Former NFL QB Alex Smith, NBA player Shane Battier, and venture capitalist Ravi Gupta have a fascinating conversation about the NFL Draft, risk-taking in sports and business, and talent evaluation. They discuss why teams overreach for quarterbacks despite their low hit rate, the importance of being bold when you have a premier leadership position, and how executives often overestimate the risk of failure while underestimating the randomness of success. 

For the full show notes, transcript, and links to mentioned content, check out the episode page here.

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Show Notes:

(00:00:00) Welcome to Glue Guys

(00:03:00) Quarterbacks: The High-Risk, High-Reward Picks

(00:04:08) Comparing Draft Strategies: NFL vs. NBA

(00:07:57) The Role of Luck and Talent in Draft Success

(00:11:46) Venture Capital and Drafting: A Parallel

(00:20:47) Rookie Training Camp Memories

(00:21:30) The Importance of Taking Risks in Sports

(00:22:17) The Frustration of Playing It Safe

(00:23:19) The Value of Bold Leadership

(00:26:04) The Challenge of Predicting Success

(00:27:46) The Risk and Reward of Draft Picks

(00:34:36) Balancing Boldness and Caution

(00:37:01) The Role of Luck and Skill in Success