The Promote Podcast

This week, we have no choice but to tackle the topic of war. The conflict with Iran continues to roil markets and CRE's biggest allocators are in sixes and sevens. Fewer young people are going to college, which puts a big question mark on what's historically been one of the biggest drivers of real estate activity. And finally, with special servicers like Rialto continuing to play an outsized role in the market, some of their more exotic strategies are coming under a pretty harsh spotlight.

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com
2) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote Insider to unlock access to expert CRE breakdowns, behind-the-deal stories, scoops, discounted swag and events and more. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Real Estate Lobby Sounds Alarm Over Forced Sale Provision In Housing Bill

What’s in the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act?

Games Lenders Play

How Jeffrey Epstein secretly backed star-studded NoMad condo project

In Ep. 50 (!), we trace Larry Silverstein's odyssey with the World Trade Center redevelopment, analyzing the new blockbuster Amex deal and the insurance, legal and financing battles that the developer has fought since 9/11. Next, we jump on our Zambonis and check out Jamestown’s push for a hockey team in Atlanta. And finally, Blackstone has a data center offering that it wants to share with the universe - of retail investors, that is.

We also do a "Punch List" rundown of the newsiest industry happenings: CRE players' outsized roles in the Iran attacks; Hudson Pacific's billion-dollar losing streak; the Mamdani-Trump Sunnyside Yards bromance; and the Korein family going to the mat with Steve Roth's Vornado.

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com And download their new SNF snapshot at https://bravocapital.com/the-silver-wave/
2) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote Insider to unlock access to expert CRE breakdowns, behind-the-deal stories, scoops, discounted swag and events and more. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Power at Ground Zero: Politics, Money, and the Remaking of Lower Manhattan

More Deets on 2 WTC Deal

Jamestown Joins Bid To Lure NHL Team To North Point Mall

Stadium Arcadium

Blue Owl Bytes the Dust

Jon Gray Is Reshaping Blackstone Into Everybody's Investing Megastore

This week, we look at the tragicomedy that is TSX Broadway, the Maefield/L&L/Fortress Times Square megadevelopment that came undone and left hundreds of foreign investors in the lurch. We discuss how complex ground-up projects can lay waste to capital stacks, and what can happen between partners under pressure. We then look at the latest alarm bells ringing in the high-octane world of data center development – Blue Owl is staring down a multibillion-dollar void, and OpenAI’s marquee Stargate project has had major challenges powering up. Finally, we explore the rise of the rich renter – a trend that’s reshaping the multifamily – and condo markets.

We also do a "Punch List" rundown of the newsiest industry happenings: Shvo selling Transamerica Pyramid in SF; the Kushner battle over Veris Residential; Witkoff's Roosevelt Hotel cameo; ICE's $38B warehouse shopping spree; and Stonepeak's marina moves.

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com
2) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com And download their new SNF snapshot at https://bravocapital.com/the-silver-wave/

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote Insider to unlock access to expert CRE breakdowns, behind-the-deal stories, scoops, discounted swag and events and more. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Tragicomedy in Times Square

Lawsuit claims Fortress, L&L owe USIF $890M

Steve Witkoff’s Nine Lives

Blue Owl shopped debt for a CoreWeave data center. Lenders weren't sold.

Inside OpenAI’s Scramble to Get Computing Power After Stargate Stalled

Meet the AUM Gobblers

This week, we dive deep into the story of Anbang Insurance, the Chinese insurer that went on an epic US trophy real estate buying spree, but flew too close to the sun. We trace the origins of Anbang's founder Wu Xiaohui, his multibillion-dollar acquisition of top US hotels include NYC's Waldorf-Astoria, and Anbang's eventual collapse and government takeover. We then talk about a rare RICO case against a notorious DC landlord, Ali "Sam" Razjooyan, and how such extreme incidents can shape landlord-tenant policy. Finally, we look at why the big CRE brokerages are seeing their stocks getting hammered by the AI question.

We also do a "Punch List" rundown of the newsiest industry happenings: Sumitomo Forestry's Tri-Pointe take-private; Nuveen buying Schroeder's; Kimco's unwanted assets; Fannie looking to wet its beak on license sales; and Adam Neumann invoking the wrath of his Miami neighbors. 

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com
2) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote Insider to unlock access to expert CRE breakdowns, behind-the-deal stories, scoops, discounted swag and events and more. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Chinese Shop Trophy Hotels After Decade of Pain

Rise of Wu Xiaohui, Anbang’s low-profile, high-octane chairman

The Waldorf’s Makeover Went a Billion Over Budget—and China Is Footing the Bill

D.C. Attorney General Targets D.C. Slumlord With RICO Lawsuit

How “Landlord” Became a Bad Word 

AI Scare Trade Wipes Out Billions From Commercial Real Estate Stocks

This week, we discuss the House of Brookfield’s new overlord: Connor Teskey has a modest target – double AUM to $2 trillion. We talk about the labyrinth that is Brookfield’s corporate structure – Bruce Flatt's not going away – and what CRE’s role in the ramp-up will be. We then look at the flurry of REIT take-privates, from Peakstone to Plymouth. And finally, we slip into resort casual and discuss a princely condo buyout payoff in West Palm Beach – the goat Steve Ross makes an appearance.   

We also do a "Punch List" rundown of the newsiest industry happenings: Michael Shvo's bitter breakup with German pension fund BVK; Blackstone & DivcoWest's SF triumph; and tranche warfare in the mall space.

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com
2) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote Insider to unlock access to expert CRE breakdowns, behind-the-deal stories, scoops, discounted swag and events and more. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Shvo Becomes Wurst Investment

Top-Rated Bonds Hit Hard After Distressed Fund Seizes One of America’s Largest Malls

Anthropic to take over an entire office building in downtown S.F.

Brookfield revamps unusual ownership structure

Book recc: The Reichmanns: Family, Faith, Fortune, and the Empire of Olympia & York

Brookfield Lines Up a 36-Year-Old Rising Star as Next Billionaire CEO

Jon Gray Is Reshaping Blackstone Into Everybody's Investing Megastore

Brookfield Puts Up $173M To Refinance Brookfield Place Tower

Blackstone eyes more REIT privatizations amid "lagging" public markets

Inside Steve Ross’ buyout of a West Palm Beach waterfront condo

Podcast: Ross takes his talents to [West Palm] Beach

This week, we discuss how the Chrysler Building has laid waste to the best-laid plans of so many global titans. With Tishman Speyer reportedly coming back for another go at the Art Deco icon, we trace its rich and rollicking deal history, from Jack Kent Cooke to Abu Dhabi. We then discuss how the ICE immigration crackdown is putting another big question mark on the Sunbelt multifamily market and leaving landlords in limbo. And finally, we discuss Apollo's sister act: REIT ARI is selling its $9B loan book to insurance arm Athene, and patting itself on the back for doing so.

We also do a "Pardon the Interruption" style rundown of the biggest industry happenings: Carlyle's NYC self-storage mammoth sale to StorageMart; Brookfield's misplaced OZ fund; Fed chair nominee Kevin Warsh; and Donald Bren's Chicago tower listing.  

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com
2) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote to unlock access to expert CRE breakdowns, behind-the-deal stories, scoops, discounted swag and events and more. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

The Chrysler Building: Doomed Art Deco tower of global power

How tycoon behind Chrysler Building and Selfridges was forced out

Curtains for Aby at Chrysler

Immigration Crackdown Creating 'Havoc' For Some Apartment Owners

Me, Myself & Apollo

From Investment to Savings: When Finance Feeds on Itself

This week, we discuss second acts: Ziel Feldman has left the scandal-ridden past of his glitzy New York condo development firm HFZ Capital Group behind, and he's reinvented himself as an affordable housing player through his silent partnership in GoodHomes. We trace the wild arc of his career and his far more below-the-radar new game. Proptech's loudest voice and most prolific fundraiser Fifth Wall is now yelling into the fundraising void; we talk about how the firm's issues are emblematic of the broader sector. We also do a "Pardon the Interruption" style rundown of the biggest industry happenings: S2's REIT hiccups, Charles Cohen's latest foreclosure, Willis Tower woes, and Michael Shvo's media mastery. 

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com
2) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote to unlock access to expert CRE content. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Ziel Feldman's Next Act

S2 REIT Makes Capital Call

The Ugliest Divorce in Manhattan Real Estate

How HFZ became the face of Manhattan’s condo woes

Fifth Wall cuts staff, pauses fundraising

Fifth Wall’s Brendan Wallace On What’s Next After Closing $866M Proptech Fund

Proptech graveyard 🪦/infirmary 🤒: Running list

Shvo Business 

This week, we discuss a redemption tour by GVA’s Alan Stalcup, Patient Zero of the Sunbelt multifamily boom/bust. He’s battling PGs, LPs and maybe even the SEC, but Stalcup is unapologetic. He sat down with Hiten for a pretty unplugged conversation, and we chat through our key takeaways. We then dive into the 24-6 world of dealmaking in Skilled Nursing Facilities, a totally undercovered corner of CRE with big numbers and some batshit maneuvering. The Genesis bankruptcy case is all anyone in that world can talk about right now. We also do a "Pardon the Interruption" style rundown of the biggest industry happenings: Soho House Take II, Marty Burger's redo, Summit's Pinnacle deal going through, and a nightmare condo buyout scenario in Miami.

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com
2) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote to unlock access to expert CRE content. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

The Alan Stalcup Interview: Speaking With Patient Zero of the Sunbelt Syndicator Bust

The Nursing Home Power Roster

Landau Fails SNF Test

Genie Rubbed the Right Way

Dial Tress for Distress

This week, we’re talking a glitch in the Morse code: MCR has failed to come up with the cash to consummate the take-private of Soho House, setting off a mad scramble. There’s more bad chemistry in the life-sciences space, with the venerable Beacon Capital Partners battling its operating partner and lenders in the space losing patience. And finally, we dive into the most closely-watched CRE bankruptcy auction in the country: The Pinnacle rent-stabilized portfolio in New York.

Sponsors:

1) This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com
2) This episode is supported by Bravo Capital, a leading HUD and bridge lender. See how their precision underwriting means quicker approvals and higher proceeds for sponsors by visiting bravocapital.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote to unlock access to expert CRE content. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Taconic's Lab Leak
Soho House’s $2.7 Billion Deal to Go Private Hits a Last-Minute Funding Snag
Deathbed for life science incubator? Portal Innovations sues partner Beacon Capital
Zohar Levy, the Man who Would be King
Bidder For Pinnacle's 5,000-Unit Portfolio Has Ties To CEO Joel Wiener's Brother

This week, we talk Chicago – America’s Second City is now becoming top of mind for national multifamily players. We break down 2 significant deals: LaTerra’s monster AIMCO portfolio buy and S2’s debut. We then slip into our jerseys and look at the arcane world of stadium development – and all the freebies and surrounding action that comes with it. Finally, we schlep the streets of Brooklyn, where Carlyle & Greenbrook have pulled off a massive Freddie refi of their walk-up empire.

Sponsor: This episode is supported by LoanBoss, the industry-leading debt management software. Featuring one-click covenant testing, instant cash flow forecasting, and our favorite nerdy delight: Live forward curves! Check them out at loanboss.com

To advertise: Reach out to [email protected]

For feedback: Write us at [email protected] And please rate us and write a review on Apple.

Up your CRE game:  Consider becoming a premium subscriber to The Promote to unlock access to expert CRE content. Take 10% off annual subscriptions by using this link: https://www.thepromote.com/upgrade?offer_id=b700858f-21e0-47a2-9695-a93055d3ed15

Further reading/listening:

Deconstructing Data Center Megadeals with DigitalBridge's Marc Ganzi (DB is being acquired by SoftBank)

Carlyle Takes the Stairs

Aimco to sell Chicago-area multifamily portfolio for $455 million as REIT liquidates

Chiefs Get Largest Public Funding Package Ever For New Stadium In Kansas

Freddie Walks Carlyle/Greenbrook Home

Chicago leads the nation in apartment rent growth amid tight supply