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Questions From The Flight Deck:
Introducing: Andy Christopher – F18 Navy Fighter Pilot and Investment Advisor
Meat of the Mission – 529s
Common Questions:
1. Vanguard college funding calculators
2. Leading Edge 529 video
3. Morningstar College report, comparison.
Airline News:
Questions From The Flight Deck:
Meat of the Mission:
Sources
https://www.morningstar.com/sustainable-investing/pilot-sues-american-airlines-others-over-esg-funds-his-401k
https://www.morningstar.com/personal-finance/100-must-know-statistics-about-long-term-care-2023-edition
Yahoo Finance on Irrevocable Trusts for LTC
Is Long-Term Care Insurance Tax-Deductible? - SmartAsset
Do You Have to Pay a Long-Term Care Tax? - SmartAsset
https://www.va.gov/health-care/about-va-health-benefits/long-term-care/
https://www.aaltci.org/long-term-care-insurance/learning-center/long-term-care-insurance-partnership-plans.php
Airline News:
How To Think About Your Health And Improve Your Quality Of Life Now And In Retirement
Sources:
How:
Resources:
https://neurosciencenews.com/fitness-neuroscience-23228/
https://www.purdue.edu/hr/CHL/healthyboiler/news/newsletter/2020-01/finances-health.php
Questions From The Flight Deck:
What the heck is ChatGPT, and what jobs will most be impacted?
AI in the Cockpit? https://theaircurrent.com/technology/natural-language-processing-aviation-atccockpit/
Optimism – It's NOT cool!
Have we always been pessimistic? Or is it a new phenomenon?
"The preacher man says it's the end of time and the Mississippi river, she's goin dry...the interest is up and the stock market's down and you only get mugged if you go downtown..."
Great survival story...Hank Williams Jr.
If Everything is Getting Better, Why Are People So Pessimistic?
"...Those are three emotional biases toward pessimism. We also have cognitive biases that incline us that way, foremost among them being the "availability heuristic." This is a feature of the psychology of probability also documented by Tversky, in collaboration with the Nobel Prize–winning economist Daniel Kahneman. Forty years ago, Kahnemanm and Tversky argued that one of the ways the human brain estimates probability is by using a simple rule of thumb: the more easily you can recall an example of something, the more likely you estimate it to be. The result is that anything that makes an incident more memorable will also make it seem more probable. The quirks of the brain's ability to retain information will bleed into our estimates of a risk's likelihood."
"...The bad‐ dominates‐ good phenomenon is multiplied by a second source of bias, sometimes called the illusion of the good old days.
People always pine for a golden age. They're nostalgic about an era in which life was simpler and more predictable. The psychologist Roger Eibach has argued that this is because people confuse changes in themselves with changes in the times. As we get older, certain things inevitably happen to us. We take on more responsibilities, so we have a greater cognitive burden. We become more vigilant about threats, especially as we become parents.
...At the same time, we see our own capacities decline. As we get older, we become stupider in terms of the sheer ability to process and retain information.
There's a strong tendency to misattribute these changes in ourselves to changes in the world. A number of experimental manipulations bear this out. If you have people try to make some change in their lives — say, to eat less fat — often they become convinced that there are more and more advertisements for fatty foods."
Ten Reasons Clients Should Be Optimistic About The Future:
https://www.fa-mag.com/news/ten-reasons-clients-should-be-optimistic-about-the-future-72935.html?section=68&utm_source=FA+Subscribers&utm_campaign=d580b67712-FAN_IP_Next_Chapter_Parnassus_050422_COPY_01&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_6bebc79291-d580b67712-240228216
Some Alternatives:
Factfullness: Ten Reasons We're Wrong About the World—And Why Things Are Better Than You Think.
https://www.amazon.com/Factfulness-Reasons-World-ThingsBetter/dp/1250123828/ref=tmm_pap_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=
Author Hans Rosling
Quotes
The first is from philosopher, historian, psychologist, William James: "Pessimism leads to weakness, optimism to power."
The second from the late former Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Army General Colin Powell: "Perpetual optimism is a force multiplier."
Resources
Special Test Flight Edition – The Banking System: How Do Banks Operate And What Happens When They Take On Too Much Risk – Silicon Valley Bank? ~Exclusive Captain Rob "Rubber Mallet" Eklund
Where is the best cup of cappuccino in New York City, according to Rob's new friend Luciano Pavarotti?!?
How do banking systems work? How do they benefit the consumer and make our money safer?
"Banking is a very good business. If you don't do anything dumb." ~Warren Buffett
"The good bankers, like good tea, can only be appreciated when they're in hot water." ~Jafar Hussein, a Malaysian banker.
Aviation News:
Questions From The Flight Deck:
Meat of The Mission:
Get up for health and wealth...
Should you own Gold?
Two things: Gold as an investment – diversification? Gold as a currency in times of economic collapse.
https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2015/07/a-history-of-gold-returns/
Why is gold attractive? Hot button issue...
Three Options For Owning/Investing In Gold:
Tax Implications of Gold Coins...28%
The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World - By Niall Ferguson
Questions from the Flight Deck:
What if the US Dollar is not the dominant world currency?
Part 1:
How to know how much FDIC insurance you have?
Should we be nervous about the banking system?
How much can I actually hold in my bank account, FDIC insured? See FCIC calculator.
Why are banks and brokerage firms different?
Banks accept deposits onto their balance sheet. When you deposit money, it becomes a liability for the bank.
Brokers are middlemen. They hold your money (custodial relationship) and then allow you to buy investments. These do NOT go onto the broker's balance sheet. They take a little to "broker the sales" but do not own anything. You own the underlying investments.
What would happen if Schwab went bankrupt? FDIC, SIPC.
Rule 15c3-1, "Net Capital Rule" of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), makes it mandatory for brokerages to maintain a minimum amount of prescribed capital in liquid form. Rule 15c3-3, "Customer Protection Rule," requires brokerage firms to keep client assets (both cash and securities) in a separate account from the firm's assets to avoid any confusion
What does a broker (Schwab) do with our money versus what a bank does with our money?
Schwab puts it in stocks that YOU own. Schwab doesn't hold them. Schwab can't do anything with your money. It's not even on their balance sheet.
However, Schwab does have a banking component. A subsidiary of Charles Schwab.
Schwab has several components, subsidiaries:
Part 2:
https://www.businesstrialgroup.com/practice-areas/securities-litigation/oil-gas-partnerships/
Why do we go after these types of investments? Are they necessary to be successful? Do they add diversification?
Private REITs
Land Investments
Mineral Rights
Oil and Gas LPs
Why do they look so attractive? 10-12% annual Yield...
Phoenix Capital Group...
What does Yield mean?
Early bank run on Blackstone last December but it is NOT a bank. This guys says it is OK but if you wanted your money out of it- you cannot have it https://seekingalpha.com/article/4563565-the-truth-about-blackstone
How do you value something?
Are short sellers able to sell private securities easily.
How do we know if the price is right, close to right or downright wrong.
In public markets, is volatility a bug or a feature?
"Fox watching the hen house"
Fundrise claims that privately held outperform public markets but there are multiple issues with this kind of data:
https://fundrise.com/education/why-private-markets-outperform-traditional-publicly-traded
Internal rate of return helps private equity firms but NOT always clients
Are losers in private equity always captured in data? survivorship bias.
What counts in private investment is the quality of people, trust, and the investments?
How many private firms are zombies that still show value on balance sheets
When the tide goes out... you see who swimming is nakedly.
..."But I get my 8%, 9% or 10% dividend : ) " Where does the dividend come from?
Wall Street moved from banks & public markets (active mutual funds) to private- why? Because that is where the story, the reputation, the glitz, can be manufactured- with out all this "nobody can beat the market stuff" That is where the money is in the roaring 20s.!
Craig Pieper Publisher & Founder of Aero Crew News
Scott Rehn CEO of Aero Crew Solutions & Co-Founder of Aero Crew News
Craig Pieper's Linkedin
Scott Rehn's Linkedin
Make sure to follow Aero Crew News on Facebook, Instagram, & Twitter
Aero Crew Solutions Phone Number: 484-NEW-NEWS
Pilot News
https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/european-regulator-rules-out-single-pilot-flying-by-2030-2023-02-06/
Question From The Flight Deck:
Q: Are all annuities Crap?
A: Annuities are NOT investments; they are Insurance income products, and most of them are sold as something they are not - again, not investments! People that hate annuities compare them to investments - life insurance is used when people die. Annuities can help people that live too long or need mortality credits to decrease anxiety or smooth out the journey.
LEFP is not licensed, nor makes commissions on annuities, but we do sometimes recommend them through third parties. Find someone who does NOT make commissions on annuities but believes that they are sometimes necessary and EVEN helpful as a part of a financial plan. 2022 was the number one year of annuities sales in history.
A CDA acts as a sort of "risk wrapper" for your IRAs, Roth IRAs and taxable brokerage accounts, but the insurance portion is unbundled from the underlying accounts so that investments in ETFs and mutual funds may be covered. The amount of income you receive from the CDA (your coverage base) is calculated from the total of your initial investment, and will not drop below that amount, no matterwhat the markets do. In fact, your coverage base may go up, and those annual income payments can range from 3% to 6%. Keep in mind that excess withdrawals CAN impact your coverage base, however.
The CDA's income payments trigger when you need them and are paid by the insurance company for the rest of your life, even after your assets are depleted.
https://www.financial-planning.com/news/2022-was-the-best-annuity-sales-year-in-history
https://awealthofcommonsense.com/2023/03/talk-your-book-lifetime-income/
Q: Should I own bonds?
A: There are two reasons to own bonds.
Main Topic – Tax-Efficient Giving Strategies
https://www.blackrock.com/us/financial-professionals/insights/donate-stock-to-charity-for-tax-savings
Gift your star performers. Maximize your savings on capital gains taxes by donating your strongest-performing stocks. They may be your favorite holdings, but this is not goodbye – replenish your portfolio by purchasing the same security (or a similar exposure). Because the stock has appreciated since your original purchase, your new cost basis will be higher, which creates the potential to harvest tax losses to offset gains in future years.
https://turbotax.intuit.com/tax-tips/tax-deductions-and-credits/tax-deduction-wisdom-should-youitemize/L8Ln7K0Gp
"Add up all of these taxes, but remember the IRS limits your state and local tax deduction to $10,000.
Tip: Add your total state and local taxes (capped at $10,000) to the mortgage interest number you calculated above. If the total is larger than your standard deduction, you'll likely benefit from itemizing."
The immediate effect on our physiology…Psychologytoday.com - Dr. Eva Ritvo - https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/vitality/201404/the-neuroscience-giving
"Neuroscience has demonstrated that giving is a powerful pathway for creating more personal joy and improving overall health...Dopamine, serotonin, and oxytocin make up the Happiness Trifecta…benefits are better moods, sleep, digestion, memory, learning, and appetite, blood pressure decreases…Oxytocin is known as the "cuddle hormone." trust and empathy are enhanced. Oxytocin is also anti-inflammatory and reduces pain, and enhances wound healing. "So, if giving allows us to secrete all the chemicals at once, we owe it to ourselves to give as often as possible!
How to Be a Real Estate Professional & Save on Taxes with Gina Roth
(4:30) How do you recommend selling your primary residence and ensure you don't pay taxes?
You have to live in it as your primary residence for two out of the trailing five years
Once you complete this, it is free capital gains
Married: $500,000 exclusion
Single: $250,000 exclusion
These can include any improvements to the property
(7:15) Requirements to be a Real Estate Professional for tax purposes
You must spend 750 hours/year doing some sort of real estate duties (brokerage sales counts towards this)
Documentation of hours is a necessity
(17:15) Real Estate & Taxes
Passive income from real estate can often be offset with income from your main source of income
Depreciation is your superhero in real estate!
You can make your money from your main source of income, all of that income gets taxed as ordinary, and the real estate can be used as depreciation to offset some of that main source of income
(21:00) Gina's Advice
If someone has the ability & willingness to keep their first starter home, it can be a great tool to use as rental income in the future
It can be a huge wealth builder, great for diversification, & helps with cash flow in retirement because you won't have to touch your nest egg
(26:30) Multiplex
They are very favorable because you have multiple tenants paying rent at the same time. If one person moves out, there is still some cash flows
Less maintenance typically on a multiplex
(28:15) Other Real Estate Licenses
Active in Real Estate License: For people that make less than $150,000
Material Participation: Not having a rental unit, but a business
(29:00) Short Term Rental Benefits
A short-term rentals are anything that can qualify for anything less than 30 days of occupation
You can classify any losses associated with the business as offset to your ordinary income (you must own a short-term rental, you have to be material participation, & documentation!)
There are many tools today that allow you to manage short term rentals (even out of state)
You have to be the one who is property manager and must document everything
(40:26) Breckendrige, CO has made it very complicated by putting different zone/resort zones. So, to buy a short-term rental, you would need a very qualified agent right now
Some alternatives to Breckenridge could be Keystone and Grand County
(46:20) Gina's Book Recommendations/Resources
Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert T. Kiyosaki
Short-Term Rental, Long-Term Wealth by Joseph Bafia
The Seven Tests of Participation (Material Participation Tests: Definition, IRS Rules, Vs. Passive (investopedia.com))
You participate in the activity at least 500 hours during the year.
Your participation constitutes substantially all the participation for the year by anyone, including nonowners.
You participate more than 100 hours and as much or more than any other person.
The activity is a "significant participation activity" — that is, you participate more than 100 hours — but you participate less than one or more other people yet your participation in all your significant participation activities for the year totals more than 500 hours.
You materially participated in the activity for any five of the preceding 10 tax years.
The activity is a personal service activity in which you materially participated in any three previous tax years.
Regardless of the number of hours, based on all the facts and circumstances, you participate in the activity on a regular, continuous, and substantial basis.
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