-stage exploration, and strengthen the company’s position in the silver development space.

           

          Key highlights from the interview:

          • No cap on silver upside: Only silver is subject to the royalty, leaving byproduct revenue untouched, and the royalty steps down after initial ounces delivered

          • Operational ramp-up underway: Strong May production points to Q2 improvements, with operational updates to be issued quarterly

          • Exploration upside: Focus remains on expanding known veins at depth from underground drilling, with low-cost/high-impact targets prioritized

          • David also shares why Kuya chose to take an equity stake in Silver Crown, gaining early exposure to a pure-play silver royalty company.

             

            If you have any follow up questions for David please email me at [email protected].

            Click here to visit the Kuya Silver website.

            15 min
          • Americas Gold And Silver – Key Transactions To Transform The Growth Of Silver and Critical Minerals Production At The Galena Complex and Cosalá Operations

            Paul Huet, CEO and Chairman of Americas Gold and Silver Corporation (TSX: USA) (NYSE American: USAS), joined me for a comprehensive overview of their producing Galena Complex, located in Idaho, USA; and the Cosalá Operations, located in Sinaloa, Mexico.  We got into their plans for growth in both areas operationally and through exploration, the ability to add in antimony, copper, and gold credits to their primary silver production, new investments in equipment at site, and new members of the management team and board.

             

            News was announced on October 9th, (and closed in December) of 2024, that the Company acquired 100% ownership at the Galena Complex, in a transaction with Sprott and a new Paul Huet-led management team was put in place, further strengthening its position as a leading silver producer. Sprott is now the largest shareholder in the company, holding a ~20% interest.  

             

            We started off unpacking how this was a key transformation for the company giving it the full torque to higher silver prices, now that it has 100% ownership at Galena.  The company has many ongoing initiatives to ramp up production here investing in a fleet of new mobile equipment, an upcoming project to upgrade the hoist at the No. 3 shaft in Q4, the move to Long Hole Stoping as a mining method, the capacity at their 2 mill to accept larger amounts of throughput as mining expands, and the incorporation of new management and operational personnel.  On May 15th the Company also announced promising results from recent metallurgical testing, confirming high recoveries of antimony alongside strong silver and copper recoveries from ore currently being processed.  Until recently the company was not getting paid for antimony or copper, but that will be changing based on a new off-take agreement recently signed.

             

            This transitioned the conversation over to the news out on June 3rd, which announced the arrangement of a US$100 million of senior secured debt facility to be provided by a third party to be used primarily to fund growth and development capital spending at the Galena Complex. The US$100 million Term Loan Facility consists of three tranches: a term loan with proceeds of US$50 million that will be advanced at closing, and two additional tranches of US$25 million.  In tandem with this news, Americas Gold and Silver also announced it had entered into an offtake agreement with Ocean Partners USA Inc. for treatment of up to 100% of the concentrates from the Company’s Galena Complex at Teck Resources Limited’s Trail Operations in Trail British Columbia, one of the world’s largest fully-integrated zinc, lead and critical metals complexes. Paul outlined how this will allow the Company to both aggressively pursue their aforementioned capital development spending at the Galena Complex and further strengthen their balance sheet.

             

            Next we shifted down to the Cosalá Operations in Mexico, with the operating San Rafael and El Cajon mines, which has been critical to getting the company through tougher markets over the years.   The Company is investing in exploration to extend the San Rafael mine, and importantly tunneling over into a new area of the El Cajon mine called the EC120 mine, which will now see increased silver production in the years to come. This brought up the point that this company is one of the few North American silver-focused producers with the objective of over 80% of its revenue generated from silver by the end of 2025.

             

            We wrapped up reviewing a number of other key management and board members backgrounds, many of which having been part of the successful turn-around and expansion of Klondex Mines and Karora Resource before they were taken over by senior producers.  We also touched upon the new financial strength of their balance sheet, the influx of strong institutional support, and the key catalysts on tap for the balance of this year and moving into next year.

             

            If you have any questions for Paul regarding Americas Gold and Silver, then please email those to me at [email protected].

             

            • In full disclosure, Shad is a shareholder of Americas Gold and Silver at the time of this recording, and may choose to buy or sell shares at any time.
            •  

              Click here to follow the latest news from Americas Gold and Silver

              29 min
            • Erik Wetterling – Value Proposition In FinEx Metals, Rackla Metals, and Ridgeline Minerals

              Erik Wetterling, Founder and Editor of The Hedgeless Horseman website, joins me to review the value proposition that caught his attention in the news from 3 earlier-stage gold, silver, and base metals exploration companies.  These explorers are going after drill targets on large potential Tier-1 deposits that would be of interest to senior producers if discoveries are made.

               

               >> The companies we discussed in the interview are:

               

              • FinEx Metals Ltd. (TSX-V: FINX)
              • Rackla Metals Inc. (TSX-V: RAK) (OTC: RMETF)
              • Ridgeline Minerals Corp. (TSXV: RDG) (OTCQB: RDGMF)
              •  

                 

                * In full disclosure, some companies mentioned by Erik in this interview, are positions held in his personal portfolio, and also may be site sponsors of The Hedgeless Horseman website at the time of this recording. 

                 

                Click here to follow Erik’s analysis over at The Hedgeless Horseman website

                21 min
              • Craig Hemke - Geopolitics Driving Markets: Oil Price Volatility, Safe Haven Sentiment, and a Precious Metals Summer Rally?

                In this KE Report Daily Editorial, we’re joined by Craig Hemke, founder and editor of TFMetalsReport.com, for a timely and wide-ranging discussion on the intersection of geopolitics, precious metals, the US dollar, and mining equities.

                 

                We kick things off with the surprising market reaction to US missile strikes in Iran - including the sharp reversal in oil prices and the perception that escalation may be de-escalating. Craig explains why weekend geopolitical events often produce less market volatility by the time trading resumes, and how this specific event might mirror the short-lived Israel-Iran tensions from late 2024.

                 

                We then shift focus to the precious metals markets, where:

                • The US Dollar Index hovering at 98 is acting as a pivotal level. A breakdown toward 96 could serve as a tailwind for both gold and silver, with gold already consolidating around $3,400.

                • Craig sees signs of a summer rally for precious metals, especially if the dollar weakens further.

                • Silver backwardation and contract rollovers are creating short-term volatility, particularly with July contracts nearing expiration.

                • A strong monthly and quarterly close for silver could set the stage for a technical breakout.

                • On the mining equities side:

                  • Craig notes Newmont (NEM) is up ~50% YTD but still lagging more efficient operators.

                  • He expects a positive Q2 earnings season for miners, driven by significantly higher average gold and silver prices.

                  • However, not all equities will benefit equally. Craig emphasizes focusing on companies with low all-in sustaining costs, wide margins, and disciplined cost controls.

                  • He also sees last week’s weakness in GDX as potentially related to NYSE options expiration and short-term oil price fears—not a broader trend reversal.

                  • We also preview Fed Chair Powell’s congressional testimony and the mixed signals from the FOMC dot plot, as well as the uncertainty created by potential tariff reinstatements under Trump.


                    Follow Craig’s work at TFMetalsReport.com

                    21 min
                  • Novo Resources - Pilbara Exploration Update: Aircore Results, New Gold-Antimony Targets, Egina JV Update With Northern Star Resources

                    In this KE Report company update, I’m joined by Mike Spreadborough, Executive Co-Chairman, and Kas De Luca, General Manager of Exploration at Novo Resources (TSXV: NVO - OTCQX: NSRPF), to unpack the June 19th news release focused on exploration in the Pilbara region of Western Australia.

                     

                    Key themes discussed:

                    • Early-stage aircore drilling at the Balla Balla Project: Kas outlines the targeting strategy across a 15km strike. Although wide-spaced, the drilling revealed low-level gold mineralization and a strong multi-element geochemical signature pointing to a fertile system over 5km of strike.

                    • Emerging gold-antimony prospects: The Sherlock Crossing area has returned high-grade surface samples (up to 146 g/t gold and 3% antimony), with a 1.5km soil anomaly now defined and ready for drilling. The Southeast Wyloo prospect is back on the radar with strong historical results, and fieldwork will resume shortly.

                    • Egina JV with Northern Star Resources: Following the takeover of De Grey Mining, Northern Star is reviewing the project data. With $18M in spending remaining to earn 50%, Mike explains the ongoing collaboration and outlook for future drilling.

                    • Strategic project pipeline: Mike and Kas provide insight into Novo’s broader exploration strategy, balancing advanced targets in New South Wales (Tibooburra and John Bull) with greenfield discoveries in Pilbara. They also remain open to potential JVs or asset sales where appropriate.

                    • Expect further news on follow-up drilling and new target prioritization by the end of Q3.

                       

                      Click here to visit the Novo Resources website to learn more about all the projects and exploration programs. 

                       

                      📩 Send your questions for the Novo team to be addressed in future updates! Email me at [email protected].

                      20 min
                    • Golden Cross Resources - Focused on High-Grade Gold in Victoria, Australia, Adjacent To Southern Cross Gold's Sunday Creek Discovery

                      In this KE Report company introduction, I welcome Matt Roma, CEO of Golden Cross Resources (TSX.V:AUX - OTC:ZCRMD). The company is advancing the Reedy Creek Gold Project in Victoria, Australia, strategically located next to Southern Cross Gold’s world-class Sunday Creek discovery.

                       

                      Key topics covered in this interview include:

                      • Reedy Creek Project Overview: Golden Cross acquired the property in late 2023 from Great Pacific Gold, with strong geological similarities to the nearby Sunday Creek and Fosterville systems.

                      • Historical and Current Exploration: Highlights from historic drilling include intervals such as 2m @ 320 g/t Au. Golden Cross is currently re-assaying past core to test for halo mineralization and has commenced a fully-funded 6,000m drill program.

                      • “Ladder Theory” and Geologic Upside: Inspired by Southern Cross’s success, Golden Cross is applying the same ladder-style targeting to define continuous zones of high- and low-grade mineralization over multiple veins.

                      • Capital and Corporate Structure: Recently announced a $3M financing, on top of a $4.7M raise in April, with strong insider participation. Insiders, institutions, and Great Pacific Gold hold a significant portion of the ~60M share float.

                      • Leadership Team: CEO Matt Roma brings experience as former CFO of Snowline Gold and Gladiator Metals. Board members include sector veterans with M&A success at Northern Empire, Underworld, and Galaxy Resources.

                      • Catalysts Ahead:

                        • Re-assay results expected shortly

                        • Initial drill results from the current program by year-end

                        • Visit the company’s website to learn more: https://goldencrossresources.com/


                          Send me your questions for Matt, and we’ll follow up in a future interview - [email protected]

                          14 min
                        • Weekend Show - Rick Bensignor & Dan Steffens - Fed Gridlock, Oil Shock, and Energy Stocks to Watch

                          On this Weekend’s Show Rick Bensignor breaks down the Fed’s gridlock, bond market uncertainty, and why industrials are quietly outperforming. Then Dan Steffens dives into energy market disruptions - from Middle East conflict to LNG trends - and outlines why Canadian natural gas producers may be the most overlooked contrarian trade of the summer.

                          If you enjoy the show, be sure to subscribe to our podcast feed (KER Podcast), YouTube channel, and follow us on X for more market commentary and company interviews. Don’t forget to subscribe and leave us a review!

                          Also check out our Substack where we email you summaries of Daily Editorials and the Weekend Show! Click here to check it out.


                          • Segment 1 & 2 - Rick Bensignor, President of Bensignor Investment Strategies, shared his outlook on markets, emphasizing that the Fed remains on hold with no clear urgency to cut rates amid geopolitical risks and sticky inflation. He highlighted oil as the key market driver following its rebound due to the Iran-Israel conflict, but noted uncertainty remains with no clear trend. Rick also pointed to a stalled bond market and mixed equity sentiment, suggesting markets are rangebound with rotation into industrials and mega-cap tech, all while the risk of stagflation grows.
                          • Click here to visit the In The Know Trader website.
                          •  

                            • Segment 3 & 4 - Dan Steffens, President of the Energy Prospectus Group, wraps up the show discussing how the escalating Israel-Iran conflict is fueling a $15 risk premium in oil prices, while also highlighting strong fundamentals in both oil and natural gas markets. He emphasizes that despite geopolitical uncertainty, upstream energy companies remain highly profitable with rising cash flow, and sees Canadian gas producers as a contrarian opportunity amid improving LNG demand and storage dynamics.
                            • Click here to visit the Energy Prospectus Group website for more energy market and stock analysis.
                            •  

                              59 min

                            About The KE Report

                            From the publisher's feed

                            The KE Report provides exclusive interviews with fund managers, newsletter writers, technical and fundamental analysts along with sub $10 billion market cap stocks. Interviews are published daily…

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