The Pollsters

The Pollsters

By Margie Omero & Kristen Soltis AndersonBusinessNewsPolitics
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The Pollsters episodes

  • #22: Trump vs. Sanders (on polling)

    This week we’re back in the soundbooth, with special guest Baby Beckett! Also, don’t forget to buy Kristen’s book, The Selfie Vote.

     
    What to Trump & Sanders have in common?
    Most polling continues to show Trump in the lead, or close to it. Even in the aftermath of his McCain comments. On the Democratic side, one poll show Sanders and Clinton doing equally well in the general. Yet neither Trump nor Sanders believe in polling, it seems. We discuss.
     
    Monmouth: 2016 Iowa poll
    WaPo: Trump leads GOP field
    Gallup: Trump Core Issue Ratings
    Quinnipiac: Sanders head-to-head with Clinton
    Huffington Post: Sanders $0 for polling
    Trump Pollsters Tweet
    Latino Decisions: Threshold to win in 2016
     
    Campaign finance
    Speaking of campaign spending, a new poll shows voters divided on the impact campaign finance rules are having on our presidential contest. But how closely are voters studying either?
     
    Monmouth: Campaign finance
     
    Conflicting, simultaneous views on Iran
    With the deal back in the news, there is new polling, showing voters simultaneously supportive but cautious.
     
    YouGov: Americans on Iran Deal
    AP/GFK: Iran relations
    Fox News: Iran Deal
     
    Tweeting all moms!
    Ah, parenthood, All the joys, all the Facebook posts…
     
    Pew: Parents and social media
     
    Key Findings:
    If it’s Trump vs. Sanders, everyone’s going to move to public polling.
    Speaking of a fun field, voters in both parties say campaign finance rules are not helping.
    Voters say they’re following the Iran deal, and are both supportive and cautious.
    Hey parents out there! Tweet Margie with your advice on having the best maternity break ever!
     
     
     

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    38 min
  • #21: Can politics Trump science?

    In the last two weeks, Kristen had a book & Margie had a baby. But now we’re back with the latest in polling news!

     
    Bet you can’t Trump this!
    The polls are pretty clear--Trump is #1. But that doesn’t mean people are taking him seriously. Or does it?
    YouGov: Donald Trump/GOP race
    Gallup: Trump not seen as serious candidate
    Suffolk/USA Today: Trump on top
    Washington Post: Trump word cloud
    ABC/WaPo Poll: Trump’s favorability
     
    The science on science
    “Science” is not just one issue, but a whole litany of topics. Some have demographic drivers, and some don’t. Pew breaks it down.
    Pew: Politics and science
     
    I’ll pay you $5 tomorrow for a survey today
    Do you need to reimburse cell phone respondents for their time? Pew ran some experiments. But whatever you do, don’t borrow young women’s cell phones--they need them!
    Pew: Cell phone respondent reimbursement
    Gallup: Smartphones
    Gallup: Life Without Smartphones
     
    Grateful for polling
    The biggest Deadheads are Republicans. What would Jerry say?
    PR Newswire: Grateful Dead poll
     
    Hey baby, what’s your sign?
    Is astrology stll a good pickupline? And more importantly, does it predict the future?
    YouGov: Horoscopes
     
    Abs are the cure for sexism
    Half of America thinks Hollywood is sexist
    YouGov: Hollywood Sexism
    TIME: Magic Mike vs. Magic Mike XXL
     
    Key Findings:
    The verdict is in--Trump is #1. Even though no one seems to want him there.
    Views toward science need more science to explain.
    You can keep sending respondents $5 reimbursements. Or not!
    Kasich is a former deadhead--maybe he’s onto a trend the rest of us don’t know about.
    Ladies love astrology, their smartphones, & Magic Mike.

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    45 min

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